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Obligatory Election Day video posting:
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I still say Trump and Ernst win in Iowa. If either of them would have worn a KKK hood they could have sealed the deal earlier
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"Jesus said to them, 'Truly I tell you, the tax collectors and the prostitutes are going into the kingdom of God ahead of you.'"Comment
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“There’s no normal life, Wyatt, it’s just life. Get on with it.” – Doc Holliday
"It doesn't matter what you think" - The Rock
"I borked the entry." - Some dude on the Internet
Have I told you about otters being the only marine animal that can lift rocks?Comment
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#8645“There’s no normal life, Wyatt, it’s just life. Get on with it.” – Doc Holliday
"It doesn't matter what you think" - The Rock
"I borked the entry." - Some dude on the Internet
Have I told you about otters being the only marine animal that can lift rocks?Comment
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From PACs, you could be right. National parties...no way, IMO. If a PAC has a miss, it's not that big of a deal. If a candidate or national party has a major miss if something hasn't been properly vetted, it has the potential to be devastating.
Plus, the part being ignored is the politics and ego involved. That's realistically even bigger than the vetting issue.I'm just here for the baseball.
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Anyone else have a sense of dread, or is it just me? Reading that the betting odds surged for Dopey last night doesn’t help (Biden’s still a 60-65% fave, but still).Comment
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Yeah, if you ascribe to the ol money rules the world thing and see a surge like that you wonder what the oligarchs know that we don't. I'm torn, because I believe with all my heart and soul that a complete and fair count of all votes everywhere in this country will lead to a Biden victory. I'm just worried that will not happen. Trump has already said he is going to challenge everything. So far, it hasn't been a major issue, but I worry it could be. I'm hoping for a blow out so it won't matter.Comment
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I was uneasy all weekend... like I had a work task that I had forgotten, or something was slipping away from me. I tried taking account of what all was going on at work and my home to-do list and couldn't come up with anything. In the end, it was this election. Usually once I figure out what is making me anxious, I can either plan for it, or accept that there is nothing I need to be doing for it and I relax, but that's not working with this. I feel anxious, distracted, and despondent.I'm not expecting to grow flowers in the desert...Comment
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I had no idea how low Biden's leads had sunk in battleground states until I checked this morning. I would give anything under a 3 pt Biden lead to Trump, which puts Trump back in office. I hope the slim margins hold.
That said, I think betting markets are reacting more to Trump's stated attempt to steal the election by using the SC to pick and choose which votes to count moreso than a market response to polling or anything tangible.Larry David was once being heckled, long before any success. Heckler says "I'm taking my dog over to fuck your mother, weekly." Larry responds "I hate to tell you this, but your dog isn't liking it."Comment
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Where are you getting averages from? RCP is a bad source now as they are dropping highly rated polls from there average and counting the crap polls from the right. Here’s a better explanation if you want to read the whole thread...
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538 averages of the states that absolutely matter
PA 50.2 - 45.6
Mi 51.2 -43.2
WI 52.1-43.7
NV 49.7-44.4
MN 51.8-42.7
The other states Biden can reach for, but doesn’t need to win.
AZ 48.7-46.1
FL 49.1-46.6
NC 48.9- 47.1
Ga 48.5-47.4
The others Trump leads in the avg.Comment
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