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I'd prefer Stanton. Not saying it was super close originally, but in a 4x4, the Goldy steals mean a whole lot. At 6x6, I would easily say Stanton at similar prices.
Goldy is the safer choice, but in a 6X6, Stanton is tempting for his higher ceiling (he could go off again for 50+ homers). I'd take the safer choice, but I suspect in an open draft, they'd go really close, and I think many would go for Stanton.
Are Goldschmidt steals still even a thing? In the past three years, he's dropped from 32 in 2016 (looks a lot like a statistical outlier) to 18 in 2017 to 7 last year. "Power guy" stolen bases tend to dry up fast once they shift into late-career preservation mode - a downward trend in steals doesn't typically reverse itself after the age 30 season. He's always been more of an opportunist than a speedster, so his SB numbers may not be impacted too heavily by declining foot speed, but I'd still bet the under on him stealing 15 bags again going forward.
"When I use a word," Humpty Dumpty said in rather a scornful tone, "it means just what I choose it to mean - neither more nor less."
"The question is," said Alice, "whether you can make words mean so many different things."
"The question is," said Humpty Dumpty, "which is to be master - that's all."
Are Goldschmidt steals still even a thing? In the past three years, he's dropped from 32 in 2016 (looks a lot like a statistical outlier) to 18 in 2017 to 7 last year. "Power guy" stolen bases tend to dry up fast once they shift into late-career preservation mode - a downward trend in steals doesn't typically reverse itself after the age 30 season. He's always been more of an opportunist than a speedster, so his SB numbers may not be impacted too heavily by declining foot speed, but I'd still bet the under on him stealing 15 bags again going forward.
I agree. But I think he'll hang around that 7-10 steal range for a while, and that further adds to his value. In this comparison, I think he's the higher floor player still with high value.
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