2k12: Over/Under Confidence picks (by MLB team)

[joncarlos]

Here's the link to last year's thread:

http://forum.rotojunkiefix.com/showthread.php/938-MLB-Over-Under-confidence-Draft

Here's the idea:

Each person will take the over or under on 10 teams, whichever teams you want as long as you don't pick the same one twice. To complicate things, you'll need to assign a confidence rating to each of your picks, ranging from 10 (most confident) to 1 (least).

Post 10 picks from below and rank them 10-1 (10 most confident*).
*We're giving 10 points for 10, 9 for 9, etc.

** Remember to pick the tie-breaker (this year we'll go with AJ Burnett's ERA)

So my entry might look like this:
10 points - Mets over 70.5
9 points - Astros over 64
8 points - Mariners over 72
etc
etc
AJ Burnett - 3.11 ERA

Here's the link to the over/unders (warning, may change) and the official over/unders we'll be using (these won't change)

http://www.sportsmemo.com/blogs/view/?blog_id=9313

TEAM 2012 SEASON O/U
ARIZONA 86
ATLANTA 87.5
BALTIMORE 69.5
BOSTON 89.5
CHICAGO CUBS 74.5
CHICAGO WS 74
CINCINNATI 86.5
CLEVELAND 86.5
COLORADO 82
DETROIT 92.5
FLORIDA 84.5
HOUSTON 64
KANSAS CITY 80.5
LA ANGELS 92.5
LA DODGERS 81
MILWAUKEE 83.5
MINNESOTA 75
NY METS 70.5
NY YANKEES 93.5
OAKLAND 71
PHILADELPHIA 92.5
PITTSBURGH 73
SAN DIEGO 73.5
SAN FRANCISCO 87.5
SEATTLE 72
ST. LOUIS 82.5
TAMPA BAY 87
TEXAS 91.5
TORONTO 80
WASHINGTON 82.5


Here's last year's final standings:

1) RHD 38 points (Blanton 4.30)
2) Eric 38 points (Blanton 4.12)
3) Davros 37 points
4) Heye 34 points
5) Hacko 26 points
6) BryanB 25 points (blanton 4.45)
7) TyWebb 25 points (blanton 4.01)
8) MGWizz 24 points
9) Hammer 24 points (no blanton pick)
10) Dannahann 21 points
11) BillyB 19 points
12) JC 17 points (Blanton 4.42)
13) DMT 17 points (Blanton 4.27)
14) Glad 12 points

I added a google doc to track this years picks:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhMvlyCRIZtHdGJEZmpjMWw5b0ozaDZvWW9lUWlzZnc

[joncarlos]

If you want to PM me your picks, so as not to make them public, please feel free to do so.

I'll keep a running tab in a spreadsheet.

I'll post mine tomorrow.

[BigJonEmpire]

TEAM 2012 SEASON O/U

10 over - WASHINGTON 82.5
9 over - BALTIMORE 69.5
8 Under PHILADELPHIA 92.5
7 over - NY METS 70.5
6 over - HOUSTON 64
5 over - CHICAGO WS 74
4 under - DETROIT 92.5
3 over - LA DODGERS 81
2 over - SEATTLE 72
1 over - OAKLAND 71

AJ Burnett ERA - 3.70

[Hammer]

Team 2012 season o/u
10 minnesota 75 u
9 la dodgers 81 u
8 san diego 73.5 u
7 oakland 71 u
6 florida 84.5 o
5 houston 64 o
4 cincinnati 86.5 o
3 cleveland 86.5 u
2 san francisco 87.5 u
1 seattle 72 u

AJ Burnett 3.95 era

[revo]

10 - CHICAGO WS 74 - OVER
9 - NY METS 70.5 - OVER
8 - PITTSBURGH 73 - OVER
7 - SAN FRANCISCO 87.5 - UNDER
6 - ST. LOUIS 82.5 - OVER
5 - CLEVELAND 86.5 - UNDER
4 - MILWAUKEE 83.5 - OVER
3 - MINNESOTA 75 - OVER
2 - BOSTON 89.5 - OVER
1 - MIAMI 84.5 - OVER

AJ Burnett - 4.35 ERA

[Andrewski]

10 - Cincinnati - over 86.5
9 - Milwaukee - over 83.5
8 - Chicago White Sox - over 74
7 - Texas - over 91.5
6 - Arizona - under 86
5 - LA Angels - over 92.5
4 - Miami - over 84.5
3 - Toronto - over 80
2 - Chicago Cubs - under 74.5
1- NY Yankees - under 93.5


Burnett: 4.12 ERA

[dannahann]

10-PITTSBURGH over 73
9-CLEVELAND under 86.5
8- NY METS under 70.5
7-WASHINGTON over 82.5
6-FLORIDA over 84.5
5-CHICAGO CUBS under 74.5
4-COLORADO over 82
3-MINNESOTA under 75
2-BOSTON over 89.5
1-MILWAUKEE over 83.5

AJ Burnett 4.68 ERA

[Erik]

10. DETROIT 92.5 -- OVER
9. CINCINNATI 86.5 -- OVER
8. WASHINGTON 82.5 -- OVER
7. LA DODGERS 81 -- UNDER
6. COLORADO 82 -- UNDER
5. CLEVELAND 86.5 -- UNDER
4. TORONTO 80 -- OVER
3. CHICAGO WS 74 -- UNDER
2. TAMPA BAY 87 -- OVER
1. HOUSTON 64 -- OVER

Why not the Astros, they could lose 97 and still get me a point.

Burnett ERA: 4.42

[DMT]

I did so well last year, gotta give it another go.

10. CHICAGO CUBS 74.5 - UNDER
9. DETROIT 92.5 - OVER
8. LA ANGELS 92.5 - OVER
7. ARIZONA 86 - OVER
6. NY METS 70.5 - UNDER
5. TAMPA BAY 87 - OVER
4. ATLANTA 87.5 - OVER
3. CHICAGO WS 74 - UNDER
2. PHILADELPHIA 92.5 - UNDER
1. SAN FRANCISCO 87.5 - UNDER

Burnett ERA: 4.51

[Porcello]

10 under Dodgers 81
9 over Texas 91.5
8 over Florida 84.5
7 under Arizona 86
6 over Milwaukee 83.5
5 over Pittsburgh 73
4 over Seattle 72
3 over Toronto 80
2 over Washington 82.5
1 over White Sox 74

AJ Burnett 5.13

[Roto Rooter]

Good luck to anyone taking the over on the Mets. LOL Just look at their roster and especially their roster depth. A few key guys go down and you're talking ugly ugly UGLY stuff. This is the Mets so that's inevitable.

[willthethrill]

10 Under NY METS 70.5-No pitching.
9 Over PITTSBURGH 73-That's right-I'm bettin' on the Buc-O's!
8 Over MILWAUKEE 83.5-This seems too low to me. They have excellent pitching.
7 Under HOUSTON 64-They'll trade anyone with any value and then what will the last two months look like?
6 Under OAKLAND 71-I don't like this team at all.
5 Over TAMPA BAY 87-I could have four teams from the AL East on this list, but I like the Rays youth and overall pitching a lot.
4 Under CHICAGO CUBS 74.5-I think that they'll also be selling what they can in July.
3 Over PHILADELPHIA 92.5-I don't think that they'll be 10 games worse. The bench is much stronger, Pence is there all year, bullpen seems more settled.
2 Under CHICAGO WS 74-I don't know what they're doing. If they're sellers, this is a lock.
1 Under NY YANKEES 93.5-A lot of age on this team and I think that it catches up with them. That, plus I like the Rays, Blue Jays to be over. Not that they'll sink, just that they'll win less than 94.

AJB ERA: 3.99

[joncarlos]

OK, here's what I've got:

10. Cubs under 74.5
9. Dodgers under 81
8. Indians under 86.5
7. Marlins over 84.5
6. Phillies over 92.5
5. Rays over 87
4. Astros under 64
3. Angels over 92.5
2. Giants over 87.5
1. Reds over 86.5

tiebreaker - AJ ERA 4.30

[Davros]

10 - PITTSBURGH 73 -Over
9 - CLEVELAND 86.5 - Under
8 - SAN FRANCISCO 87.5 - Under
7 - LA ANGELS 92.5 - Under
6 - SEATTLE 72 - Over
5 - KANSAS CITY 80.5 - Under
4 - SAN DIEGO 73.5 - Over
3 - WASHINGTON 82.5 - Over
2 - BOSTON 89.5 - Under
1 - HOUSTON 64 - Over

A.J. Burnett: 4.89 ERA

[off_the_wall]

10. LA ANGELS 92.5- OVER
9. FLORIDA 84.5- OVER
8. CLEVELAND 86.5- UNDER
7. DETROIT 92.5- OVER
6. ST. LOUIS 82.5- OVER
5. WASHINGTON 82.5- OVER
4. HOUSTON 64- OVER
3. BOSTON 89.5- OVER
2. NY METS 70.5- UNDER
1. MILWAUKEE 83.5- OVER

Burnett ERA: 4.65