Originally posted by Ken
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2017 RJ Mock One Discussion Thread
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Bob- I'm not exactly sure it would ROCK as you say it Byron.. it may be cool, by typical text book descriptions. Your opinion of this is shallow and poorly constructed, but allow me to re-craft your initial thought into something tangable.
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Originally posted by Piney Boy View PostWhy is my MI not filled?
Maybe he was going by the rosters I was posting. Even though you posted Carpenter as 2b when you picked him in the 4th round, I think I may have overlooked that and put him in one of your corner positions. I fixed your roster, however, a few days ago to show Carpenter at MI - and this morning I moved him to 2b, and put Hernandez in MI."Experience is simply the name we give our mistakes." Oscar Wilde
"The best way to find yourself is to lose yourself in the service of others." Gandhi
WRL (AL-only) Champion (league started in 1997) - 1997, '98, 2000, '03, '08, '15, '16, '17
PVRL (NL-only) Champion (league started in 1986)- 1993, 2004, '05, '06, '10, '11, '14, '16, '17
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Originally posted by kawaise View PostYour MI is filled.
Maybe he was going by the rosters I was posting. Even though you posted Carpenter as 2b when you picked him in the 4th round, I think I may have overlooked that and put him in one of your corner positions. I fixed your roster, however, a few days ago to show Carpenter at MI - and this morning I moved him to 2b, and put Hernandez in MI.
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Now that everyone has filled in their lineups, here is a spreadsheet I put together for some macro analysis based on Steamer projections:
However, before anyone complains, some caveats and nuggets:
1) I did not draft with steamer projections in mind. If I had it would have skewed the numbers. Any time you use a set of projections and then rank your competitors, you'll generally come out "ahead" if you are the only one using those projections. I put this together after drafting my lineup not before.
2) Take these with a heavy heavy grain of salt, a lot of the "ranking" is simply determined by playing time projections. For example, my team is heavily penalized for Moncada, who is not projected for a full season of ABs, but obviously if he's not playing I'm not starting him. The same goes for all teams.
3) Even the best projections are very far from perfect so again, if we were taking this too seriously it would be an exercise in futility. Instead it is just one indicator and hopefully allows everyone to have another data point to analyze where their strengths and weaknesses are. My biggest weakness is ignoring the AVG category, and this is evident in the analysis.
I put the team pick order in the spreadsheet to see if there are any patterns. Overall the numbers are pretty scattered, but Piney and Big Tymer (picks 1 and 2) are both top 4.
Let me know if anything I need to adjust, it's certainly possible that there are some mistakes.
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Originally posted by Ken View PostNow that everyone has filled in their lineups, here is a spreadsheet I put together for some macro analysis based on Steamer projections:
However, before anyone complains, some caveats and nuggets:
1) I did not draft with steamer projections in mind. If I had it would have skewed the numbers. Any time you use a set of projections and then rank your competitors, you'll generally come out "ahead" if you are the only one using those projections. I put this together after drafting my lineup not before.
2) Take these with a heavy heavy grain of salt, a lot of the "ranking" is simply determined by playing time projections. For example, my team is heavily penalized for Moncada, who is not projected for a full season of ABs, but obviously if he's not playing I'm not starting him. The same goes for all teams.
3) Even the best projections are very far from perfect so again, if we were taking this too seriously it would be an exercise in futility. Instead it is just one indicator and hopefully allows everyone to have another data point to analyze where their strengths and weaknesses are. My biggest weakness is ignoring the AVG category, and this is evident in the analysis.
I put the team pick order in the spreadsheet to see if there are any patterns. Overall the numbers are pretty scattered, but Piney and Big Tymer (picks 1 and 2) are both top 4.
Let me know if anything I need to adjust, it's certainly possible that there are some mistakes.
Suffice it to say, steamer does NOT like my pitching. And that's WITH them giving Neris 27 saves. Mostly, steamer hates Marco Estrada (4.69 ERA/1.30 WHIP) and isn't in love with Daniel Norris either (1.32 WHIP).
Interesting that SBs are so closely bunched - there's a 118, two 117s, a 113, a 106, a 103, a 102 and a 101.
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Originally posted by Ken View PostNow that everyone has filled in their lineups, here is a spreadsheet I put together for some macro analysis based on Steamer projections:
However, before anyone complains, some caveats and nuggets:
1) I did not draft with steamer projections in mind. If I had it would have skewed the numbers. Any time you use a set of projections and then rank your competitors, you'll generally come out "ahead" if you are the only one using those projections. I put this together after drafting my lineup not before.
2) Take these with a heavy heavy grain of salt, a lot of the "ranking" is simply determined by playing time projections. For example, my team is heavily penalized for Moncada, who is not projected for a full season of ABs, but obviously if he's not playing I'm not starting him. The same goes for all teams.
3) Even the best projections are very far from perfect so again, if we were taking this too seriously it would be an exercise in futility. Instead it is just one indicator and hopefully allows everyone to have another data point to analyze where their strengths and weaknesses are. My biggest weakness is ignoring the AVG category, and this is evident in the analysis.
I put the team pick order in the spreadsheet to see if there are any patterns. Overall the numbers are pretty scattered, but Piney and Big Tymer (picks 1 and 2) are both top 4.
Let me know if anything I need to adjust, it's certainly possible that there are some mistakes.
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Originally posted by harmon View PostAble to share this?
Code:TEAM RN HR RBI SB AVG WN SV SO ERA RATIO tymer 15.0 15.0 15.0 7.0 11.0 10.0 13.0 12.0 12.0 10.0 63.0 57.0 120.0 kawaise 14.0 8.5 14.0 5.0 16.0 12.0 10.5 14.0 10.0 13.0 57.5 59.5 117.0 DMT 16.0 13.0 13.0 3.0 14.0 16.0 2.5 15.0 2.0 9.0 59.0 44.5 103.5 quoin 13.0 16.0 16.0 1.0 1.0 9.0 5.0 5.0 16.0 16.0 47.0 51.0 98.0 madducks 7.0 10.0 6.0 16.0 7.0 2.0 16.0 2.0 13.0 15.0 46.0 48.0 94.0 hornsby 12.0 11.5 10.0 4.0 8.0 1.0 12.0 1.0 15.0 14.0 45.5 43.0 88.5 revo 6.0 7.0 11.0 8.0 6.0 13.0 10.5 10.0 9.0 6.0 38.0 48.5 86.5 ken 3.0 8.5 1.0 15.0 4.0 11.0 8.0 9.0 14.0 12.0 31.5 54.0 85.5 hammer 10.0 3.0 12.0 6.0 13.0 6.0 9.0 8.0 7.0 8.0 44.0 38.0 82.0 harmon 2.0 11.5 7.0 10.5 2.0 15.0 4.0 11.0 4.0 11.0 33.0 45.0 78.0 joncarlos 8.0 5.0 8.0 10.5 9.0 3.5 14.0 7.0 5.0 7.0 40.5 36.5 77.0 chancellor 11.0 4.0 9.0 9.0 12.0 8.0 6.5 3.0 6.0 3.0 45.0 26.5 71.5 benjamin 1.0 2.0 2.0 14.0 10.0 5.0 2.5 16.0 11.0 5.0 29.0 39.5 68.5 Piney 5.0 6.0 3.5 13.0 5.0 3.5 15.0 4.0 8.0 4.0 32.5 34.5 67.0 mgwiz22 9.0 1.0 3.5 12.0 15.0 14.0 1.0 6.0 3.0 2.0 40.5 26.0 66.5 bucky 4.0 14.0 5.0 2.0 3.0 7.0 6.5 13.0 1.0 1.0 28.0 28.5 56.5
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Interesting that Steamer projects Miller to get more saves than Allen (20-18). And poor Jim Johnson gets no respect with only 11 projected saves.“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert Einstein
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Are we doing a six or seven-man bench?"Experience is simply the name we give our mistakes." Oscar Wilde
"The best way to find yourself is to lose yourself in the service of others." Gandhi
WRL (AL-only) Champion (league started in 1997) - 1997, '98, 2000, '03, '08, '15, '16, '17
PVRL (NL-only) Champion (league started in 1986)- 1993, 2004, '05, '06, '10, '11, '14, '16, '17
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Originally posted by chancellor View PostIdiots. Brewers will be fortunate to get 2/3rds that. Really fortunate.
A silly analogy -- You walk into a 2nd grade classroom and find yourself to be the smartest person in the room. Based on that information alone, please tell me how you will compare to the student body at MIT. Show your work
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