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This fly stuck on Pence's head for over 2 minutes knows exactly what a piece of shit looks like.
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Larry David was once being heckled, long before any success. Heckler says "I'm taking my dog over to fuck your mother, weekly." Larry responds "I hate to tell you this, but your dog isn't liking it." -
“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert EinsteinComment
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Biden’s betting odds continue to improve in betting markets.
Biden -250
Trump +188
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This is even better than Biden pulling out citing health concerns.Last edited by DMT; 10-08-2020, 09:45 AM.If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel PaigeComment
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That's pretty crazy. The odds were almost 50-50 as late as Sept 1, and Biden has surged since then.Originally posted by frae View PostComment
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The House is a foregone conclusion to be Democratic again to me but 538 does have their forecast up for that now too...
The average of the most likely outcomes is D 237 which would be a +5 on the current 232 members.Comment
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The senate is gonna be interesting. Boy do I hope the Democrats pull it off.Originally posted by frae View PostThe House is a foregone conclusion to be Democratic again to me but 538 does have their forecast up for that now too...
The average of the most likely outcomes is D 237 which would be a +5 on the current 232 members.Comment
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The odds on the senate flipping have inched up to 67/33 over the last week. The good news is assuming we concede Doug Jones doesn't win AL every other close race is the Democrats playing offense. Gary Peters in MI is the only other D candidate who is even in a lean only race and I just don't see MI being close.Originally posted by Sour Masher View Post
Assuming Biden wins there are a lot of ways to get a 50-50 tie, but I really would love to see 51 or even 52 so that Manchin is not a vote we need on any legislation passing and getting to 52 is not as crazy as it sounded when the cycle started. MT, SC, 2 GA seats, KS and IA are all races that are now close that you would not have been counting on a year ago. So from an optimistic stand point the D's win AZ, CO, and Maine while losing AL that gets them to +2. NC is going to be close as polling so far has shown that it hasn't crushed Cunningham so that is in play. You just need 3 seats from MT, SC, 2 GA, IA, KS and NC to get to 52.
It will be very close in the senate and I will be happy with 50-50 and a Biden win just to get McConnell out of the majority leadership job, but it is important to get every single seat the Democrats can.Comment
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LOL...I don't care what the numbers are now, but NC isn't flipping unless Tillis dies before the election, and at this point, that might not even matter. Cunningham is totally freaking out. Check out his latest basement video.
That said, both Georgia seats and Iowa are most definitely in play. SC might be, but I really doubt Graham falls without a five-six point deficit going into election day.
OTOH, Michigan is definitely closer than you're giving it credit for. The Dems will likely still pull it out, but they don't shift almost $12 mil (possibly more, that's just what's easily known) to that election unless they think they're in trouble. Outside polls or no, I'm a big believer in internal polling - and money movement tells you all you need to know about internal polling.I'm just here for the baseball.
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Mitch McConnell's loyalty to Trump does have its limits after all.
"I actually haven't been to the White House since August 6, because my impression was their approach to how to handle this (COVID) was different than mine and what I insisted that we do in the Senate, which is to wear a mask and practice social distancing," said McConnell.“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert EinsteinComment
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The war on political signs has been taken to a new level now with recent reports of razor blades being attached to yard signs. Vandals beware.“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert EinsteinComment
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I won't argue on Cunningham until I see something a week from now, but I will say we have a president who was elected after a tape of him talking about sexually assaulting women was released while being accused of sleeping with a porn star and paying for her abortion and silence so I am not sure we are the country we were and hell Bill Clinton got elected when we all knew he cheated on Hillary so yes the Cunningham's team has handled this badly, but there is a lot of partisanship going on and NC is a lot more purple than it used to be.
Now for MI Emmerson A- rated poll yesterday had Peters at 51 and up 10. The best B rated or better poll since sept is Peters +4 only Trafalgar has shown Peters behind at any point and they are a C- strong right lean survey group. I don't see Trump winning MI and if that is the case I definitely don't see Peters losing and Biden winning.
If you asked me to bet actual money today and try to get to 52 I would probably say AZ, CO, Maine, IA, Montana and one of the Georgia seats while losing AL. Also what could be crazy is if neither GA race gets a majority and we have 2 run offs, we already know we will have one between the Loeffler and Collins winner vs Warnock (thankfully Lieberman has slipped to irrelevant meaning the Democrats won't get shut out of the run off) but the Perdue Ossoff race could be a run off as well as there is a 3rd party candidate on that ballot and neither candidate has polled over 50%. Can you only imagine the chaos and money spent if we are have two GA run offs for control of the senate?Last edited by frae; 10-09-2020, 08:52 AM.Comment
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Oh, yeah. It'll be totally nuts.Originally posted by frae View PostI'm just here for the baseball.Comment
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No wonder why OneJay has bugged out again. His hero is deeply depressed about the coming Blue Tsunami:
"Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas, warned that Republicans could see “a bloodbath of Watergate proportions” if voters are angry and broke when casting their ballots this year.
“If people are going back to work, if they’re optimistic, if they’re positive about the future, we could see a fantastic election: the president getting reelected with a big margin, Republicans winning both Houses of Congress,” Cruz said in an interview on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” Friday.
“But I also think if on Election Day, people are angry and they’ve given up hope and they’re depressed, which is what [House Speaker Nancy] Pelosi, [D-Calif.], and [Senate Minority Leader Chuck] Schumer, [D-N.Y.], want them to be, I think it could be a terrible election. I think we could lose the White House and both houses of Congress, that it could be a bloodbath of Watergate proportions.”"
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