BOOM or BUST?
The contact % concerns me that he will end up as a 300 AB guy. He has tantalizing power, the kind of power one drools over, and he hits a buttload of flyballs. It's all the makings of a 50 HR player. But the ~60% contact rate and the unfavorable hit rate makes it so he flirts with a .200 BA and nothing more than 500AB. Now that he is in Milwaukee, he is supposed to start as their cleanup hitter and will see the bulk of PT early but for two year in a row, he has been bad in the first half.
He will have Braun and Lucroy ahead of him and another big-power guy in Khris Davis behind him in the order. The Brewers lineup is very right-handed heavy so who knows how this shakes out but it doesn't look like Milwaukee has any 1B worth bringing up from the minors and there are no true 1B on their bench, so if Carter can even maintain the 66% contact rate he had in the 2nd half, he could be a boon.
I'm just not going to bet on it.
The contact % concerns me that he will end up as a 300 AB guy. He has tantalizing power, the kind of power one drools over, and he hits a buttload of flyballs. It's all the makings of a 50 HR player. But the ~60% contact rate and the unfavorable hit rate makes it so he flirts with a .200 BA and nothing more than 500AB. Now that he is in Milwaukee, he is supposed to start as their cleanup hitter and will see the bulk of PT early but for two year in a row, he has been bad in the first half.
He will have Braun and Lucroy ahead of him and another big-power guy in Khris Davis behind him in the order. The Brewers lineup is very right-handed heavy so who knows how this shakes out but it doesn't look like Milwaukee has any 1B worth bringing up from the minors and there are no true 1B on their bench, so if Carter can even maintain the 66% contact rate he had in the 2nd half, he could be a boon.
I'm just not going to bet on it.
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