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*** VD 14 Commentary Thread ***
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is it too late for me to find the absolute optimal picks that will allow me to win this thing?
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now that memes are done, let me get back to figuring out my pick... boy I hope the history thread is updated....
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Originally posted by frae View PostI figured that might be your guy, but you also had other options and I didn't spend time seeing how W fit with your other decades and slots.
okay, I guess this one is right...
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sorry, meetings all morning. and frae sniped my pick. looking now.
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Originally posted by The Feral Slasher View PostCupid Childs or Cupid's Child ? I never know
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Originally posted by johnnya24 View PostI didn't mean to say I was winning. I knew that in round 8. Second division is a victory considering my options a while back, the steeply declining value of my early picks and Garp and Frae brutalizing my short lists. Hubble and Leonard were daggers.
Farrell 1901 would only have been a desperation choice. He would have made my BY hitting lineup very vulnerable to the unpredictability of multi scoring. I was only considering Farrell in the 1890's, and would have went that direction if Larkin made it back. The robustness of Lowe, I-Rod and White was a no-brainer at that point ... especially when it looked very likely i would be able to get Galvin later - only a WC or an 1890's G were likely to take him, and I believe it was only the ratio tankers who could have taken him in the 1890's ... so definitely a solid gamble. That said i planned to take Galvin a little earlier. But when I saw Deacon White was a strong option for Bene, I had to gamble on Galvin. G sucked for me once I elected to pick Helton. I created that problem, but it was worth the risk. G became like an ENVO in almost every hitting and pitching decade (apart from Galvin) after Guidry and Gooden went.
Besides, it would probably have only cost me ~4 points if Galvin didn't make it back.
Where's the value in playing safe at this stage?
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Originally posted by cavebird View PostI hate to tell you this, but I still have you in the second division, although it is very close (currently 8th, 0.2 out of 7th, 1.8 out of 6th). I think your problem now is that your options are, shall we say, very limited. That's why I expected Duke Farrell 1901 from you; to save the flexibility that a W pitcher gives. I actually expected you to go with Farrell 1891 and a different MI. Your way isn't particularly worse, just different, and you left Galvin exposed---if he didn't make it back, your finish is ugly.
Farrell 1901 would only have been a desperation choice. He would have made my BY hitting lineup very vulnerable to the unpredictability of multi scoring. I was only considering Farrell in the 1890's, and would have went that direction if Larkin made it back. The robustness of Lowe, I-Rod and White was a no-brainer at that point ... especially when it looked very likely i would be able to get Galvin later - only a WC or an 1890's G were likely to take him, and I believe it was only the ratio tankers who could have taken him in the 1890's ... so definitely a solid gamble. That said i planned to take Galvin a little earlier. But when I saw Deacon White was a strong option for Bene, I had to gamble on Galvin. G sucked for me once I elected to pick Helton. I created that problem, but it was worth the risk. G became like an ENVO in almost every hitting and pitching decade (apart from Galvin) after Guidry and Gooden went.
Besides, it would probably have only cost me ~4 points if Galvin didn't make it back.
Where's the value in playing safe at this stage?
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Wow, we are flying tonight---and Garp and Heyelander are here. As are me and Bene. Can my next pick be: "Player X, 1902, 1907, or 1909 depending on who other people take"?
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Originally posted by johnnya24 View PostI've been on a knife-edge with almost every pick since I gambled with Mathews and Helton. Needed Lowe or Larkin to make it back,; needed I-Rod and Deacon White to make it back; needed Galvin to make it back. Everything worked out apart from Raisel Iglesias. I've pull this one around nicely, but it's been a massive struggle. After a brutal first half, I was looking down the barrel of a bottom half finish for a long time ... especially when I realized my 1980's hitter error.
That said, it's still really tight in there ... and the last round of a multi draft is very unpredictable.
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Originally posted by johnnya24 View PostWell at least you have Mariano Rivera, who is basically an extra vintage pitcher with SB's that can carry your entire team total ... I picked Chase Utley in the 5th, and an almost identical player will go undrafted
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Originally posted by johnnya24 View Post:nods:
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