Originally posted by chancellor
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2K24: Chicago Cubs
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After former Broncos quarterback Brian Griese sprained his ankle and said he was tripped on the stairs of his home by his golden retriever, Bella: “The dog stood up on his hind legs and gave him a push? You might want to get rid of that dog, or put him in the circus, one of the two.”
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The Cubs have scored 93 more runs than their opponents through the first 26 games. It is the greatest differential through 26 games since 1905 and puts them on pace to shatter the all-time record of plus-411 set by the 1939 New York Yankees.
The Cubs winning percentage is .769 has them on a pace for 124 wins.
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Originally posted by Ryno84MVP View PostThe Cubs have scored 93 more runs than their opponents through the first 26 games. It is the greatest differential through 26 games since 1905 and puts them on pace to shatter the all-time record of plus-411 set by the 1939 New York Yankees.
The Cubs winning percentage is .769 has them on a pace for 124 wins.
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Originally posted by Sour Masher View PostThere is a great convo about them and the correlation between wins and saves spearheaded by Ken in the closers thread.
From the sample data we pulled there, on average the primary closer gets saves on 37% of a team's wins.
Vizcaino is getting 42% and Rondon is currently at 20%.
The standard deviation across the sample is 12.5%, so, if these hold up Vizcaino would be .46 standard deviations above average (better than ~65% of primary closers historically), and Rondon is 1.6 standard deviations below which is around the 10% range (i.e. 10% of primary closers would have this type ratio or less across a full season).Last edited by Ken; 05-05-2016, 06:09 PM.
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Originally posted by Ken View PostYup.
From the sample data we pulled there, on average the primary closer gets saves on 37% of a team's wins.
Vizcaino is getting 42% and Rondon is currently at 20%.
The standard deviation across the sample is 12.5%, so, if these hold up Vizcaino would be .46 standard deviations above average (better than ~65% of primary closers historically), and Rondon is 1.6 standard deviations below which is around the 10% range (i.e. 10% of primary closers would have this type ratio or less across a full season).
Have you ever looked at the ratio adjusted for winning percentage of the team? For example if on average it's 37%, it might be 40% for sub-.500 teams and 34% for winning teams. Would be interesting to explore.
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Originally posted by Sharky View PostGood stuff Ken!
Have you ever looked at the ratio adjusted for winning percentage of the team? For example if on average it's 37%, it might be 40% for sub-.500 teams and 34% for winning teams. Would be interesting to explore.
Split just into the two halves, 37.4% for teams above .500, 36.3% for teams below.
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Originally posted by Ken View PostYup.
From the sample data we pulled there, on average the primary closer gets saves on 37% of a team's wins.
Vizcaino is getting 42% and Rondon is currently at 20%.
The standard deviation across the sample is 12.5%, so, if these hold up Vizcaino would be .46 standard deviations above average (better than ~65% of primary closers historically), and Rondon is 1.6 standard deviations below which is around the 10% range (i.e. 10% of primary closers would have this type ratio or less across a full season).
Kenley Jansen has saved 10 of the Dodgers 14 wins, a 71% rate that has never lasted a whole season. He's 2.75 standard deviations past the mean.
Jeffress is next at 7 out of 11.
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