Urgent - Mixed Keepers (2/27/13)

[virgonomic]

13 team mixed, 1 catcher, shallow league (C-1B-2B-3B-SS-OF-OF-OF-DH and SP-SP-RP-RP-P-P-P).

Need feedback tonight as keepers are due at midnight tomorrow.

Bautista
JUpton
Longoria
Reyes
Posey

Rounds 1-4 are keepers. Which 4 should I keep? I also have JMontero as a late-round keeper.

If I don't keep Posey, I can trade him and the 104th pick for the 64th pick. This would be an upgrade of Latos from Doumit, based on current ADP.

SS will be scarce (Zobrist, Rollins, Prado are the best available), so I'm leaning towards keeping Reyes.

[Gregg]

Posey, Reyes, Bautista, Longoria.

Nice problem to have.

[Stephen]

Reyes
JUpton
Posey
Longoria

Bautista
Hernandez

In a 3 OF/1 C league I feel like keeping the #1 catcher is better than a non-Top 10 OF. That being said, you are a Blue Jays fan so you might specifically want him on your team. If that's the case, it's reasonable to keep him over Longoria given how deep 3B is this year.

[Sour Masher]

I'm not getting keeping a catcher in a 1 catcher 13 team league over the other options. Why can't you keep both Felix and Evan?

[KnuckleBalls]

Bautista, Upton, Longoria, Reyes. I agree with Masher, in a 1 catcher league I'm not keeping Posey.

[virgonomic]

I'm not keeping a catcher in a 1 catcher 13 team league over the other options. Why can't you keep both Felix and Evan?

I can trade Felix for Longo and think it's the right move. ETA: done deal.

I figure the main drop from Posey to other catchers is BA - there are many catchers who hit for power out there.

[joncarlos]

I'd still keep Posey. Leagues that shallow are all about elite talent

Add Longo, Reyes, Joey bats

[virgonomic]

I should add that we also have JMontero as a late round rookie keeper - I just remembered as he is an afterthought right now, but probably pertinent to this discussion. He was #8 among catcher values last year. Does that change things?

[DJBeasties]

I'm guessing that it doesn't cost you money or the round they were drafted in? I like all three of those SS you mentioned but in a shallow league you need explosive players in bunches so Reyes, though still with plenty of question marks, has the makeup and playing situation to have a monster year.

Longoria is a huge risk as well but a foundation-level player if he gets the 550+ABs . I'd also keep Bautista and Posey.

[Stephen]

I'm sort of surprised at the lack of people who want to keep Upton.

I personally have him ranked ahead of Bautista this year in terms of overall value and I've seen a lot of other rankings who do too.

[virgonomic]

We have also been discussing trading Posey and the 104th pick for the 64th pick.

[virgonomic]

Montero would be my 22nd round pick. I have seen him ranked 8-11 amongst catchers for 2013.

If I trade Montero, I still have to drop one of Bautista/Longoria/J-Up/Reyes to keep Posey.

[cavebird]

I'd trade Posey, and go with Montero and the other choices. How much better than Montero will Posey be? I doubt it will be much.

[sagiv1981]

Mauer because many catchers are not very good a offense except for a few like Posey, Mauer, Molina, etc. I do not expect a repeat for Dickey because he is too old.

[cavebird]

Well, Posey was literally just about twice as good as Montero last year (and was worth twice as much as well). I don't know that he'll repeat that dominance but I think there is a pretty enormous gap between Posey and Montero.

Yes and no, here. To be exact, Posey was 9 HR's, 15 RBI's, 13 Runs, 1 stolen base, and significant batting average better than Montero last year. I think the difference between a keeper in the first four rounds like Bautista and a 22nd round pick is more than this difference. Add in the draft pick trade he can make with Posey, and my choice would be clear.