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"Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake."
- Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)
"Your shitty future continues to offend me."
-Warren Ellis -
Since my handicap of the Texas race was so successful, I may as well repeat it for the outstanding states:
Chances of Biden winning:
Pennsylvania ~90% - the math is heavily in Biden's favor, but until the votes are actually counted there's still some uncertainty
Nevada ~85% - Biden with a very small lead now and expected that the remaining votes will fall to him - I would think if that weren't true we'd be hearing more from the Trump campaign about it
Georgia ~70% - this is going to be very close but the math from NY Times and other seem to indicate a slight edge for Biden
Arizona ~60% - this is going to be closer than I expected but I think Trump will come up just short based on the size of the lead Biden has currently
North Carolina ~30% - this is expected to move toward Biden and I think the votes could be there for him, but NY Times math has him coming up short, so I'm reluctant to be too bullish on this one
Alaska <1% - no reason to think Biden has a real shot here but the counting just isn't far enough along for anyone to call it, I guess"Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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Bovada has pulled the betting on Arizona.
Latest odds:
US: Biden -770
Georgia: Biden -170
Pennsylvania: Biden -650
Nevada: Biden -900Comment
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MSNBC is live outside of the Maricopa County Elections Dept where a group of 200 Trump supporters have gathered yelling that Arizona is stealing the election from Trump. Armed guards all around to keep them at bay.Comment
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In PA, the remaining Allegheny County mail in ballots have been running 80/20 for Biden; Philadelphia County and its 3 suburb counties are running nearly 90/10. Philly and Allegheny will update their totals sometime tonight. All of PA might be done by tomorrow night. 847,000 remaining.Comment
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now that I think about it, if Trump loses, which I always hoped he does, even though whatever happens doesn't really personally benefit me either way, i'd rather he lose a close election and feel burned and be obsessed about it forever.
it's a small minded way for me to think, but sometimes you have to enjoy the small things in life.Comment
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the libertarian vote caused Trump to lose Wisconsin and Michigan. thank you Libertarians. we owe you for that.Comment
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Trump's lead in Georgia down to 15k votes with about 68k votes left to count.
These votes have been breaking >70% for Biden, so Biden may end up with a lead in the range of 10-15k votes when all is said and done."Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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Trump won Michigan by 11k votes in 2016, and Georgia this year will likely have a similar margin for the winner."Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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This seems to be the guy to follow on Twitter for Georgia updates:
"Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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Pennsylvania is at 164k vote lead for Trump currently, tracking to ending up somewhere around a 50k lead for Biden when all are counted."Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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A variety of people are saying they believe Arizona is safe for Biden, but I haven't seen anyone put numbers to that claim."Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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