2K24: Chicago Cubs

[Hammer]

I figured it was because his favorite food is carne asada a la cazuela.

stop profiling

[pitbull]

The trade seems like a no brainer to me. Take Soler.

[chancellor]

stop profiling

Mashawwi Akhbar!!!

[Gregg]

If the Cubs can hang on to their 5-0 lead against the Brewers (bottom of the 4th) it will be their best start in 107 years.

[Pauly]

paging Mith...paging Mith...Can I get a post about how crappy Jason Heyward is please?

[Ryno84MVP]

The Cubs have scored 93 more runs than their opponents through the first 26 games. It is the greatest differential through 26 games since 1905 and puts them on pace to shatter the all-time record of plus-411 set by the 1939 New York Yankees.

The Cubs winning percentage is .769 has them on a pace for 124 wins.

[Gregg]

The Cubs have scored 93 more runs than their opponents through the first 26 games. It is the greatest differential through 26 games since 1905 and puts them on pace to shatter the all-time record of plus-411 set by the 1939 New York Yankees.

The Cubs winning percentage is .769 has them on a pace for 124 wins.

Go Cubs Go!!

[Sharky]

Wouldn't mind some saves for Rondon though!

[Moonlight J]

tough to get saves when team is blowing people out most games

[Sharky]

Braves are 7-20 but Vizcaino has 3 saves.
Cubs are 20-6 and Rondon has 4 saves.


I hate saves.

[Sour Masher]

Braves are 7-20 but Vizcaino has 3 saves.
Cubs are 20-6 and Rondon has 4 saves.


I hate saves.

There is a great convo about them and the correlation between wins and saves spearheaded by Ken in the closers thread.

[Ken]

There is a great convo about them and the correlation between wins and saves spearheaded by Ken in the closers thread.

Yup.
From the sample data we pulled there, on average the primary closer gets saves on 37% of a team's wins.

Vizcaino is getting 42% and Rondon is currently at 20%.

The standard deviation across the sample is 12.5%, so, if these hold up Vizcaino would be .46 standard deviations above average (better than ~65% of primary closers historically), and Rondon is 1.6 standard deviations below which is around the 10% range (i.e. 10% of primary closers would have this type ratio or less across a full season).

[Sharky]

Yup.
From the sample data we pulled there, on average the primary closer gets saves on 37% of a team's wins.

Vizcaino is getting 42% and Rondon is currently at 20%.

The standard deviation across the sample is 12.5%, so, if these hold up Vizcaino would be .46 standard deviations above average (better than ~65% of primary closers historically), and Rondon is 1.6 standard deviations below which is around the 10% range (i.e. 10% of primary closers would have this type ratio or less across a full season).

Good stuff Ken!

Have you ever looked at the ratio adjusted for winning percentage of the team? For example if on average it's 37%, it might be 40% for sub-.500 teams and 34% for winning teams. Would be interesting to explore.

[Ken]

Good stuff Ken!

Have you ever looked at the ratio adjusted for winning percentage of the team? For example if on average it's 37%, it might be 40% for sub-.500 teams and 34% for winning teams. Would be interesting to explore.

Pretty standard across the board, winning percentage of 60%+, primary closer saves 39% of the wins, 50-60% winning percentage, 37%, 40-50%, 37%, less than 40% winning percentage 32% of wins saved by primary closer.

Split just into the two halves, 37.4% for teams above .500, 36.3% for teams below.

[Ken]

Yup.
From the sample data we pulled there, on average the primary closer gets saves on 37% of a team's wins.

Vizcaino is getting 42% and Rondon is currently at 20%.

The standard deviation across the sample is 12.5%, so, if these hold up Vizcaino would be .46 standard deviations above average (better than ~65% of primary closers historically), and Rondon is 1.6 standard deviations below which is around the 10% range (i.e. 10% of primary closers would have this type ratio or less across a full season).

Also Vizcaino was not the best example.

Kenley Jansen has saved 10 of the Dodgers 14 wins, a 71% rate that has never lasted a whole season. He's 2.75 standard deviations past the mean.
Jeffress is next at 7 out of 11.