538 moves ME-2 from tossup to lean D based on exit polls suggesting that 3rd party votes will be reallocated to Golden based on Maines new instant runoff voting law.
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2018 Midterm Election Thread
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538 has now moved AZ from a tossup to a lean Democrat. The vote amount still out in Sinema's Congressional District AZ 9 is one of the main reasons.
I think we are now looking at an R+2 in the Senate and until we get clarity on that weird number of Senate votes cast vs Gov votes cast in Broward we can't be sure. That said unless that anomaly is proven to be machine error and we go to the recount with roughly a 10K difference a recount has never chagned a vote by more than about 1,200 and that was the Bush - Gore FL recount of 2000. Since no one including the Florida Law Enforcement has to this time found any fraudlent voting I am inclined to say unlike 2,000 where we were partially debatng chads and dimples we aren't going to get a change in this election unless the machine just didn't count those Broward votes, but as of now I am inclined to believe that people just forgot to vote.
CA is going to take forever to count up the outstanding congressional races there, good read on what is going on and explains that generally speaking most CA races move around 2 points toward Democrats during this process...
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As the California late votes are being tallied, the Democrats are gaining in all of the close races.
1) In CA-10, Josh Harder (D) now has a 1.8% lead over incumbent Jeff Denham.
2) In CA-48, Harley Rouda (D) has increased his lead over incumbent Dana Rohrbacher to 3.6%.
3) In CA-25, Katie Hill (D) is up by 3.4% over incumbent Steve Knight.
4) In CA-49, Mike Levin (D) is up by 8.6% over Diane Harkey (Darrell Issa's old seat).
5) In CA-45, Katie Porter (D) is within 1.0% (2000 votes) of incumbent Mimi Walters.
6) In CA-39, Gil Cisneros (D) is within 1.6% (2700 votes) of Young Kim (Ed Royce's old seat).
There is a strong chance the Democrats could end up flipping all 6 of the "close" races, and wind up with 45 of California's 53 seats.
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Originally posted by revo View PostDopey Donnie Boy is floating conspiracy theories and tweeting that Arizona should hold a re-election. Hey, let’s hold a re-election in Florida, and hey, why not, how about a redo of the 2016 election while we’re at it?If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel Paige
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Originally posted by DMT View PostAll just attempts to distract from the shellacking his party just took.
Republicans lost the House last night. Today there are no riots, no protests, no videos of large groups of voters sobbing uncontrollably, no grief counselors sent to schools, no celebrities threatening to move to Canada, no property was destroyed, no cars overturned, nothing set on fire.
No outrage, no drama. Life goes on even if you didn’t get what you wanted. Let’s hope others can learn from this example.I know in my heart that man is good. That what is right will always eventually triumph and there is purpose and worth to each and every life.
Ronald Reagan
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Originally posted by Bernie Brewer View PostI’ll admit I saw this on twitter but I don’t know how to link a tweet into this thread. I thought it was interesting, particularly after the “shellacking” the GOP took in the midterms.
I don’t know who the writer is so I’m not endorsing him or her, I’m just saying this is insightful.
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Originally posted by Bernie Brewer View PostI’ll admit I saw this on twitter but I don’t know how to link a tweet into this thread. I thought it was interesting, particularly after the “shellacking” the GOP took in the midterms.
I don’t know who the writer is so I’m not endorsing him or her, I’m just saying this is insightful.If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel Paige
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trump, scott, rubio are absolutely dangerously unhinged with yowling about fruad, corruption, theft by crooked liberals in democrats simply wanting the counts to be completed. and to call it such when there is zero factual basis of fraud, why not openly call for the next crazed gunman to make his mark at a town near you. just terribly dangerous stuff happening.
i mean, having the votes count isnt a radical idea. trump wants a re vote in arizona, thats a new level of not at all how this works stupid.
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Originally posted by Bernie Brewer View PostI don’t know who the writer is so I’m not endorsing him or her, I’m just saying this is insightful."The Times found no pattern of sexual misconduct by Mr. Biden, beyond the hugs, kisses and touching that women previously said made them uncomfortable." -NY Times
"For a woman to come forward in the glaring lights of focus, nationally, you’ve got to start off with the presumption that at least the essence of what she’s talking about is real, whether or not she forgets facts" - Joe Biden
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Originally posted by gcstomp View Posttrump, scott, rubio are absolutely dangerously unhinged with yowling about fruad, corruption, theft by crooked liberals in democrats simply wanting the counts to be completed. and to call it such when there is zero factual basis of fraud, why not openly call for the next crazed gunman to make his mark at a town near you. just terribly dangerous stuff happening.
i mean, having the votes count isnt a radical idea. trump wants a re vote in arizona, thats a new level of not at all how this works stupid.I know in my heart that man is good. That what is right will always eventually triumph and there is purpose and worth to each and every life.
Ronald Reagan
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Yup rioting in the streets cars burning. People weeping. It’s almost the same as 2016.
This is odd, you are putting word after word of nonsense that you know is not true nor relevant to anything, down to make the point that what? the kind of reaction from one part of history/event is different than another (election of a clearly racist(build wall, make mexico pay), misogynist (grab her by the...) idiot should provoke a different reaction than a mixed midterm . we can review that we are now in a more deadly time, with again and again radical republican deranged white men sending bombs or shooting up synagogues at accelerated rates of coocoopuffs craziness, but this is different and better because fewer people are weeping about this election cycle? well, the people in charge are yelling fire, err fraud, baseless but dangerous to conflate that states with record voter participation and are taking longer than we would like to count ballots, are in some way stealing an election and there is fraud involved. florida will be another week yet as a hand re count will take that long.
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Originally posted by Bernie Brewer View PostYup rioting in the streets cars burning. People weeping. It’s almost the same as 2016.Last edited by frae; 11-10-2018, 01:13 PM.
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Bernie is trying to pretend he's non-partisan and failing miserably.If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel Paige
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Originally posted by frae View PostMy thought would be when Clinton lost our party leaders did not cry voter fraud in pa mi oh and wi. The president and the senator are questioning the validity of election results and that is a bedrock of our democracy. . We later talked about Russian influence but not vote stealing or voter fraud which continues to be a thing that doesn’t exist.I know in my heart that man is good. That what is right will always eventually triumph and there is purpose and worth to each and every life.
Ronald Reagan
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