Also known as the "holy crap, did you see his Fanraphs projections?" thread.
2018: 698pa, 270/387/522, 39 HR, 34 SB, 110 R, 105 RBI
2019: 542pa, 255/327/479, 23 HR, 24 SB, 68 R, 83 RBI
ATC projection: 636pa, .276-30-97-92r-26sb
THE BAT projection: 649pa, .280-31-95-98-23sb
Steamer projection: 648pa, .278-31-101-96r-23sb
Part of that is the PAs... yeah, he was "only" 26/23 last year but if you project that out to 640pa that's 27 HR and 28 SB.
His BABIP was kind of unspectacular in BOTH 2018 and 2019 (.252 and .256) but the difference in AVG was the homers. I know he was dreadful in the first half and amazing in the 2nd half last year (.327 with 16 HR in 178 PA after the break)... so the assumption is that it kinda worked itself out in the end and he'll be close to his 2018 self again.
Those projections would make him a firm first round pick. Lindor is projected at .284-32-98-94r-16sb by THE BAT and SS is arguably deeper than 3B.
Is J-Ram really that good?
2018: 698pa, 270/387/522, 39 HR, 34 SB, 110 R, 105 RBI
2019: 542pa, 255/327/479, 23 HR, 24 SB, 68 R, 83 RBI
ATC projection: 636pa, .276-30-97-92r-26sb
THE BAT projection: 649pa, .280-31-95-98-23sb
Steamer projection: 648pa, .278-31-101-96r-23sb
Part of that is the PAs... yeah, he was "only" 26/23 last year but if you project that out to 640pa that's 27 HR and 28 SB.
His BABIP was kind of unspectacular in BOTH 2018 and 2019 (.252 and .256) but the difference in AVG was the homers. I know he was dreadful in the first half and amazing in the 2nd half last year (.327 with 16 HR in 178 PA after the break)... so the assumption is that it kinda worked itself out in the end and he'll be close to his 2018 self again.
Those projections would make him a firm first round pick. Lindor is projected at .284-32-98-94r-16sb by THE BAT and SS is arguably deeper than 3B.
Is J-Ram really that good?
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