My prediction of BA's Top 100

[rhd]

Here's my prediction of the players that will be on BA's Top 100 Prospects list, to be published later today. The order is the order that they are on my roto list. Usually I get about 90 of these names correct and about 7-8 of the ones I miss are on my list of "possibles", of which I have 20 this year. I already know that I've missed at least a couple, because on the MLB channel yesterday they revealed that there were 7 catchers on the list and I have only 6 (pretty sure that Reese McGuire will be the one I missed). And they indicated that Boston has the most players on the list w 8 and I have only 7 (perhaps the other one is Barnes or Trey Ball).

BTW, only 2 of the players I anticipated will be on their list are not in my roto top 150, both catchers. And McGuire likely will be a 3rd.

Also, John Manuel and J.J. Cooper of BA will help reveal and discuss the Top 50 of this list tonite at 9 PM on the MLB Channel.

Top 100:
Name Pos Org
Byron Buxton OF Min
George Springer OF Hou
Oscar Taveras OF StL
Javier Baez SS/3B CHC
Carlos Correa SS Hou
Xander Bogaerts SS/3B Bos
Miguel Angel Sano 3B/1B Min
Kris Bryant 3B/OF/1B CHC
Addison Russell SS/3B Oak
Masahiro Tanaka SP NYY
Greg Polanco OF Pit
Taijuan Walker SP Sea
Archie Bradley SP Ari
Nick Castellanos 3B/OF Det
Clint Frazier OF Cle
Billy Hamilton OF/2B Cin
Francisco Lindor SS Cle
Maikel Franco 3B Phi
Lucas Giolito SP Was
Noah Syndergaard SP NYM
Robert Stephenson SP Cin
Jameson Taillon SP Pit
Joc Pederson OF LAD
Albert Almora OF CHC
Jorge Soler OF CHC
Jose Dariel Abreu 1B CHW
Jackie Bradley OF Bos
Kolten Wong 2B StL
Austin Meadows OF Pit
Corey Seager SS/3B LAD
Rougned Odor 2B/SS Tex
Raul (Adalberto) Mondesi SS KC
Yordano Ventura SP/RP KC
Kevin Gausman SP Bal
Mark Appel SP Hou
Matthew Davidson 3B/1B CHW
Alex Meyer SP/RP Min
Dylan Bundy SP Bal
Kyle Zimmer SP KC
Carlos Martinez (Matias) RP/SP StL
Tyler Glasnow SP Pit
Henry Owens SP Bos
Kyle Crick SP/RP SF
Kohl Stewart SP Min
Julio Urias SP LAD
Andrew Heaney SP Mia
Phillip Ervin OF Cin
Garin Cecchini 3B Bos
Arismendy Alcantara SS/2B CHC
Mookie Betts 2B Bos
Alen Hanson SS/2B Pit
Tim Anderson SS/2B/OF CHW
Aaron Sanchez SP Tor
Matt Wisler SP SD
Mike Foltynewicz SP Hou
Chris Owings SS/2B Ari
Max Fried SP SD
Hunter Harvey SP Bal
Lance McCullers SP/RP Hou
Braden Shipley SP/RP Ari
Lucas Sims SP/RP Atl
Trevor Bauer SP Cle
Erik Johnson SP CHW
Jake Odorizzi SP TB
Michael Choice OF Tex
Jake Marisnick OF Mia
Jonathan Schoop 2B/3B Bal
D.J. Peterson 1B/3B Sea
Travis D'Arnaud C NYM
Jorge Alfaro C Tex
Rosell Herrera SS/3B Col
Jesse Winker OF Cin
A.J. Cole SP/RP Was
C.J. (Carl) Edwards SP CHC
Marcus Stroman SP/RP Tor
Miguel Almonte SP KC
Eduardo Rodriguez SP Bal
Allen Webster SP Bos
Jonathan Gray SP/RP Col
Dominic Smith 1B/OF NYM
Hunter Renfroe OF SD
Jonathan Singleton 1B Hou
Hunter Dozier SS/3B KC
Sean Manaea SP KC
Jesse Biddle SP Phi
Rafael Montero SP/RP NYM
Nick Kingham SP Pit
Edwin Escobar SP SF
Pierce Johnson SP CHC
Vincent Velasquez SP/RP Hou
Austin Hedges C SD
Gary Sanchez C NYY
Colin Moran 3B Mia
Jorge Bonifacio OF KC
Hak Ju Lee SS TB
J.O. (Jose) Berrios SP/RP Min
Taylor Guerrieri SP/RP TB
Eddie Butler SP Col
Blake Swihart C Bos
Christian Bethancourt C Atl

Possibles:
David Dahl OF Col
Bubba (Derek) Starling OF KC
Josh Bell OF Pit
James Paxton SP/RP Sea
J.P. (John Paul) Crawford SS Phi
Stephen Piscotty OF StL
Brian Goodwin OF Was
Devon Travis 2B Det
Joey Gallo 3B/1B Tex
Nick Williams OF Tex
Zach Lee SP LAD
Eddie Rosario 2B/OF Min
Adalberto Mejia SP SF
J.R. Graham SP/RP Atl
Casey Kelly SP SD
Enny Romero SP/RP TB
Reese McGuire C Pit
Kyle Parker OF/1B Col
Chris Stratton SP SF
Justin Nicolino SP Mia

[rhd]

Well, I didnt do quite as well as I usually do. I missed 13 names and 4 werent even on my "possibles" list:

On BA's list that werent on my list:
J Gallo (#60)
S Piscotty (#70)
JP Crawford (#78)
R McGuire (#81)
D Travis (#84)
T Ball (#89)
M Semien (#91)
T Lindsay (#93)
D Dahl (#94)
Z Lee (#95)
J Nelson (#96)
N Williams (#97)
J Paxton (#99)

On my list that werent on BA's list:
P Ervin
T Anderson
H Harvey
J Schoop
M Almonte
A Cole
J Winker
S Manaea
V Velasquez
H Lee
H Dozier
T Guerrieri
J Berrios

McGuire was the catcher that I missed and Ball was the RedSox that I missed.

They had a 51/49 NL/AL split and a 55/45 hitter/pitcher split.

Some observations:
- Tampa had only 1 player on the list (Odorizzi), same number as the Angels and Brewers, who have terrible systems. And he was from another organization and was only #67. How the mighty have fallen.
- Every org had at least 1 player on the list. BA seems to make a point of doing this each year. I didnt think anyone from the Angels or Milw belonged (T Lindsay and J Nelson made very few other prospect lists). I can remember only 1 year or so where they had an org w no players on the list.
- Urias is one of the youngest players to ever make the list (wont turn 18 until Aug). And he just missed the top 50 (#51). Sano is the only one I can think of who was younger (#94 in 2010 at age 16).
- Paxton was the oldest guy on the list, the only player 25 y/o or more on Jan 1 besides the 2 imports.
- Paxton made the list despite not making a league Top 20. That seldom happens.
- Ball made the list despite being only #10 on his team top 10. That also seldom happens.
- C Edwards was surprisingly high at #28, higher than he's been ranked on any other list.
- I'm very surprised that H Harvey didnt make the list, altho he did make their list of 10 unranked guys who could vault into the top 50 next year. Likewise for M Almonte
- I thought Gallo might make the list, but I'm surprised he was as high as he was (#60) w the extremely high K-rate that he had.

Based on BA's rankings, I've made significant changes to my list.

[james33]

Great analysis!