Two sets of extension questions

[Ken]

fair points- I would be content with his 2013-15 numbers at $12 in a highly inflated 18 team league. I would be ecstatic if he puts up similar numbers to what he did in 2016.

Curious - does Josh Harrison go for $12 in that league? I think the numbers discussed above are basically Josh Harrison. And I'd have him around $5 or $6 before inflation in that size league.

[mjl]

Curious - does Josh Harrison go for $12 in that league? I think the numbers discussed above are basically Josh Harrison. And I'd have him around $5 or $6 before inflation in that size league.

Harrison was kept for $5 the last two years. Guys who are slightly comparable that went last year:

Kendrick $10
Phillips $18
Villar $15
Spangenberg $10
Owings $6 but I think he was hurt at the time?
Alcides Escobar $13
Aybar $6

[Ken]

Harrison was kept for $5 the last two years. Guys who are slightly comparable that went last year:

Kendrick $10
Phillips $18
Villar $15
Spangenberg $10
Owings $6 but I think he was hurt at the time?
Alcides Escobar $13
Aybar $6

Aybar's 2015 matches well to what we were discussing. Kendrick and Phillips had more power, Villar and Escobar had more speed.

Seems like a $6 player to me until 2016. That's not to say 2016 should be discounted, far from it. But when looking at a long term extension the risk of returning to a previous norm should be considered.

[joncarlos]

I am curious on why people arent willing to extend longer on DJ. He has been fantastic, is under team control and in a great ballpark. Whats the hesitancy?

I'm willing to accept something more like 2015 as his floor except for the steals. The batted ball numbers are good. Give him a .300 average, 10 HR and 10 steals. Probably a little better than that this year. But what if he is hitting 6th or 7th? His counting stats won't be great. Suddenly you've got him for $12 and he's still nice, but not a super bargain. I'd rather have him just for 16 and 17 and save the 5 bucks a year.

[chancellor]

I'm willing to accept something more like 2015 as his floor except for the steals. The batted ball numbers are good. Give him a .300 average, 10 HR and 10 steals. Probably a little better than that this year. But what if he is hitting 6th or 7th? His counting stats won't be great. Suddenly you've got him for $12 and he's still nice, but not a super bargain. I'd rather have him just for 16 and 17 and save the 5 bucks a year.

That's where I am, but due to an upside that's even less than what he produced in 2016 - 100-10-60-15-.390 OBP, I'd happily extend two years in an 18-team with steep inflation.

I think the risk of him being moved down is small. He's a perfect 2 hole hitter behind Blackmon. High BA, high OBP, some speed.