Week 16 NFL thread

[Judge Jude]

STANDINGS entering Week 16 as they continue to battle to reach the Swamps of Jersey on Feb 2

x- CLINCHED PLAYOFF SPOT
y - CLINCHED DIVISION TITLE

AFC
EAST - PATRIOTS 10-4, Dolphins 8-6 [Jets 6-8, Bills 5-9]
NORTH - BENGALS 9-5, RAVENS 8-6 [Steelers 6-8, Browns 4-10]
SOUTH - y-COLTS 9-5 [Titans 5-9, Jaguars 4-10, Texans 2-12]
WEST - x-BRONCOS 11-3, x-CHIEFS 11-3, Chargers 7-7 [Raiders 4-10]

NFC
EAST - EAGLES 8-6, Cowboys 7-7 [Giants 5-9, Redskins 3-11]
NORTH - BEARS 8-6, Packers 7-6-1, Lions 7-7 [Vikings 4-9-1]
SOUTH - SAINTS 10-4, PANTHERS 10-4 [Buccaneers 4-10, Falcons 4-10]
WEST - x-SEAHAWKS 12-2, 49ERS 10-4, Cardinals 9-5 [Rams 6-8]

from SB Nation:


Denver clinches the AFC West and a first-round bye with a win plus a Kansas City loss. The Broncos clinch home-field advantage throughout AFC playoffs with a win, Kansas City loss and a New England loss or tie.
New England clinches the AFC East with a win or tie; or with a Miami loss or tie. The Patriots can clinch a first-round bye with a win, a Cincinnati loss or tie, plus an Indianapolis loss or tie; or if New England can finish its game in a tie, it will need a Cincinnati loss plus an Indianapolis loss. The Patriots clinch a playoff spot with a Cincinnati loss or tie.
Cincinnati clinches the AFC North with a win and a Baltimore loss or tie, or a tie of their own plus a Baltimore loss. The Bengals can clinch a playoff spot with a win, a Miami loss or tie, or a tie plus a Miami loss.
Baltimore clinches a playoff berth with a win, plus a Miami loss and a San Diego loss or tie.
Miami clinches a playoff spot with a win and losses from Baltimore and Cincinnati.


Seattle clinches the NFC West and home-field advantage throughout playoffs with a win or tie, or a San Francisco loss or tie.
New Orleans clinches the NFC South and a first-round bye with a win. The Saints clinch a playoff spot with an Arizona loss, or a tie and a San Francisco loss or tie, or a tie plus an Arizona tie, or a San Francisco loss and an Arizona tie.
Carolina clinches a playoff spot with a win or a tie plus an Arizona or San Francisco loss. Losses from both the Cardinals and 49ers would also lock up a spot for the Panthers.
San Francisco clinches a playoff spot with a win or an Arizona loss, or the highly unlikely event a San Francisco tie and Arizona tie.
Philadelphia clinches the NFC East with a win on Sunday night plus a Dallas loss or tie, or a tie and a Dallas loss.
Chicago clinches the NFC North with a win plus a Detroit loss or tie and a Green Bay loss.


2014 NFL DRAFT PREVIEW
2-12 - Texans
3-11 - Rams (from Redskins)
4-10 - Browns, Jaguars, Buccaneers, Falcons, Raiders
4-9-1 - Vikings
5-9 - Bills, Giants, Titans

[Trautdiggity]

MJD is active. So much for Fantasy playoff hero Jordan Todman.

[Trautdiggity]

Another Sunday, another long Jamaal Charles TD. He really has been huge for owners in the fantasy playoffs.

[Trautdiggity]

This could be a termination-worthy game for Jason Garrett. Pierre Garcon and Alfred Morris are absolutely abusing the Cowboys right now and two consecutive TOs by the Cowboys have given the Skins the lead.

[revo]

Another Sunday, another long Jamaal Charles TD. He really has been huge for owners in the fantasy playoffs.

Yep -- see what he's doing for the a team that didn't even deserve to be in the playoffs in our keeper league.

[Erik]

I got 27 points from the Pats D. I'll take that.

[Judge Jude]

late update

STANDINGS entering Sun nite Week 16 as they continue to battle to reach the Swamps of Jersey on Feb 2

x- CLINCHED PLAYOFF SPOT
y - CLINCHED DIVISION TITLE

AFC
EAST - y-PATRIOTS 11-4, Dolphins 8-7 [Jets 7-8, Bills 6-9]
NORTH - y-BENGALS 10-5, RAVENS 8-7, Steelers 7-8 [Browns 4-11]
SOUTH - y-COLTS 9-6 [Titans 6-9, Jaguars 4-11, Texans 2-13]
WEST - y-BRONCOS 12-3, x-CHIEFS 11-4, Chargers 8-7 [Raiders 4-11]

NFC
EAST - EAGLES 8-6*, Cowboys 8-7 [Giants 6-9, Redskins 3-12]
NORTH - BEARS 8-6*, Packers 7-7-1 [Lions 7-8, Vikings 4-10-1]
SOUTH - y-PANTHERS 11-4, SAINTS 10-5 [Buccaneers 4-11, Falcons 4-10*]
WEST - x-SEAHAWKS 12-3, 49ERS 10-4*, Cardinals 10-5 [Rams 7-8]

2014 NFL DRAFT PREVIEW
2-13 - Texans
3-12 - Rams (from Redskins)
4-11 - Browns, Jaguars, Buccaneers, Falcons, Raiders
4-10-1 - Vikings

6-9 - Bills, Giants, Titans

[revo]

How about the Cards going from 5-11 to double digit wins and a possible playoff spot? Bruce Arians deserves strong Coach of the Year support (again).

[chancellor]

I believe the commissioner should eliminate the NFC North playoff spot for the good of the league.

[madducks]

Pittsburgh Steelers Christmas wish list:

Pittsburgh victory over Cleveland
Cincinnati victory over Baltimore
New York Jets victory over Miami
Kansas City victory over San Diego

Steelers need all four of these next week to make the playoffs as the final AFC Wild Card team with an 8-8 record. It's funny because i thought their season was over two months ago.

[Erik]

In 2008 the Eagles needed to win and to have 3 other teams lose to get in -- and it happened. So there is a chance.

[revo]

The Bears defense against the rush may be the worst I have seen in the 35 years I've been watching football.

[madducks]

Peyton Manning now has 5211 passing yards and a single -season record 53 TD passes. He only needs 266 passing yards next week to break the single-season record (5476) set by Drew Brees in 2011.

Manning (64,698 yds + 487 tds) also has an excellent chance of breaking Brett Favre's (71,838 yds + 508 tds) career records in the next two seasons.

[Trautdiggity]

Anybody hear this plot before? Cowboys facing off against a division rival with the division on the line in Week 17. Based on the way the Cowboys and Eagles played today Philly fans can get ready to throw snowballs in the playoffs.

[Judge Jude]

from my former colleague who now runs thebiglead.com

the wildcards:

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (11-4) at San Diego. The Chiefs are locked into the #5 seed.

MIAMI DOLPHINS (8-7) vs. New York Jets. Miami needs to win, and then have either the Ravens lose, or the Chargers win. If either of those things happen, Miami is the #6 seed. That’s because they would win a two way tiebreaker with San Diego at 9-7 based on the head to head win, and would win a three-way tiebreaker with Baltimore and San Diego based on having the best conference record (8-4).

However, the Dolphins lose a two team tiebreaker with only Baltimore at 9-7, because of the head to head loss. Also, they cannot make the playoffs with a loss, because the Jets would actually finish ahead of them based on division record tiebreaker. (The Jets, though, are eliminated. They only serve to keep Pittsburgh alive).

BALTIMORE RAVENS (8-7) at Cincinnati. Baltimore gets the #6 seed with a win, and either a Chargers loss or a Dolphins loss. In a weird twist, they win a two team tiebreaker with either San Diego or Miami at 9-7, but would lose a three-way tie at 9-7 to Miami (because San Diego did not play both teams, so it skips head to head and goes to conference record).

Baltimore can also win a giant cluster at 8-8, so long as Pittsburgh is not one of those teams also. If Baltimore loses, and Pittsburgh wins, Pittsburgh would have the tiebreaker based on division record. If Baltimore, Miami, San Diego, and the Jets are all 8-8, and Pittsburgh loses, Baltimore is the 6 seed based on New York knocking Miami out, and the Ravens winning the three way tiebreaker on conference record.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (8-7) vs. Kansas City. Chargers need to win, and have both Baltimore and Miami lose. Hey, that was simple.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (7-8) vs. Cleveland. Pittsburgh must win, and must have Baltimore, Miami, and San Diego lose. If that all happens, then Pittsburgh finishes ahead of Baltimore based on division record. The Jets would also finish ahead of Miami based on division record. It would then go to a three-way tie between the Chargers, Steelers, and Jets.

The Steelers win that based on conference record (6-6 vs. 5-7 for the other two), which is how they can still miraculously get in.


...........

DENVER BRONCOS (12-3) at Oakland. Have clinched the AFC West and a first round bye, but could still miss out on the #1 seed with a loss at Oakland plus a New England win vs. Buffalo. If they win (or tie), they are the #1 seed.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (11-4) vs. Buffalo. Clinched the AFC East, and can finish anywhere between the #1 seed and the #4 seed depending on the outcome. They clinch a bye with a win vs. Buffalo, getting the #2 seed if Denver also wins, and the #1 seed if Denver loses.

If New England loses, then they are still the #2 seed if both Cincinnati and Indianapolis lose. New England would finish behind Cincinnati (head to head) or Indianapolis (conference record) or both, if either (or both) won. A three way tie at 11-5 would make New England the #4 seed.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (10-5) vs. Baltimore. Cincinnati has clinched the AFC North with Baltimore’s loss. Can still get the #2 seed. Cannot finish as the #4 seed if they win. Cincinnati gets the bye if New England loses, Indianapolis loses, and they win. Cincinnati is the #3 seed with a win, and a New England win.

If Cincinnati loses, then they are the #3 seed if Indianapolis also loses, and the #4 seed if Indianapolis wins.

INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (10-5) vs. Jacksonville. Indianapolis can still get the #2 seed with a win and a New England loss, and a Cincinnati loss. If the Colts win, Patriots win, and the Bengals win, Colts are the #4 seed. If the Colts win, Patriots win, and Bengals lose, they are the #3 seed. If the Colts lose, they are the #4 seed.