RJ Mock One Discussion Thread

[Hornsby]

I figured that I'd be somewhere near the bottom, given that I really swung for the fences and took a lot of chances. Lots of kids, lots of upside, lots of potential downside as well. I think that everyone on my team is capable of hitting 20+ home runs, some 30-40. They're also capable of not playing for a month or more. Same with steals, guys like Zimmer could steal 40 bags, or he could be a 4th outfielder depending on the health of Cleveland's other outfielders, and potential trades.

Can't agree with the saves projection. Holland will be closing somewhere, Robertson has a good chance of getting traded, and Hirano might get a shot, although the numbers were run before I chose him. Wins is always a crapshoot, if Hamels and Cueto bounce back, I'm good, if not, oh well, they were worth a try.

It's a go big or go home bunch, because my philosophy this year is that I don't care if I finish in the money, I want to win. And that can take a lot of risks.

I do like the job that Feral Slasher did, really solid team. That's good to see since he joined the RJEL this year, I always love a good competitor.

Best of luck to all...

[swampdragon]

I am gonna need some wins

[The Feral Slasher]

I figured that I'd be somewhere near the bottom, given that I really swung for the fences and took a lot of chances. Lots of kids, lots of upside, lots of potential downside as well. I think that everyone on my team is capable of hitting 20+ home runs, some 30-40. They're also capable of not playing for a month or more. Same with steals, guys like Zimmer could steal 40 bags, or he could be a 4th outfielder depending on the health of Cleveland's other outfielders, and potential trades.

Can't agree with the saves projection. Holland will be closing somewhere, Robertson has a good chance of getting traded, and Hirano might get a shot, although the numbers were run before I chose him. Wins is always a crapshoot, if Hamels and Cueto bounce back, I'm good, if not, oh well, they were worth a try.

It's a go big or go home bunch, because my philosophy this year is that I don't care if I finish in the money, I want to win. And that can take a lot of risks.

I do like the job that Feral Slasher did, really solid team. That's good to see since he joined the RJEL this year, I always love a good competitor.

Best of luck to all...

thanks, as others noted I leaned pretty hard on Fangraphs projections since I didn't play last year and really just started looking at stuff. You wouldn't believe how much stuff changes in a year. looking forward to playing this out since I'm not too optimistic I'll compete in RJEL this year.

[Hornsby]

thanks, as others noted I leaned pretty hard on Fangraphs projections since I didn't play last year and really just started looking at stuff. You wouldn't believe how much stuff changes in a year. looking forward to playing this out since I'm not too optimistic I'll compete in RJEL this year.

I think that you've got some nice pieces, but it's a tough row to hoe basicly starting from scratch. But I've always had a lot of fun actually rebuilding a team, and I think that your draft skills show that you'll be able to make it happen. People are going to come banging on your door soon enough to try to steal the good stuff from you. It's a cutthroat league...

[The Feral Slasher]

I think that you've got some nice pieces, but it's a tough row to hoe basicly starting from scratch. But I've always had a lot of fun actually rebuilding a team, and I think that your draft skills show that you'll be able to make it happen. People are going to come banging on your door soon enough to try to steal the good stuff from you. It's a cutthroat league...

They already are : )

[joncarlos]

Team strengths/weaknesses:

Joncarlos - top 6 in every category but SB and Saves, where he's bottom 4. Relying only on Kenley (plus a Kela lottery ticket) makes the projections put him bottom 4 in saves despite having the best closer (similar discussion as my team above with Kimbrel). 81 SB projected are the low number for the league.

Anyway, hope this was helpful!

I think this is super helpful. I was deliberately light on steals. I just never got to a place where I was happy taking a steals guy. I am hoping the volatility in season and the lower totals will make the mid-pack teams bunch together and give me an opportunity to make a move up if needed.

I was NOT deliberately light on saves. I agree, it seems dumb to pick Jansen early and then not back him up with a 2nd. I should have taken Colome in round 8, but I just really like Smoak and really don't like the lower-tier CI guys. I just couldn't pull the trigger on an Archie Bradley, or Blake Parker, or even Gregerson. I think Gregerson would have been a smart play but I just can't see STL rolling with him. Soria was a big miss. I didn't need CarGo that badly. Ah well - live and learn.

[Ken]

Just 10 picks left total, lets all get over to the draft and finish it off.

[mjl]

I think this is super helpful. I was deliberately light on steals. I just never got to a place where I was happy taking a steals guy. I am hoping the volatility in season and the lower totals will make the mid-pack teams bunch together and give me an opportunity to make a move up if needed.

I was NOT deliberately light on saves. I agree, it seems dumb to pick Jansen early and then not back him up with a 2nd. I should have taken Colome in round 8, but I just really like Smoak and really don't like the lower-tier CI guys. I just couldn't pull the trigger on an Archie Bradley, or Blake Parker, or even Gregerson. I think Gregerson would have been a smart play but I just can't see STL rolling with him. Soria was a big miss. I didn't need CarGo that badly. Ah well - live and learn.

as the guy with Colome and Gregerson - I can't see STL sticking with Gregerson either, but (a) he has been a closer before, (b) last year was his first bad year, and (c) if your plan is to scrounge up saves during the season, spending an 18th round pick to get five or ten saves before they give up on him is about the same cost as trying to FAAB someone in June. If they sign Holland I'll be a little hosed, but I did get Lyons if they give up on Gregerson and stay in-house.

[Big Tymer]

I drafted without Rotolab for this one (since its not out for Mac yet) though glad to see I still was able to build a balanced roster. I went with speed early which in turn led to some OBA tradeoffs along with power. Also went with an ace + 2 strong closer pitching staff approach as after DeGrom I don't have any top-40 SP types but plan to stream and thus took a lot of "hopefully" good ratio, high K relievers. Since we're playing this out, I'll likely try and flip some speed for power & OBA at some point (be that Albies or Buxton most likely). In hindsight, I didn't really need Bregman in round 2 but liked his dual eligibility and strong 5-category skill set. When I drafted him the idea was to plug him in at MI but then the 1B went before I was able to grab 2 and thus stuck Bregman at CI which doesn't maximize the value he has.

A little surprised that my OBA projection is only .330 as I personally am a bit more bullish on some of my guys but looking forward to seeing this thru.

[The Feral Slasher]

Now when I click on a link to any of the fantrax stuff from my home computer it says league not found but works fine from my phone...anyone else having issues ?

Edit: apparently just had to log back in for some reason, nevermind : )

[The Feral Slasher]

As I was entering the rosters into Rotolab, I saw some teams who appeared to have big holes this late, yet had drafted players who in prior years would have qualified at those positions that needed to be filled. For instance, Hanley at 1B or Nelson Cruz in the OF. Knowing that I set the eligibility for 20 games last year and that these players did not qualify there, I was wondering what was going on. Only now did I see a small box, on a hidden page in their front office, was checked off for "Also Use Fantrax's Default Position," which unbeknownst to me wrongly gave these players eligibility at these positions.

It only affects a small handful of players, and while it's too late to make any changes now, I do believe this should be corrected before the season begins.

It was well-stated that 20 games is the eligibility requirement, so I don't think anyone should object, even if it was a mistake.

Soooo....the league settings will be updated at some point to indicate when our roster is invalid, right ? Still letting me use Hanley at 1B. Not that I'm in a rush...just might help people recognize if they drafted into a bad situation

[revo]

Soooo....the league settings will be updated at some point to indicate when our roster is invalid, right ? Still letting me use Hanley at 1B. Not that I'm in a rush...just might help people recognize if they drafted into a bad situation

Done.

[cool hand]

Can any of the rotolab guys put up the projections with numbers for categories?
Might be asking a lot for this site - maybe post a spreadsheet?
This is a learning exercise, right?? lol

[revo]

TEAM         BUDGET   AVAIL   SPENT   VALUE  PROFIT     ETV    FPTS
===================================================================
bigjon          260      40     220     236      16     244     228
mjl             260      40     220     236      16     244     117
piney           260      40     220     247      27     255     590
tymers          260      40     220     264      44     272     197
mith            260      40     220     233      13     241     452
slasher         260      40     220     239      19     247     733
cool hand       260      40     220     249      29     257     593
bucky           260      40     220     223       3     231     703
fresno          260      40     220     250      30     258     485
dmt             260      40     220     265      45     273     444
swampy          260      40     220     249      29     257     237
revo            260      40     220     278      58     286     389
ottawa          260      40     220     232      12     240     725
joncarlos       260      40     220     271      51     279     400
hornsby         260      40     220     200     -20     208     417
mgwiz22         260      40     220     229       9     237     637
ken             260      40     220     261      41     269     174

HITTING          AB      RN      HR     RBI      SB     OBA
===========================================================
bigjon         6394     929     299     941     101    .347  
mjl            6481     910     251     821     158    .329  
piney          6582     949     295     970     103    .339  
tymers         6527     948     277     910     152    .331  
mith           6382     887     269     861      91    .329  
slasher        6474     901     308     916     102    .321  
cool hand      6395     940     296     944     111    .334  
bucky          6484     932     260     908      91    .342  
fresno         6530     955     231     841     139    .343  
dmt            6815     981     245     986     165    .338  
swampy         6860    1000     276     981     110    .344  
revo           6704    1002     260     962     120    .338  
ottawa         6653     917     272     920     129    .326  
joncarlos      6604     962     304     952      91    .345  
hornsby        6104     864     246     825     143    .323  
mgwiz22        6671     988     264     845     155    .334  
ken            6702     945     257     897     130    .334  

PITCHING         IP      WN      SV      SO     ERA   RATIO
===========================================================
bigjon         1203      86      35    1147    3.81    1.28  
mjl            1230      81      75    1251    3.45    1.19  
piney          1153      73      77    1122    3.69    1.23  
tymers         1256      75      84    1268    3.51    1.23  
mith           1218      82      80    1318    3.32    1.15  
slasher        1181      77      75    1279    3.50    1.19  
cool hand       987      60     112    1085    3.48    1.22  
bucky          1130      67     100    1071    3.52    1.22  
fresno         1259      81      76    1293    3.45    1.20  
dmt            1132      75      69    1158    3.59    1.23  
swampy         1182      77      34    1172    3.64    1.24  
revo           1428      94      66    1339    3.60    1.22  
ottawa         1210      83      72    1122    3.52    1.20  
joncarlos      1237      86      51    1307    3.61    1.22  
hornsby        1161      78      37    1255    3.44    1.18  
mgwiz22        1445      89       0    1190    3.66    1.25  
ken            1300      83      77    1434    3.60    1.24  


TEAM             RN    HR   RBI    SB   OBA    WN    SV    SO   ERA RATIO    HIT    PIT    TOT
==============================================================================================
revo           17.0   6.5  14.0   9.0  10.0  17.0   6.0  16.0   6.0  10.0   56.5   55.0  111.5
joncarlos      13.0  16.0  13.0   2.0  16.0  14.5   5.0  14.0   5.0   9.0   60.0   47.5  107.5
fresno         12.0   1.0   3.0  12.0  14.0   9.5  11.0  13.0  14.0  13.0   42.0   60.5  102.5
tymers         10.0  12.0   8.0  14.0   6.0   4.5  15.0  11.0  11.0   6.0   50.0   47.5   97.5
mith            2.0   9.0   5.0   2.0   5.0  11.0  14.0  15.0  17.0  17.0   23.0   74.0   97.0
cool hand       8.0  14.0  12.0   8.0   9.0   1.0  17.0   2.0  13.0   8.0   51.0   41.0   92.0
ken             9.0   5.0   6.0  11.0   8.0  12.5  12.5  17.0   7.0   4.0   39.0   53.0   92.0
dmt            14.0   2.0  17.0  17.0  11.0   4.5   7.0   6.0   8.0   5.0   61.0   30.5   91.5
slasher         3.0  17.0   9.0   5.0   1.0   6.5   9.5  12.0  12.0  14.0   35.0   54.0   89.0
swampy         16.0  11.0  16.0   7.0  15.0   6.5   2.0   7.0   4.0   3.0   65.0   22.5   87.5
mjl             4.0   4.0   1.0  16.0   4.0   9.5   9.5   9.0  15.0  15.0   29.0   58.0   87.0
piney          11.0  13.0  15.0   6.0  12.0   3.0  12.5   3.5   2.0   7.0   57.0   28.0   85.0
ottawa          5.0  10.0  10.0  10.0   3.0  12.5   8.0   3.5  10.0  12.0   38.0   46.0   84.0
mgwiz22        15.0   8.0   4.0  15.0   7.0  16.0   1.0   8.0   3.0   2.0   49.0   30.0   79.0
bigjon          6.0  15.0  11.0   4.0  17.0  14.5   3.0   5.0   1.0   1.0   53.0   24.5   77.5
hornsby         1.0   3.0   2.0  13.0   2.0   8.0   4.0  10.0  16.0  16.0   21.0   54.0   75.0
bucky           7.0   6.5   7.0   2.0  13.0   2.0  16.0   1.0   9.0  11.0   35.5   39.0   74.5

[Ken]

Just glancing over those projections, the ERA and WHIP values look extremely optimistic. Worst ERA is 3.8? That would have placed 2nd in my 14 team mixed last year, 2nd in a 15 team mixed, and 4th in another 15 team mixed. And it's 17th?

Worst WHIP is 1.28 which seems very low as well.

Strange. I wonder why the projections are that far off of last year's numbers.