Slated to be the Rockies' everyday CF and leadoff hitter. He stacks up more interestingly against some other guys in CF:
Fowler (age 24): 11% walk rate, 24% K rate, 13sb/8cs, .150 ISO in 2010.
Pagan (age 29): 7% walk rate, 17% K rate, 37sb/9cs, .135 ISO in 2010
Torres (age 32): 10% walk rate, 25% K rate, 26sb/7cs .211 ISO in 2010
Span (age 26): 9% walk rate, 12% K rate, 26sb/4cs, .084 ISO in 2010
Here are their projections (Bill James, 2011):
Fowler (age 25): 285/373/437 7 HR 18SB
Pagan (age 30): 289/340/424 10HR 28SB
Torres (age 33): 271/340/440 14HR 25SB
Span (age 27): 294/369/388 5HR 24SB
Pagan is a pretty close comp, but with less K's. Torres has more power and Span has even less (if that's possible).
It will be interesting to see if Fowler can steal a few more bags in 2011. I don't love the K rate, but the walk rate is nice. He's the youngest of the group and has some room for improvement. James is projecting a big OBP that could lead to 95+ runs at the top of the order if he pulls it off and stays there all year.
But keep in mind what Span did in 2009 and Torres/Pagan did in 2010 as Fowler's upside.
Fowler (age 24): 11% walk rate, 24% K rate, 13sb/8cs, .150 ISO in 2010.
Pagan (age 29): 7% walk rate, 17% K rate, 37sb/9cs, .135 ISO in 2010
Torres (age 32): 10% walk rate, 25% K rate, 26sb/7cs .211 ISO in 2010
Span (age 26): 9% walk rate, 12% K rate, 26sb/4cs, .084 ISO in 2010
Here are their projections (Bill James, 2011):
Fowler (age 25): 285/373/437 7 HR 18SB
Pagan (age 30): 289/340/424 10HR 28SB
Torres (age 33): 271/340/440 14HR 25SB
Span (age 27): 294/369/388 5HR 24SB
Pagan is a pretty close comp, but with less K's. Torres has more power and Span has even less (if that's possible).
It will be interesting to see if Fowler can steal a few more bags in 2011. I don't love the K rate, but the walk rate is nice. He's the youngest of the group and has some room for improvement. James is projecting a big OBP that could lead to 95+ runs at the top of the order if he pulls it off and stays there all year.
But keep in mind what Span did in 2009 and Torres/Pagan did in 2010 as Fowler's upside.
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