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Hidden early-season performances

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  • #1

    Hidden early-season performances

    It's easy to put too much weight on April numbers since everyone's starting from zero. Here are some guys I saw while poking through FG looking for players who had turned things around one way or the other so far in May:

    Brandon Phillips: .255/.272/.318 April, .382/.421/.647 May
    Asdrubal Cabrera: .220/.297/.330 April, .340/.415/.553 May
    Colby Rasmus: .194/.242/.387 April, .286/.318/.714 May
    Dustin Pedroia: .270/.325/.351 April, .320/.454/.540 May

    Adrian Gonzalez: .317/.377/.644 April, .164/.258/.236 May
    Marcell Ozuna: .310/.364/.480 April, .149/.143/.277 May
    Chris Shelton-Colabello: .295/.343/.484 (27 RBI) April, .149/.200/.234 (3 RBI) May
    Trevor Plouffe: .304/.409/.478 April, .164/.207/.309 May
    Yadier Molina: .350/.377/.540 April, .209/.244/.233 May
    Anthony Rendon: .316/.352/.544 April, .204/.216/.327 May
    Austin Jackson: .307/.391/.520 April, .229/.255/.271 May
    In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.
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  • #2
    The only one that I have is Rasmus and has sat out the last 3 days and may need to go on the DL.

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    • #3
      I love this kind of info... going to post something for pitchers in a bit.
      "The Times found no pattern of sexual misconduct by Mr. Biden, beyond the hugs, kisses and touching that women previously said made them uncomfortable." -NY Times

      "For a woman to come forward in the glaring lights of focus, nationally, you’ve got to start off with the presumption that at least the essence of what she’s talking about is real, whether or not she forgets facts" - Joe Biden

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      • #4
        oh, missed one:

        Curtis Granderson: .136/.252/.216 April, .319/.396/.596 May
        In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by cardboardbox View Post
          I love this kind of info... going to post something for pitchers in a bit.
          for sure on that list will be Ubaldo Jiminez ... glad I couldn't unload him last month.
          It certainly feels that way. But I'm distrustful of that feeling and am curious about evidence.

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          • #6
            and Phillips just hit a 3-run HR today.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by TranaGreg View Post
              for sure on that list will be Ubaldo Jiminez ... glad I couldn't unload him last month.
              rather than an April to May comp, I did ERA-xFIP. Ubaldo ended up negative on the year even though he's been better of late.
              "The Times found no pattern of sexual misconduct by Mr. Biden, beyond the hugs, kisses and touching that women previously said made them uncomfortable." -NY Times

              "For a woman to come forward in the glaring lights of focus, nationally, you’ve got to start off with the presumption that at least the essence of what she’s talking about is real, whether or not she forgets facts" - Joe Biden

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              • #8
                Originally posted by cardboardbox View Post
                rather than an April to May comp, I did ERA-xFIP. Ubaldo ended up negative on the year even though he's been better of late.
                not surprising. in his 2 May starts he's 2-0, 14.1 IP, 0 ER, 6 H, 3 BB, 17 Ks.

                keep in mind though that the last pitcher I talked up was Josh Fields just before he imploded multiples time to get sent down.
                It certainly feels that way. But I'm distrustful of that feeling and am curious about evidence.

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                • #9
                  A handful more interesting numbers. Over the last 30 days, top players at each position by wRC+, surprises highlighted:

                  C: Gattis 183, Lucroy 159, Posey 155, Martin 150, Perez 148, Zunino 122 somehow even with a 3.3 BB% and 36.3 K%
                  1B: CSantana 218 (.348/.463/.667), Rizzo 208, Duda 185, Encarnacion 178, Goldschmidt 173 - and at the bottom, CDavis 74, AGonzalez 63, Hosmer 51
                  2B: Gennett 208 (.400/.430/.688), Altuve 142 with 13 steals and four strikeouts, Cano 137, Gordon 137 with 10 steals, Dozier 133, Kinsler 121 - and at the bottom, Utley 68, Infante 55, Hill 50 with zero walks
                  SS: Hanley 163 with seven steals, Castro 142, Miller 141, Crawford 138, Aybar 137, and finally Tulo 130. No surprises at the bottom: Segura 36, Lowrie 28, ECabrera 15.
                  3B: no big surprises since you already know about Chisenhall. The worst are Bogaerts 71 (.221/.274/.365), Escober 68, Zimmerman 64, Headley 64. Depressing that I've been stuck with Dominguez in a 12-team mixed and Headley just got cut and I probably still don't want him, even for free.
                  OF: Trout 242 (.381/.476/.774 - apparently he's good), Crisp 189, McCutchen 188, CDickerson 185, Brantley 184. Kiermaier in 9th, surprising that he's kept it up for a month. At the bottom: a tie for fifth worst between BJ Upton and Justin Upton, both at 58, Schierholtz 48, Lake 42, Choo 34, Viciedo 20.

                  And a couple of quick pitcher notes:
                  The worst pitchers by FIP: NMartinez, Nuno, Haren, Estrada, RHernandez, Dickey. Estrada is 3-2 this month with a 6.94 ERA. Haren is 2-1 with a 5.08 ERA and only 4.3 K/9.
                  And the best: Felix, Arrieta, Kershaw, Zimmermann, HAlvarez. Alvarez has a 2.31 FIP while striking out under 6 per 9 innings; that's possible when you walk less than one and don't give up any homers.
                  In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.

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                  • #10
                    Some more:

                    Bruce
                    Mar/April/May: .197/.314/.318 = .632
                    June . 306/.358/.588 = .946

                    Pence
                    Mar-April 20: .181/.289/.278 = .567
                    April 21-June 26: .321/.389/.535 = .916

                    Callaspo
                    April: .269/.346/.409 = .755
                    May/June: .216/.318/.254 = .572

                    Solarte
                    April/May: .299/.369/.466 = .834
                    June: .169/.279/.220 = .500

                    Ad Gonzalez
                    Mar/April: .317/.377/.644 = 1.021
                    May/June: .216/.290/.342 = .632 (ouch!)

                    Al Ramirez
                    Mar/Apr/May: .329/.361/.479 = .840
                    June: .209/.242/.253 = .495 (Alexei!)

                    Viciedo:
                    April: .348/.410/.528 = .938
                    May: .229/.276/.385 = .661
                    June: .148/.198/.235 = .432 (yikes!)

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                    • #11
                      Displaying my managerial acumen, I dropped Aybar and traded Bruce for Upton.
                      If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
                      - Terence McKenna

                      Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)

                      How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel Paige

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