2K24: Atlanta Braves

[nullnor]

Ynoa i'm holding, he'll be back for his start for MIA this week. and if not, i can wait.

[Sharky]

I think I managed to get through draft season with zero shares.

I have my own thoughts on why this should have been predictable but I'm curious what everyone else sees. To me Ynoa himself is not as interesting to analyze as the pattern. What did you guys see?

Let’s hear it, Ken. Whaddya got?

[Ken]

Let’s hear it, Ken. Whaddya got?

A guy who consistently walks >10% of hitters in the minors doesn't just suddenly figure out how to walk <7% when facing mlb hitters. That was never real IMO. The 13.1% SwStr% was higher than he'd seen in the minors as well.

I just see a guy who is going to walk ~12% of mlb hitters, not 7%. Once mlb hitters adjusted, this year they are swinging more at pitches inside the zone and laying off his bad pitches outside the zone. Now this is exreme, it wont be as bad as these first couple starts obviously, but I think 2021 was somewhat of a mirage for Ynoa. His historical numbers did not support it. He seems like a SP4/5 due to the middling command.

[Bene Futuis]

Kenley throwing his cutter up to 95MPH which bodes VERY well for him. He looks great out there. Shut down LA with ease.

[madducks]

Hey KS, it's time for your team to call up Acuna. He's tearing the cover off the ball in Triple-A.

[ThatRogue]

I think I managed to get through draft season with zero shares.

I have my own thoughts on why this should have been predictable but I'm curious what everyone else sees. To me Ynoa himself is not as interesting to analyze as the pattern. What did you guys see?

A guy who consistently walks >10% of hitters in the minors doesn't just suddenly figure out how to walk <7% when facing mlb hitters. That was never real IMO. The 13.1% SwStr% was higher than he'd seen in the minors as well.

I just see a guy who is going to walk ~12% of mlb hitters, not 7%. Once mlb hitters adjusted, this year they are swinging more at pitches inside the zone and laying off his bad pitches outside the zone. Now this is exreme, it wont be as bad as these first couple starts obviously, but I think 2021 was somewhat of a mirage for Ynoa. His historical numbers did not support it. He seems like a SP4/5 due to the middling command.

That blanket statement isn’t exactly true. Sometimes young pitchers with talent learn how to harness existing pitches and sometimes they develop other pitches. Randy Johnson is a historical example of a pitcher who developed enough control to be effectively wild and Freddy Peralta has been a more recent example. The Braves have a reputation for developing pitching talent and some fantasy owners are gambling that Ynoa could benefit from their system.

[Bene Futuis]

Eddie Rosario apparently spent every last ounce of his hitting ability in last year's playoffs. Dude is hitting .069 with a .254 OPS. Yikes.

[Ken]

That blanket statement isn’t exactly true. Sometimes young pitchers with talent learn how to harness existing pitches and sometimes they develop other pitches. Randy Johnson is a historical example of a pitcher who developed enough control to be effectively wild and Freddy Peralta has been a more recent example. The Braves have a reputation for developing pitching talent and some fantasy owners are gambling that Ynoa could benefit from their system.

Ynoa is nothing like either Johnson or Peralta.

[virgonomic]

Is Soroka a hold in a keep forever league? I can keep him in the 10th round next year, moving up a round each year. In theory he's an IL stash, however, right now all spots are full.

[revo]

Is Soroka a hold in a keep forever league? I can keep him in the 10th round next year, moving up a round each year. In theory he's an IL stash, however, right now all spots are full.

How big is the league? 10th rd seems way overpriced for him now.

[virgonomic]

How big is the league? 10th rd seems way overpriced for him now.

14 teams. Thanks, could always drop him and pick up again if he looks good.

[madducks]

Eddie Rosario apparently spent every last ounce of his hitting ability in last year's playoffs. Dude is hitting .069 with a .254 OPS. Yikes.

Eddie Rosario will undergo a laser procedure in the coming days to correct blurred vision and swelling in his right eye.

The decision was made to have the procedure after Rosario met with a retinal specialist on Monday. Justin Toscano of the Atlanta Journal-Constitution writes that the "loose estimate" is Rosario will be sidelined 8-12 weeks.

[Ken]

Acuna activated.


Lets gooooooooooooooooo

[revo]

What's goin on with Ian Anderson? BB% way up, K% rate way down.

I was offered him for Taylor Ward yesterday in my 16tm redraft, I declined it. Something is off here.

[Ken]

What's goin on with Ian Anderson? BB% way up, K% rate way down.

I was offered him for Taylor Ward yesterday in my 16tm redraft, I declined it. Something is off here.

Called Strikes down by 5%, Z-Swing up by 10% to 80% with Z-Contact up to 84%. Without watching him, on the surface that suggests that hitters aren't fooled by his stuff. Perhaps he's tipping pitches or he's not as deceptive as he has been.

That said, the numbers don't look particularly great for him historically. He's always had a BB% > 10% and his 24% Ks are good but not elite.

The scary part is he's doing this with a .212 BABIP which is well below his career average and league average.

On the positive side, expect that 20% HR/FB rate to come down some at least.