Maybe a "sleeper" this year even though there's no such thing? Hit 16 HR last year which is pretty blah, but he only played 113 games.
2015: 404pa, 262/300/439, 4.2%bb, 20.3%k, 16 HR, 37 R, 51 RBI, 3 steals. A .293 BABIP, 18.4% LD rate, 14.4% HR/FB (which actually seems a little low).
According to fangraphs he hit a lot of balls up the middle (39%) and had a solid spray chart (34% pull and 27% oppo) which is really nice.
ZIPS has him down for 258/294/431 with 19 HR in 137 games.
The lineup in front of him isn't awful (Trout, Calhoun, Pujols, maybe Escobar) but the lineup behind him could be atrocious. I think there's a little room for growth in AVG and maybe power too, but man, that walk rate combined with the guys behind him could give him a historically bad run total.
Say 550 AB, .272-22-75-45r-4sb ?
2015: 404pa, 262/300/439, 4.2%bb, 20.3%k, 16 HR, 37 R, 51 RBI, 3 steals. A .293 BABIP, 18.4% LD rate, 14.4% HR/FB (which actually seems a little low).
According to fangraphs he hit a lot of balls up the middle (39%) and had a solid spray chart (34% pull and 27% oppo) which is really nice.
ZIPS has him down for 258/294/431 with 19 HR in 137 games.
The lineup in front of him isn't awful (Trout, Calhoun, Pujols, maybe Escobar) but the lineup behind him could be atrocious. I think there's a little room for growth in AVG and maybe power too, but man, that walk rate combined with the guys behind him could give him a historically bad run total.
Say 550 AB, .272-22-75-45r-4sb ?
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