*Official Sports Wagering Thread*

[Judge Jude]

hmm

I risked $92.34 in the Ravens-Redskfootballteam game

Ravens by 0-12 points (or Redskfootballteam wins outright) - I get $104.83 and profit of $12.49
Ravens by 14+ - I get $92.50 and profit of 16 cents

if the Ravens win by 13?

I drink heavily

UPATE: Or I can cash out on both and get $87.32 back, thereby losing $5.02 but avoiding any chance of the $92.34 beating.

to be fair, this would be more dramatic - and pathetic - if we multiplied these figures to a potential loss beyond my entire monthly bills, for instance.

I'm inclined to roll the dice. though if it's at BAL -13 exactly in the 4th quarter, I guess I would get similar cash out figures? both bets would be independently plausible.

[Judge Jude]

"Draft Kings has a UGA Auburn promo where you bet $50 on the spread and whatever team you pick IF they lose the spread bet you get back $2 per point."

intriguing, but the two defenses are the best units. I looked up dozens of predicted scores, and the loser gets anywhere from 7 to 23. average is around 15.

so if you win the bet, great. if you lose, though, you ain't breaking even. this feels like..... well, "gambling."

this felt like a possible sucker bet, so I just made a very modest wager on Auburn when it got to +7 a little before kickoff.

well, not even 3 minutes into the game, Auburn's defensive signalcaller in an otherwise inexperienced secondary gets ejected for targeting on a punt return (obvious penalty, the ejection rule is stupid, yada yada yada). one of those losses of personnel that is magnified in a COVID, not-enough-practice season.

24-0 until Auburn kicks a FG on 4th and goal from the 2 with under 2 minutes left in the first half (WTF).

I feel bad for the Auburn $50 players - they ain't getting much of a consolation prize bet tonight, I suspect.

(Georgia lost a veteran DB on targeting late in the first half as well, fwiw.)

[frae]

Nope it could all be a loss if UCF screws this. Oh well that’s why it’s gambling. Can’t complain too much I hit two soccer parlays killing time this morning and I know nothing about that lol.

[umjewman]

I hit the over in Texas-TCU on that last second safety. Sometimes you have to love gambling!

[frae]

NBA first basket arb is up

Lakers +150 Draft kings got $25

Heat +120 on fan duel for $28.41

Profit $9.09 either way

[Judge Jude]

still drama for me - in the 5 minutes it took me to find "first basket" on FanDuel



I gotta remember to try that one first - I know what I'm doing on DK

[frae]

I love these $10 paypack guarantee bets on the EPL on Fan Duel. Bet $10 n Totenham Money line, over 2.5 goals, and Harry Kane to score at +807, will turn $10 into 90.74. Covers all my bad college football bets yesterday

If you haven't opted in to do one today there is one more EPL game you can use today. It only applies to games today.

[revo]

Week 4 Wagers

"Frae Arb Special"
$25 Lakers 1st pt - WON $62.50
$28.41 Heat 1st pt - LOST

$5 KAllen >61.5 rec yds - WON $10.40
$5 Gesicki TD - LOST
$5 Cooks TD - LOST
$10 Metcalf >70.5 rec yds - WON $18.50
$5 Metcalf TD - LOST
$5 Lockett TD - LOST
$10 Lockett >73.5 rec yds - LOST
$10 Cook >78.5 rush yds - WON $19.24
$10 L.Murray >36.5 rush yds - WON $18.00
$5 Kamara >59.5 rec yds - LOST
$15 Haskins <220.5 pass yds - LOST
$5 Gallup >57.5 rec yds - LOST
$10 Haskins <1.5 pass TDs - WON $15.16
$5 Landry >56.5 rec yds - LOST
$20 Kamara >55.5 rush yds - WON $38.18
$10 JRobinson >66.5 yds - WON $19.09
$5 JRobinson TD - LOST
$5 Beckham >65.5 rec yds - WON $9.55
$5 Beckham TD - WON $11.87
$5 Cowherd special -Cowboys -6 - LOST
$10 Fox special - Kamara + Chubb TD - LOST - Chubb injured
$5 McCoy >19.5 rec yds - LOST - McCoy injured
$5 Ekeler >37.5 rec yds - LOST - Ekeler injured
$20 Eagles ML (Fox Promo) - WON $84.00

Total Wagered: $248.41
Total Payout: $294.62
Total +/-: $46.21

[Judge Jude]

"I risked $92.34 in the Ravens-Redskfootballteam game

Ravens by 0-12 points (or Redskfootballteam wins outright) - I get $104.83 and profit of $12.49
Ravens by 14+ - I get $92.50 and profit of 16 cents

if the Ravens win by 13?

I drink heavily"

Ravens won by 14. not only did I win 16 cents, at game time the line went to 14 so I decided to put 2 bucks on the Redskfootballteams. but they wouldn't let me make that bet, instead offering me a lesser payout for +22.

I took that and won another 70 cents. lol !
(and would have broken even with the backdoor cover of 14 if they let me take it.)

my official picks missed with JAC and DAL and a push on TB, so have slipped to an unmemorable 9-8-1 this season pending LAR -13 and IND -2.5 today

[Judge Jude]

10-9-1 on my picks this season, meh

I keep winning on DK and losing on FD in those "guaranteed picks."

problem is, now I am up to $317 on DK and down to $18 left on FD.

I have never deposited any money in 3 years before the initial sign-in (I put in $25 on DK with a match and $10 on FD). I know I keep netting more money, and I can't sensibly resist more free money for Game 4.

guess I'll have to learn how to deposit money in FD.

[umjewman]

4-2 today. Hit the over on Bills-Raiders and Ravens-Football Team (I still love saying that). Also won Colts -3.5 and Saints -3.

Lost on the Seahawks-Fins over by 1.5 points (boo) and lost on Cards -3 at Panthers.

Took a prop tonight of Kittle to score more than 1.5 TDs and more than 52.5 yards. Got the yards and one of the TDs, just hoping for one more. Overall plus about $50 on the day.

[frae]

Did anyone else use the fox bet promo on the Eagles game? I had put $200 last week and was down over half my budget going into that game but it was $50 guaranteed bet back if the Eagles lost on the ML. Instead the Eagles won and I got $210 for the bet and am now up $60 on Fox.

Up and down weekend for sure, but the soccer wins and the Eagles win probably make it a profit.

Good thing about the Lakers losing is we get at least 2 more games to make about $9 on the first basket promo.

[frae]

None of the sites have any really good promos up for today's NFL games. the Fox Bet one for Rodgers and Mahomes to each throw 2 TD or more each at +150 isn't too bad. Draft Kings has their first TD scorer bet back for ATL - GB. Aaron Jones has the lowest odds.

We will see if anyone posts anything else, but not sure there will be an Arb bet today unless draft kings gives us that first run scored promo back.

[revo]

Did anyone else use the fox bet promo on the Eagles game? I had put $200 last week and was down over half my budget going into that game but it was $50 guaranteed bet back if the Eagles lost on the ML. Instead the Eagles won and I got $210 for the bet and am now up $60 on Fox.

Up and down weekend for sure, but the soccer wins and the Eagles win probably make it a profit.

Good thing about the Lakers losing is we get at least 2 more games to make about $9 on the first basket promo.

I had $20 on it. I didn't want to put more because if they had lost, it would be as a site credit, and I feared that it would force me to bet $50 on a single wager, which I usually don't do. That turned my negative day to a positive, lol.

[frae]

I had $20 on it. I didn't want to put more because if they had lost, it would be as a site credit, and I feared that it would force me to bet $50 on a single wager, which I usually don't do. That turned my negative day to a positive, lol.

Yeah, I was probably on tilt a bit when I said F it and bet the $50 on the eagles. Worked out so now back to low-level bets.