Excited to get Betts to play second with my first round pick... second round comes around , my queue empties right before my pick, and my top 3 favorites left are all 2nd basemen.
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2024 SeaDogStat Memorial League Commentary
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Originally posted by Big Tymer View PostWasn’t planning to go SP but couldn’t pass on Burnes“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert Einstein
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Originally posted by heyelander View PostExcited to get Betts to play second with my first round pick... second round comes around , my queue empties right before my pick, and my top 3 favorites left are all 2nd basemen.“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert Einstein
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Originally posted by madducks View Post
Hearing about his 1-2 mph velocity drop last season made me a little skittish on him. But, he's with a better team now, so maybe it won't matter.
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Originally posted by Big Tymer View Post
Fair. Camden Yards and the Orioles lineup are big upgrades. Changing leagues but that can go either way as batters haven’t seen him much. Death, taxes and pitchers get hurt though…
The research also showed the year-to-year numbers aren't that sticky, so the same can't necessarily be said this season.
The driving force is currently, aggregate hitting is better in the NL (or maybe AL pitching is worse). The problem with this sort of study is the teams faced are not the same. This is extreme, but if the best pitchers faced the best hitters and the worst pitchers faced the worst hitters, the aggregate best pitchers ERA and the aggregate worst pitchers ERA would be close (same for hitter wOBA).
Follow me on Twitter @ToddZola
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Revo and I have similar teams so far...lots of speed with the first pick, both got 2b in round 2, and both got young 3B in round 3. De La Cruz was maybe a reach, but I figured I would take some risks if I hope to finish well.---------------------------------------------
Champagne for breakfast and a Sherman in my hand !
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The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.
George Orwell, 1984
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Kinda quiet in here.... I thought Acuna was a solid pick---------------------------------------------
Champagne for breakfast and a Sherman in my hand !
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The Party told you to reject the evidence of your eyes and ears. It was their final, most essential command.
George Orwell, 1984
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So…is Snell a #3SP with #1SP upside, or a #1SP with #3SP downside risk?2021 Auction Anatomy
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RotoJunkie Posts: 4,314
RotoJunkie Join Date: Jun 2001
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Originally posted by heyelander View Postwe are in the 6th round and I fucking hate my team
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RotoJunkie Posts: 4,314
RotoJunkie Join Date: Jun 2001
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Originally posted by ThatRogue View PostSo…is Snell a #3SP with #1SP upside, or a #1SP with #3SP downside risk?
The fact Snell has never strung together consecutive big season is always a concern. He's boom or bust; when he pitched 140+ innings, he wins hardware.
2024 Snell = 2022 Robbie Ray is the message I've been drumming all winter. The correlations are too similar.
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I've talked about Snell with Nick Pollack a couple of times. Nick's research shows that Snell consistently pitched in areas which generate weak contact, so the low BABIP wasn't all luck.
The narrative is Snell pitched around better hitters, knowing he could retire the weaker hitters.
I can't dispute the fact Snell generated a lot of deserved weak contact. The numbers corroborate it.
Given Snell's track record with respect to control, I question his ability to keep the ball in those "low contact" areas. The problem is he did it too long to be dumb luck.
It is also curious that no one expects him to do it again. Doesn't this point towards it not being a skill?
Nick's explanation is Snell got into an extended groove, one which he may not be able to recapture after the offseason.
This seems a bit sketchy to me, but I have never pitched, other than Boston College Grad School Slow Pitch League. Nick pitched (quite successfully) through the collegiate level, so I accept his reasoning..Follow me on Twitter @ToddZola
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Originally posted by Moonlight J View Post
Yes?
The fact Snell has never strung together consecutive big season is always a concern. He's boom or bust; when he pitched 140+ innings, he wins hardware.
2024 Snell = 2022 Robbie Ray is the message I've been drumming all winter. The correlations are too similar.
Originally posted by Todd Zola View PostI've talked about Snell with Nick Pollack a couple of times. Nick's research shows that Snell consistently pitched in areas which generate weak contact, so the low BABIP wasn't all luck.
The narrative is Snell pitched around better hitters, knowing he could retire the weaker hitters.
I can't dispute the fact Snell generated a lot of deserved weak contact. The numbers corroborate it.
Given Snell's track record with respect to control, I question his ability to keep the ball in those "low contact" areas. The problem is he did it too long to be dumb luck.
It is also curious that no one expects him to do it again. Doesn't this point towards it not being a skill?
Nick's explanation is Snell got into an extended groove, one which he may not be able to recapture after the offseason.
This seems a bit sketchy to me, but I have never pitched, other than Boston College Grad School Slow Pitch League. Nick pitched (quite successfully) through the collegiate level, so I accept his reasoning..
So does that make him a streaky pitcher capable of finding a next-level way to avoid contact that few in the game can rival? Or was it truly a once-in-a-lifetime (or is that twice if you count 2018) groove that's just not repeatable? As an MLB team owner I don't know if I'd pay the cost to find out, nor would I want to pay the probable high cost in an auction league. But as a 3rd SP taken in the 6th round of a 15 team league, he will be a lot more fun to watch.2021 Auction Anatomy
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RotoJunkie Posts: 4,314
RotoJunkie Join Date: Jun 2001
Location: U.S.A.
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Snell also got off to a terrible start in 2022. I just figured that his off-season conditioning (physical and mental) needed improvement.
Maybe teams are waiting until June to try to sign him lol.“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert Einstein
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