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Getting an itchy trigger finger on Bogaerts: too early?

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  • Getting an itchy trigger finger on Bogaerts: too early?

    In this league -- 12-team, 6x6 mixed keeper -- players drafted 10th round and lower ("lower" meaning Rounds 11-22, not 1-9) can be kept for 2 years....and there are at least 3-4 Red Sox homers among my fellow owners. Way I see it, Bogaerts is the single top offensive prospect out there, being that (A) he plays thin SS spot, (B) he's moving up chain fast & could be up sometime this year assuming another injury to Drew (versus, say, Sano/Buxton who might not be up til 2014/2015, or Taveras who MIGHT be up this year, but can't seem to stay healthy), and (C) he's a potential 5-6 category fantasy stud.

    What I'm getting at is, I'm starting to get very antsy about just snagging him regardless of whether it eats up a fairly valuable roster spot (currently occupied by Scutaro or Kelly Johnson, guys who have been valuable due to positional flexibility and help in certain categories: Scutaro AVG/R, Johnson HR/RBI). And while I'd miss having them to plug in at 3B/SS/2B, I know I'd kick myself if I didn't one-up my competition and snag Bogaerts for the next two years...as a waiver wire 22nd rounder (!), which is potentially crazy value. I finished 3rd place first half (in the $), and am starting hot in 1st place second half, so I don't think I'd be hurting my team THAT much if I dropped Scutaro/Johnson for a flier on Bogaerts.

    Anyway, thoughts on when is too soon to pull the prospect trigger? For context, here's my team:

    C-Rosario
    1B-C.Davis
    2B-Utley
    SS-Scutaro
    3B-Hanley
    DH-Dunn
    OF-Cuddyer, Choo, McLouth, Raj.Davis
    Bench/OF/UTIL: K.Johnson, Cespedes
    SP-Darvish, Price, Kluber, Erasmo, Beachy (DL)
    RP-Chapman, Mariano, Nathan, JJohnson, G.Holland, Brothers

    Edit to add: Next year, 2 of my 3keepers could be Chris Davis (21st rd) and Bogaerts (22nd).
    Last edited by Msaint; 07-24-2013, 05:44 PM.
    12-team mixed keeper. 6x6 (OBP, QS the extra categories).

    C- J.McCann
    1B-Cron
    2B- Villar
    SS- Andrus
    3B-Baez
    MI-L. Gurriel
    CI- Y.Gurriel
    OF- Blackmon, Judge, Betts, Dom.Santana
    UTIL- Benintendi
    BENCH: Pence, Dyson
    SP: Verlander, Scherzer, M. Boyd, JA Happ, Ponce de Leon
    RP: Yates, Greene, C.Martinez, Oberg, Bummer, N.Anderson
    IL: Buxton

  • #2
    I can't believe he's unowned as he's rostered in my 10 team AL and 14 team Mixed leagues. I would grab him before a bottom feeder realizes he's available.

    Drop Johnson and don't look back.

    Ottawa Triple Eh's | P.I.M.P.S. | 14 team keep forever
    Champions 16,21 | Runner up 17,19-20

    The FOS (retired) | MTARBL | 12 team AL 5x5
    Champions 01,05,17 | Runner up 13-15,20

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by virgonomic View Post
      I can't believe he's unowned as he's rostered in my 10 team AL and 14 team Mixed leagues. I would grab him before a bottom feeder realizes he's available.

      Drop Johnson and don't look back.
      yeah, it is pretty surprising. this league has mostly, if not all, very active, astute owners, and like four 2-owner teams (meaning there are TWO guys asleep at the wheel).
      12-team mixed keeper. 6x6 (OBP, QS the extra categories).

      C- J.McCann
      1B-Cron
      2B- Villar
      SS- Andrus
      3B-Baez
      MI-L. Gurriel
      CI- Y.Gurriel
      OF- Blackmon, Judge, Betts, Dom.Santana
      UTIL- Benintendi
      BENCH: Pence, Dyson
      SP: Verlander, Scherzer, M. Boyd, JA Happ, Ponce de Leon
      RP: Yates, Greene, C.Martinez, Oberg, Bummer, N.Anderson
      IL: Buxton

      Comment


      • #4
        Yeah, i would go for it. But, i would drop Scutero before K.Johnson. I think the drop off in Sutero's HR/RBI numbers is much greater than the drop off in K.Johnson's AVG/R numbers. It looks like K.Johnson's numbers are trending up as he becomes more familiar with AL pitchers while Scutero's AVG is dropping since his big month of May when he hit .420.
        “Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”

        ― Albert Einstein

        Comment


        • #5
          What about dropping Brothers? You have 5 closers and he is just a stopgap.

          Ottawa Triple Eh's | P.I.M.P.S. | 14 team keep forever
          Champions 16,21 | Runner up 17,19-20

          The FOS (retired) | MTARBL | 12 team AL 5x5
          Champions 01,05,17 | Runner up 13-15,20

          Comment


          • #6
            Originally posted by virgonomic View Post
            What about dropping Brothers? You have 5 closers and he is just a stopgap.
            i'll look to trade him before i'd drop him. plus, betancourt is 38, injury prone, and could be dealt, so i think brothers hangs on. you're 100% right, i am deep there, but closers have been hoarded like gold in this league, and always make great trade pieces.
            12-team mixed keeper. 6x6 (OBP, QS the extra categories).

            C- J.McCann
            1B-Cron
            2B- Villar
            SS- Andrus
            3B-Baez
            MI-L. Gurriel
            CI- Y.Gurriel
            OF- Blackmon, Judge, Betts, Dom.Santana
            UTIL- Benintendi
            BENCH: Pence, Dyson
            SP: Verlander, Scherzer, M. Boyd, JA Happ, Ponce de Leon
            RP: Yates, Greene, C.Martinez, Oberg, Bummer, N.Anderson
            IL: Buxton

            Comment


            • #7
              Yeah, Betancourt had appendicitis, you can probably write him off the rest of the season.

              I'd cut Scutaro.

              Comment


              • #8
                Cut Scutaro for Bogaerts last night. Thanks for input, everyone. And were you being facetious about Betancourt, JC? Surrrrre sounded like it.......yes, I'd certainly be more worried about his groin/age/trade-ability than lack of appendix.
                12-team mixed keeper. 6x6 (OBP, QS the extra categories).

                C- J.McCann
                1B-Cron
                2B- Villar
                SS- Andrus
                3B-Baez
                MI-L. Gurriel
                CI- Y.Gurriel
                OF- Blackmon, Judge, Betts, Dom.Santana
                UTIL- Benintendi
                BENCH: Pence, Dyson
                SP: Verlander, Scherzer, M. Boyd, JA Happ, Ponce de Leon
                RP: Yates, Greene, C.Martinez, Oberg, Bummer, N.Anderson
                IL: Buxton

                Comment


                • #9
                  Originally posted by Msaint View Post
                  Cut Scutaro for Bogaerts last night. Thanks for input, everyone. And were you being facetious about Betancourt, JC? Surrrrre sounded like it.......yes, I'd certainly be more worried about his groin/age/trade-ability than lack of appendix.
                  I know he didn't have the surgery in the DR like Beltre did, but emergency appendectomy still seems like a 6+ week thing to me.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Originally posted by joncarlos View Post
                    I know he didn't have the surgery in the DR like Beltre did, but emergency appendectomy still seems like a 6+ week thing to me.
                    All Brothers owners should hope this was Betancourt's doctor: http://tinyurl.com/p7unor8
                    12-team mixed keeper. 6x6 (OBP, QS the extra categories).

                    C- J.McCann
                    1B-Cron
                    2B- Villar
                    SS- Andrus
                    3B-Baez
                    MI-L. Gurriel
                    CI- Y.Gurriel
                    OF- Blackmon, Judge, Betts, Dom.Santana
                    UTIL- Benintendi
                    BENCH: Pence, Dyson
                    SP: Verlander, Scherzer, M. Boyd, JA Happ, Ponce de Leon
                    RP: Yates, Greene, C.Martinez, Oberg, Bummer, N.Anderson
                    IL: Buxton

                    Comment

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