Giancarlo Stanton for Paul Goldschmidt

[onejayhawk]

It's just a nibble. In an OBA keeper league, which would you rather have?

Both can be kept indefinitely and carrying cost is the same either way.

J

[cavebird]

5x5? Need more characters to post, lol.

[onejayhawk]

6x6 OBA and SLG.

The fact that you had nothing more to say seems to indicate it's close.

J

[chancellor]

I’d much rather have Goldschmidt.

[onejayhawk]

I’d much rather have Goldschmidt.

Even in St Louis? I prefer Goldschmidt myself, but it seemed close before he moved from a great hitter's park to a below average one.

J

[cavebird]

I'd prefer Stanton. Not saying it was super close originally, but in a 4x4, the Goldy steals mean a whole lot. At 6x6, I would easily say Stanton at similar prices.

[chancellor]

Even in St Louis? I prefer Goldschmidt myself, but it seemed close before he moved from a great hitter's park to a below average one.

J

I’d still take him in a minute due to the higher certainty of quality stats.

[Sour Masher]

Goldy is the safer choice, but in a 6X6, Stanton is tempting for his higher ceiling (he could go off again for 50+ homers). I'd take the safer choice, but I suspect in an open draft, they'd go really close, and I think many would go for Stanton.

[senorsheep]

Are Goldschmidt steals still even a thing? In the past three years, he's dropped from 32 in 2016 (looks a lot like a statistical outlier) to 18 in 2017 to 7 last year. "Power guy" stolen bases tend to dry up fast once they shift into late-career preservation mode - a downward trend in steals doesn't typically reverse itself after the age 30 season. He's always been more of an opportunist than a speedster, so his SB numbers may not be impacted too heavily by declining foot speed, but I'd still bet the under on him stealing 15 bags again going forward.

[chancellor]

Are Goldschmidt steals still even a thing? In the past three years, he's dropped from 32 in 2016 (looks a lot like a statistical outlier) to 18 in 2017 to 7 last year. "Power guy" stolen bases tend to dry up fast once they shift into late-career preservation mode - a downward trend in steals doesn't typically reverse itself after the age 30 season. He's always been more of an opportunist than a speedster, so his SB numbers may not be impacted too heavily by declining foot speed, but I'd still bet the under on him stealing 15 bags again going forward.

I agree. But I think he'll hang around that 7-10 steal range for a while, and that further adds to his value. In this comparison, I think he's the higher floor player still with high value.