Obama reelection 2012

[cardboardbox]

Romney predicted to get 52.9% of the popular vote and 320 EV:

http://www.colorado.edu/news/multimedia/cu-study-says-analysis-election-factors-points-romney-win

[Bob Kohm]

Romney predicted to get 52.9% of the popular vote and 320 EV:

http://www.colorado.edu/news/multime...nts-romney-win

Was that from The Onion?

[Judge Jude]

yeah, if Romney gets that high a pctage, I think it means someone knows about some sort of epic disaster coming next month or something.
as I like to say, a year out from an election, I hope any incumbent President wins in a landslide, because that must mean the economy is booming. I appreciate that those fervently to the right or left are more concerned with which party is benefiting, of course.

at this pt, hard to picture a landslide either way.

[Moonlight J]

Romney predicted to get 52.9% of the popular vote and 320 EV:

http://www.colorado.edu/news/multime...nts-romney-win

out-li-er [out-lahy-er]
noun
Something that lies outside the main body or group

If I'm reading that right, they're giving all 13 swing states to the GOP ticket? Lulzzzzzz

[cardboardbox]

out-li-er [out-lahy-er]
noun
Something that lies outside the main body or group

If I'm reading that right, they're giving all 13 swing states to the GOP ticket? Lulzzzzzz

they expect to not be off by more than 20 EV so you can have Penn back and we'll call it an even 300.

[JudeBaldo]

out-li-er [out-lahy-er]
noun
Something that lies outside the main body or group

If I'm reading that right, they're giving all 13 swing states to the GOP ticket? Lulzzzzzz

Their model may be too heavily weighted towards economic factors. An additional problem is that their model seems to be slow responding to economic data.

[Judge Jude]

Yes, I think this extreme economy - brutal starting point for Obama, even granting that other new Presidents haven't had it easy in some cases - makes any historically-based predictions suspect. And that holds true whether the prediction favors or opposes Obama. This strikes me as a one-of-a-kind election.

[Judge Jude]

fixed my post, if it wasn't clear. I DO think historically-based predictions here are suspect. Clear from the latter part of the post, but I had an extra "don't" in there earlier, so overall it didn't really add up....

[JudeBaldo]

Some signs of recovery in the housing sector. http://www.nytimes.com/2012/08/23/bu...l.html?_r=1&hp

[Moonlight J]

Yes, I think this extreme economy - brutal starting point for Obama, even granting that other new Presidents haven't had it easy in some cases - makes any historically-based predictions suspect. And that holds true whether the prediction favors or opposes Obama. This strikes me as a one-of-a-kind election.

Exactly

1980, 84, and 88 were no brainers
1992 took some thought, 96 was an easy one.
2000 was just odd because it wasn't that the incumbent party was hated as much as the candidate was just boring
2004 - see 2nd half of 2000 comment
2008 - no brainer as Bush = Carter

[onejayhawk]

Yes, I think this extreme economy - brutal starting point for Obama, even granting that other new Presidents haven't had it easy in some cases - makes any historically-based predictions suspect. And that holds true whether the prediction favors or opposes Obama. This strikes me as a one-of-a-kind election.

Not at all. 1980 is a very usable comparison, though it was stacked worse against President Reagan. At least the BOA had a very friendly congress for 2 years. The economy did not have one huge plunge, but the compilation of three downturns in tha late 1970s and early 1980s may have been worse. 1984 is not a good comparison to this election, because the economy was clearly rolling by then. For that 1996 or 2004 would be better.

J

[Moonlight J]

saw this today

[revo]

prepare for war!!!!! Another GOP lunatic mouths off:

(CNN) -- An elected county judge in Texas is warning that the nation could descend into civil war if President Barack Obama is re-elected, and is calling for a trained, well-equipped force to battle the United Nations troops he says Obama would bring in.

The comments by Lubbock County Judge Tom Head, who oversees emergency planning efforts, were broadcast by CNN affiliate KJTV. He made similar remarks on radio station FOX Talk 950.

Saying that as the county's emergency management coordinator he has to "think about the very worst thing that can happen and prepare for that and hope and pray for the best," Head told radio host Jeff Klotzman that he believes "in this political climate and financial climate, what is the very worst thing that could happen right now? Obama gets back in the White House. No. God forbid.

Referring to unexplained "executive orders" and other documents that Obama and "his minions have filed," Head said, "regardless of whether the Republicans take over the Senate, which I hope they do, he is going to make the United States Congress and he's going to make the Constitution irrelevant. He's got his czars in place that don't answer to anybody."

Obama, Head said, will "try to give the sovereignty of the United States away to the United Nations. What do you think the public's going to do when that happens? We are talking civil unrest, civil disobedience, possibly, possibly civil war ... I'm not talking just talking riots here and there. I'm talking Lexington, Concord, take up arms, get rid of the dictator. OK, what do you think he is going to do when that happens? He is going to call in the U.N. troops, personnel carriers, tanks and whatever."

http://www.cnn.com/2012/08/23/us/texas-judge-warning/index.html?hpt=hp_t1

[JudeBaldo]

prepare for war!!!!! Another GOP lunatic mouths off:

(CNN) -- An elected county judge in Texas is warning that the nation could descend into civil war if President Barack Obama is re-elected, and is calling for a trained, well-equipped force to battle the United Nations troops he says Obama would bring in.

The comments by Lubbock County Judge Tom Head, who oversees emergency planning efforts, were broadcast by CNN affiliate KJTV. He made similar remarks on radio station FOX Talk 950.

Saying that as the county's emergency management coordinator he has to "think about the very worst thing that can happen and prepare for that and hope and pray for the best," Head told radio host Jeff Klotzman that he believes "in this political climate and financial climate, what is the very worst thing that could happen right now? Obama gets back in the White House. No. God forbid.

Referring to unexplained "executive orders" and other documents that Obama and "his minions have filed," Head said, "regardless of whether the Republicans take over the Senate, which I hope they do, he is going to make the United States Congress and he's going to make the Constitution irrelevant. He's got his czars in place that don't answer to anybody."

Obama, Head said, will "try to give the sovereignty of the United States away to the United Nations. What do you think the public's going to do when that happens? We are talking civil unrest, civil disobedience, possibly, possibly civil war ... I'm not talking just talking riots here and there. I'm talking Lexington, Concord, take up arms, get rid of the dictator. OK, what do you think he is going to do when that happens? He is going to call in the U.N. troops, personnel carriers, tanks and whatever."
http://www.cnn.com/2012/08/23/us/tex...html?hpt=hp_t1

These mother****ers actually scare me because their mentality leads to unstable people becoming the next Timothy McVeigh.

[SeaDogStat]

prepare for war!!!!! Another GOP lunatic mouths off:

(CNN) -- An elected county judge in Texas is warning that the nation could descend into civil war if President Barack Obama is re-elected, and is calling for a trained, well-equipped force to battle the United Nations troops he says Obama would bring in.

The comments by Lubbock County Judge Tom Head, who oversees emergency planning efforts, were broadcast by CNN affiliate KJTV. He made similar remarks on radio station FOX Talk 950.

Lucky...looks like there will be an opening in Lubbock soon for a new judge and it looks like they could use a level headed. fair-minded guy there!