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How many (if any) of the following players will surpass 3,000 career hits?

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  • How many (if any) of the following players will surpass 3,000 career hits?

    Alex Rodriguez: 2,901 hits, 37 years old
    Ichiro Suzuki: 2,662 hits, 39 years old
    Albert Pujols: 2,308 hits, 33 years old
    Michael Young: 2,290 hits, 36 years old
    Adrian Beltre: 2,304 hits, 34 years old
    Jimmy Rollins: 2,090 hits, 34 years old
    Miguel Cabrera: 1,893 hits, 30 years old
    Robinson Cano: 1,532 hits, 30 years old
    David Wright, 1,491 hits, 30 years old
    Other (please specify in thread)

    I left out several players ranked higher than some of these guys on the active career hits -- Helton, Pierre, Aramis Ramirez, Konerko, Beltran, etc) -- because I don't think they have a realistic chance. I also didn't include players who have less than 1,400 career hits.
    48
    Alex Rodriguez
    0%
    12
    Ichiro Suzuki
    0%
    2
    Albert Pujols
    0%
    11
    Adrian Beltre
    0%
    5
    Michael Young
    0%
    0
    Jimmy Rollins
    0%
    0
    Miguel Cabrera
    0%
    12
    Robinson Cano
    0%
    5
    David Wright
    0%
    1
    Other (please specify in thread)
    0%
    0

  • #2
    I don't think Ichiro will make it because he'll have trouble finding regular playing time going forward. I worry about Miggy's body breaking down in his late 30's, but he still has a decent chance. The only ones with a good chance, IMO, are A-Rod and Pujols since they both have lots of years left on their contracts so they'll continue getting at-bats even if their bodies continue breaking down.

    Of the youngsters, I'd say Trout and Harper have a good chance since they got an early start and have the pedigree to stay good for a long time. Obviously a lot can change in the next 15 years though.

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    • #3
      I think Beltre will get there. He just turned 34, he's playing at a high level, and he'll likely be right around 2,400 hits (possibly a tick above) when this season is done. If he plays 5 more years after this one and averages 125 hits a season (he'll probably be closer to 150 the next couple of years and 110 in the last couple), that will get him there. Lots can happen, and a devastating injury can change all of that, of course, but I don't think it's at all unlikely. He actually has an outside shot to join both the 3,000 hit club and 500 hr club. I think he'll miss on the latter, but stranger things have happened.

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      • #4
        I'll add Mike Trout and Manny Machado to the others list

        Honestly looking at the active hits leaders, the only other guy that jumps out as a maybe is Country Breakfast

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