Welcome back to the Rays, C-Pain!
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Carlos Pena comes back home
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Originally posted by chancellor View PostDo the Rays get green energy credits for the wind power Pena will generate?
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Doing a quick comparison of Pena to Kotchman on B-R.com, something really stood out to me, Kotchman's really nice 2011 oWar (3.1).
Comparing his oWar to Carlos Pena's 2009 season(when he hit 39 HR in 135 G):
Kotchman 2011: 3.1 (146 G, 128 OPS+)
Pena 2009: 2.8 (135 G, 133 OPS+)
The B-R oWar uses "Factors developed by Sean Smith of BaseballProjection.com"
Now, given the games played and OPS+, you can see where a simple calculation may end up with Kotchman higher. But doesn't this indicate a flaw in the system? Kotchman's OPS was mostly singles, and combined with his lack of speed the resulting low runs and rbis (44/48) aren't exactly surprising. Pena in 2009 had 39 R, 61 RBIs just from his HRs.
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Beyond the HRs, it happens that Kotchman was pretty bad with RiSP (and he's not exactly going to score a runner from first), while Pena was superb in 2009. I assume that data was removed from the equation, in order to make the comparison more objective. It may be fair to call production with RiSP luck when projecting a player's 2012 numbers, but is it fair to remove it when considering how well a player performed in a season?Last edited by Controller Jacobs; 01-20-2012, 01:29 PM.people called me an idiot for burning popcorn in the microwave, but i know the real truth. - nullnor
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