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Originally posted by chancellor
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It can't help but if the country didn't care about all the stuff Trump was accused of motivated D's aren't going to care about the very PG nature of those texts. Yes, he is cheating on his wife at least emotionally, but I won't jump to anything until I see polling. I agree though it won't help in a very close race. -
Not if he diesOriginally posted by chancellor View PostIf I whisper my wicked marching orders into the ether with no regard to where or how they may bear fruit, I am blameless should a broken spirit carry those orders out upon the innocent, for it was not my hand that took the action merely my lips which let slip their darkest wish. ~Daniel Devereaux 2011
Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
Martin Luther King, Jr.Comment
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Mike Lee was photographed hugging everyone while not wearing a mask at the Rose Garden super-spreader event.Originally posted by revo View Post“Two things are infinite: the universe and human stupidity; and I'm not sure about the universe.”
― Albert EinsteinComment
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A slew of battleground state polls all show the same lead for Biden:
Code:North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 49, Trump 47 Biden +2 Florida: Trump vs. Biden USA Today/Suffolk* Biden 45, Trump 45 Tie Florida: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 50, Trump 46 Biden +4 Florida: Trump vs. Biden UNF Biden 51, Trump 45 Biden +6 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 50, Trump 46 Biden +4 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Monmouth* Biden 54, Trump 43 Biden +11 Michigan: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 43 Biden +8 Michigan: Trump vs. Biden Detroit News/WDIV-TV Biden 48, Trump 39 Biden +9 Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 44 Biden +7 Arizona: Trump vs. Biden CNBC/Change Research (D) Biden 51, Trump 45 Biden +6 New Mexico: Trump vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 53, Trump 39 Biden +14 Arizona: Trump vs. Biden NY Times/Siena* Biden 49, Trump 41 Biden +8 North Carolina: Trump vs. Biden PPP (D) Biden 50, Trump 46 Biden +4 Pennsylvania: Trump vs. Biden Reuters/Ipsos Biden 50, Trump 45 Biden +5 Wisconsin: Trump vs. Biden Reuters/Ipsos Biden 50, Trump 44 Biden +6
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It's gonna be a blowout.If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel PaigeComment
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I won't believe it until Biden is being sworn into office.Originally posted by DMT View PostComment
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I also refuse to believe it until it's over. I'm spooked by the 2016 results, and certainly not taking these polls for granted. Again, 2016 was an upset of epic proportions combined with a breakdown in the polling, and I refuse to believe that can readily happen again.Originally posted by umjewman View Post
And what's more telling is that his base has this unwavering belief that there's no way he can lose. Now where have I heard that before?Comment
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Those PA polls are pretty damning right now. Biden at or over 50 in all 3. I have never believed Michigan would be close this time and the polls continue to show that.
PA is now 84/100 WI is 83/100 and MI is 90/100
The Ohio aggregate has moved into Biden's favor just slightly. There is no state from the following list that Trump is winning right now on the 538 avg or model....
Ohio
Maine 2
North Carolina
Florida
Arizona
Nebraska 2
Pennsylvania
Wisconsin
Nevada
Michigan
New Hampshire
Minnesota
For comparison Biden is as likely to win FL 65/35 as Trump is to win Iowa. Trump is less likely at 55/45 to win Georgia than Biden is to win north Carolina 58/42. Hell Trump is about as likely to win Texas as Biden is to win NE-2 both around 70%. Even better Trump is about as likely to win South Carolina 86/14 as Biden is to win PA 84/16
The most likely outcomes are now Biden winning 82 times, Trump 17, and 1 tie.
I know 2016 happened and we will all be shell shocked about that until Trump loses but nothing in the math points to anything but a convincing Biden win at the moment.Comment
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Okay, I feel a bit better... only 89% sure trump wins now.Originally posted by frae View PostI'm not expecting to grow flowers in the desert...Comment
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All but one of the joint chiefs of staff are in quarantine, KAG!If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel PaigeComment
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Not like Trump listens to them anyway. He knows more than everyone about everything.Originally posted by DMT View PostComment
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Don't let Trump dominate you. Don't be afraid of Trump. You're gonna beat him. Don't let Trump take over your lives.
Larry David was once being heckled, long before any success. Heckler says "I'm taking my dog over to fuck your mother, weekly." Larry responds "I hate to tell you this, but your dog isn't liking it."Comment
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Anyone think Donny Jr. is going to be trouble for his thoughts that dad is off his rocker on the drugs?
I can't imagine this will end well for him. A shame...a damn shame"Looks like I picked a bad day to give up sniffing glue.
- Steven McCrosky (Lloyd Bridges) in Airplane
i have epiphanies like that all the time. for example i was watching a basketball game today and realized pom poms are like a pair of tits. there's 2 of them. they're round. they shake. women play with them. thus instead of having two, cheerleaders have four boobs.
- nullnor, speaking on immigration law in AZ.Comment
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There's Trump's treason for you!Originally posted by DMT View Post"Looks like I picked a bad day to give up sniffing glue.
- Steven McCrosky (Lloyd Bridges) in Airplane
i have epiphanies like that all the time. for example i was watching a basketball game today and realized pom poms are like a pair of tits. there's 2 of them. they're round. they shake. women play with them. thus instead of having two, cheerleaders have four boobs.
- nullnor, speaking on immigration law in AZ.Comment
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That CNN poll today at Biden +16 and the national poll before it at +13, those numbers are staggering. He's losing every demographic now except white uneducated men.
He's also blown his last chance at a comeback. His comments about being optimistic in facing the virus were his last shot at a comeback (great article on CBC about this, will link at bottom). He could have shown empathy for the 210K dead and their families grieving, and it would have been huge... but he decided to cut off his nose to spite his stupid face and went with the tough guy act. The joy ride with secret service would have been forgiven and forgotten, but his words downplaying the seriousness of Covid is something I consider a crime against humanity, punishable by death. Undecided voters have been disgusted by each successive stunt Trump pulls.
I've seen seniors favor Biden nationally by 30+ pts. I'm convinced it will be a blowout. The only question left will be how vigorously do Trump and the various Republicans attempt to disqualify different batches of votes, and how many of Trump's lunatic followers buy his garbage and kill in his name? Do Democrats cave to stopping recounts under such public pressure? I mean, it looks like a Biden blowout after the votes are counted, but it will still look like the opposite on election day, given the counting restrictions, so it seems like Trumpers will never accept his legitimate defeat. That's my biggest fear, an election system that's been used and abused like the town bicycle is supposed to stand up to legit authoritarian takeover? I don't see the voting system, and the shenanigans used to thwart the system, as satisfying voters. Each side will believe their choice won. The Republican media machine is better at messaging, thats how they won 2000 with the Brooks Bros riots.
https://www.cbc.ca/news/world/trump-...ium%3DsharebarLarry David was once being heckled, long before any success. Heckler says "I'm taking my dog over to fuck your mother, weekly." Larry responds "I hate to tell you this, but your dog isn't liking it."Comment
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