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Good analysis, frae. Slightly disagree with the floor being 42%. Carter got 41% vs Reagan with a 3rd party guy getting 7%. McCain got 46% vs Obama. I would estimate the floor for either of these guys is 45% unless a strong 3rd party candidate emerges (Maybe this is the year for the Libertarians....lol, nope).
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At this point I highly doubt Biden even remembers how to make word salad.
You are right that even a drooling Biden would get 42%, I'd argue maybe even 46-47. I assume I'm the only Trump voter here, is there anyone here that would consider either not voting at all or voting for Trump depending on how bad Biden gets? You'd rationalize that his VP would be an upgrade, no? There's maybe 10% in the middle, the squishies that can be influenced slightly.
Anyway, Biden is going to be an endless source of fun."The Times found no pattern of sexual misconduct by Mr. Biden, beyond the hugs, kisses and touching that women previously said made them uncomfortable." -NY Times
"For a woman to come forward in the glaring lights of focus, nationally, you’ve got to start off with the presumption that at least the essence of what she’s talking about is real, whether or not she forgets facts" - Joe BidenComment
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I am not voting for Trump and there isn’t anything that will change that.. As of now I am voting for Biden with the caveat that my support for him is a mile wide and 1/4 inch thick. I may change my mind if:
1. His condition noticeably worsens. I am loathe to diagnose anyone because I am simply not qualified, however, he is acting like my grandfather as he struggled with dementia. Grandad had some really good days and some terrible ones and the good ones became further and further apart as time passed. It is sad to watch for someone you love and I hope that isn’t the case wiith Biden but it is a concern. The TV stuff he did last week was not helpful.
2. He picks someone unqualified as VP. A state senator from Georgia with precious little experience would be a deal breaker for me.
3. The Libertarian Party actually nominates someone qualified. Based on a few interactions with people I used to know who were active in the party, I doubt this is happening. Right now the delegate leader (which in the Libertarian party means nothing) is a guy named Vermin Supreme. Google him. It’s almost like they don’t want a seat at the table. I heard Lincoln Chaffee might be interested which I would applaud but I haven’t heard anything about that for awhile now. Not sure what is going on with their convention—it will probably be postponed.Comment
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Does Biden sound anymore confused than the alternative?Comment
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I think Whitmer is a solid pick for Biden for VP at this point. She has executive experience, was a prosecutor, and served 15 years as a state representative and state senator. She has been elevated nationally during the Covid 19 crisis and has stood up to Trump's attacks pretty well. It also helps that she is from one of the major battleground states that she carried in 2018 by a count of 53%-43%. I know she isn't a minority and there might be some pressure to choose someone of color here, but if I was betting today I'd bet on Whitmer.
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"The Times found no pattern of sexual misconduct by Mr. Biden, beyond the hugs, kisses and touching that women previously said made them uncomfortable." -NY Times
"For a woman to come forward in the glaring lights of focus, nationally, you’ve got to start off with the presumption that at least the essence of what she’s talking about is real, whether or not she forgets facts" - Joe BidenComment
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If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel PaigeComment
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I've acknowledged many times that I'm not a big fan of Biden, but was one of the few to defend him against TW's baseless attacks.
I've said about all there is to say about Trump; namely, that he's a sociopath and anyone who defends him is a wanna-be sociopath. It's a very depressing POV to be honest but there's simply no way to rationally defend that monster.
ETA: I'm happy that you're not one of them.If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel PaigeComment
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If I whisper my wicked marching orders into the ether with no regard to where or how they may bear fruit, I am blameless should a broken spirit carry those orders out upon the innocent, for it was not my hand that took the action merely my lips which let slip their darkest wish. ~Daniel Devereaux 2011
Nothing in all the world is more dangerous than sincere ignorance and conscientious stupidity.
Martin Luther King, Jr.Comment
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