Election 2020

[revo]

Plus, regarding his most recent backtrack on the stimulus, he's such a dummy -- he continues to tout the stock market as his barometer of success, yet it plunges when he makes a dumb comment about the stimulus. The 'walking away from the table' is rule #1 in the Dumb Donald playbook. When will he realize this amateur shit doesn't work? And BTW, his stupid declaration came just hours after Chairman Powell said if there was no stimulus, the US economy is in grave danger. Hey, what's the US economy to this bozo? Just another tool to get him re-elected!

Really, he's a dummy? Yes, yes he is. Axios:

"Within a day of tweeting that he was calling off bipartisan talks for a coronavirus stimulus deal, President Trump phoned House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and indicated he was worried by the stock market reaction and wanted a "big deal" with Speaker Nancy Pelosi, per two sources familiar with the call.

What we're hearing: Trump was spooked after seeing the instant drop in the stock market and intense backlash to his tweet, and he has since directed Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to push for a more comprehensive relief bill before the election."

[frae]

Really, he's a dummy? Yes, yes he is. Axios:

"Within a day of tweeting that he was calling off bipartisan talks for a coronavirus stimulus deal, President Trump phoned House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy and indicated he was worried by the stock market reaction and wanted a "big deal" with Speaker Nancy Pelosi, per two sources familiar with the call.

What we're hearing: Trump was spooked after seeing the instant drop in the stock market and intense backlash to his tweet, and he has since directed Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin to push for a more comprehensive relief bill before the election."

Now this will get interesting. Pelosi won't stonewall it because I think she knows that will look bad, but I do think she is going to push for some things that some Senate republicans just won't go for and I am not sure McConnell, whose seat is safe, is going to be willing to push through a bill he doesn't like.

Regardless Trump remains very bad at the legislative game that is played in DC.

[DMT]

He's just playing the game at a higher level.

[umjewman]

He's just playing the game at a higher level.

4-D chess!

[GwynnInTheHall]

Kal-Toh?

[heyelander]

The war on political signs has been taken to a new level now with recent reports of razor blades being attached to yard signs. Vandals beware.

I've got my Biden sign... if anyone messes with it, it just means I donate another $15 to Placer County Democrats.

[The Feral Slasher]

4-D chess!

8 dimensions behind Obama !

[chancellor]

Kal-Toh?

More like Play-Doh.

I wasn't a big Voyager watcher, but I did see the show where Seven of Nine kicked Tuvok's Vulcan...sensibilities around in Kal-Toh. One of my favorite scenes in the whole series.

[DMT]

256 dimensions behind Obama !

Fixed

[onejayhawk]

I'm waiting for 1J to tell us how this seals it for Trump.

It doesn't. Biden won the first debate and he's gotten a bump. Nothing good for Trump in that.

It's just not far enough ahead. Biden is about where Hillary was in 2016, but a tad behind. Also, Pence beating Harris in the second debate is going to matter, but it hasn't presented yet.

Regardless, the Trump base can swamp everything else with a big turnout. The Democrats did it to win the House in 2018 and these things tend to be pendulums.

J

[DMT]

Debate Hillary 2016 Swamp Pendulum

[frae]

On October 10th 2016 Hillary was an 82/100 favorite on 538 today Biden is an 85/100 favorite. Hillary peaks at 88/100 on Oct 17th before a sharp decline that gets as low as 64.5/100 on Nov 4th and settling at 71.4 on election day. The key here is there is no chance of Biden dropping like that because of my next point...

Biden's favorability is much higher with the electorate than Hillary's ever was and unlike Trump is not underwater in this category.

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president/trumpbidenfavorability.html

Biden is over 50% in polls in a number of states that Hillary never reached that point.

[frae]

A+ rated ABC/Washington Post poll puts Biden up 12 nationally at 55-43 which is just a massive number. State polls are still much more important but +12 nationally and his underwater approval rating nationally is a strong indicator of what the outcome will be. Biden just doesn't have a James Comey coming, or the unfavorables that Clinton had.

[frae]

Jamie Harrison in South Carolina raised $57 million in the final quarter. Lindsey may still yet win because of the lean of the state, but Harrison is going to be able to flood the airwaves over the last 3 weeks.

https://wpde.com/news/local/jamie-harrison-raises-a-record-57m-in-donations-for-sc-senate-race

[madducks]