RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects (Pre BA Top 100 Edition) (write-ups to come)

[rhd]

Here's the latest list. I wanted to post it before BA posted their overall Top 100, which will be posted Feb. 19. I will do writeups for all these, but I'm still working on them and I'll post them later.

Same spiel as usual: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), actual closers upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

Write-ups for #1-#35: http://forum.rotojunkiefix.com/showt...ps-for-1-35%29

Write-ups for #36-#75: http://forum.rotojunkiefix.com/showt...s-for-36-75%29

Rank Name Pos Org +/- Prev
1 Billy Hamilton OF Cin 0 1
2 Jurickson Profar SS Tex 1 3
3 Wil Myers OF TB -1 2
4 Oscar Taveras OF StL 0 4
5 Dylan Bundy SP Bal 0 5
6 Shelby Miller SP StL 16 22
7 Trevor Bauer SP Cle 1 8
8 Tyler Skaggs SP Ari -1 7
9 Jose Fernandez SP Mia 2 11
10 Gerrit Cole SP Pit 0 10
11 Miguel Angel Sano 3B Min -5 6
12 Xander Bogaerts SS Bos 3 15
13 Javier Baez SS CHC 6 19
14 Byron Buxton OF Min 15 29
15 Christian Yelich OF Mia 3 18
16 Mike Olt 3B Tex 0 16
17 Zack Wheeler SP NYM 4 21
18 Taijuan Walker SP Sea -9 9
19 Anthony Rendon 3B Was 9 28
20 Jackie Bradley OF Bos -7 13
21 George Springer OF Hou -1 20
22 Nick Castellanos OF Det -5 17
23 Oswaldo Arcia OF Min 38 61
24 Jonathan Singleton 1B Hou 2 26
25 Delino DeShields 2B Hou -13 12
26 Jameson Taillon SP Pit -3 23
27 Rymer Liriano OF SD 56 83
28 Greg Polanco OF Pit -14 14
29 Alen Hanson SS Pit 4 33
30 Carlos Correa SS Hou 0 30
31 David Dahl OF Col 31 62
32 Addison Russell SS Oak 72 104
33 Hyun-Jin (Jin-Hyeon) Ryu SP LAD NA NR
34 Mike Zunino C Sea 14 48
35 Danny Hultzen SP Sea -11 24
36 Kevin Gausman SP Bal 36 72
37 Archie Bradley SP Ari -3 34
38 Jorge Soler OF CHC -7 31
39 Albert Almora OF CHC 8 47
40 Yasiel Puig OF LAD NA NR
41 Roman Quinn SS Phi NA NR
42 Francisco Lindor SS Cle 4 46
43 Brian Goodwin OF Was 24 67
44 Adam Eaton OF Ari 14 58
45 Travis D'Arnaud C NYM 31 76
46 Leonys Martin OF Tex -11 35
47 Aaron Hicks OF Min 45 92
48 Jedd Gyorko 2B SD -12 36
49 Nolan Arenado 3B Col -22 27
50 Trevor Story SS Col 28 78
51 Bubba (Derek) Starling OF KC -19 32
52 Kaleb Cowart 3B LAA -15 37
53 Matt Barnes SP Bos -28 25
54 Julio Teheran SP Atl -2 52
55 Chris Archer SP TB 34 89
56 Trevor Rosenthal SP StL 65 121
57 Casey Kelly SP SD -1 56
58 Bruce Rondon RP Det NA NR
59 Matthew Davidson 3B Ari -15 44
60 Nick Franklin SS Sea -15 45
61 Kolten Wong 2B StL -23 38
62 Carlos Martinez (Matias) SP StL -9 53
63 Noah Syndergaard SP NYM 25 88
64 Luis Heredia SP Pit 10 74
65 Masahiro Tanaka SP Japan 85 150
66 Alfredo Despaigne OF Cuba -16 50
67 Tyler (Chris) Austin OF NYY -28 39
68 Mason Williams OF NYY -19 49
69 Kyle Zimmer SP KC 4 73
70 Michael Wacha SP StL 5 75
71 Aaron Sanchez SP Tor -17 54
72 Taylor Guerrieri SP TB 14 86
73 Courtney Hawkins OF CHW 68 141
74 Max Fried SP SD -3 71
75 Robert Stephenson SP Cin 12 87
76 Jake Marisnick OF Mia -34 42
77 Hak Ju Lee SS TB -14 63
78 Slade (Zachary) Heathcott OF NYY NA NR
79 D.J. Davis OF Tor 57 136
80 Corey Seager 3B LAD 57 137
81 Brett Jackson OF CHC -40 41
82 James Paxton SP Sea -23 59
83 Jake Odorizzi SP TB -32 51
84 Kyle Crick SP SF 36 120
85 Gary Sanchez C NYY -8 77
86 Joc Pederson OF LAD 17 103
87 Jorge Bonifacio OF KC -19 68
88 Marcell Ozuna OF Mia -7 81
89 Domingo Santana OF Hou -9 80
90 Trayce Thompson OF CHW 34 124
91 Michael Choice OF Oak -27 64
92 Adalberto Mondesi SS KC NA NR
93 Dorssys Paulino SS Cle NA NR
94 Gary Brown OF SF -29 65
95 Garin Cecchini 3B Bos -52 43
96 A.J. Cole SP Was -12 84
97 Alex Meyer SP Min -12 85
98 Allen Webster SP Bos -8 90
99 Mark Appel SP College -4 95
100 Austin Meadows OF HS NA NR
101 Clint Frazier OF HS NA NR
102 Ryne Stanek SP College -6 96
103 Sean Manaea SP College NA NR
104 Jesse Biddle SP Phi -6 98
105 Yordano Ventura SP KC 18 123
106 Lucas Giolito SP Was NA NR
107 Carlos Rodon SP College -10 97
108 Hiroyuki Nakajima SS Oak 41 149
109 Lewis Brinson OF Tex 29 138
110 Max Kepler OF Min NA NR
111 Josh Bell OF Pit -42 69
112 Colin Moran 3B College NA NR
113 Lance McCullers SP Hou 31 144
114 Kyle Gibson SP Min NA NR
115 Daniel Straily SP Oak -60 55
116 Matt Szczur OF CHC -50 66
117 Jonathan Villar SS Hou -38 79
118 Jace Peterson SS SD 16 134
119 Jarred Cosart SP Hou -20 99
120 Martin Perez SP Tex -63 57
121 Wily Peralta SP Mil -12 109
122 Tony Cingrani SP Cin 0 122
123 Zach Lee SP LAD -32 91
124 Justin Nicolino SP Mia -12 112
125 Cody Buckel SP Tex -17 108
126 Andrew Heaney SP Mia 17 143
127 Michael Fulmer SP NYM -21 106
128 Carlos (Yolmer) Sanchez 2B CHW NA NR
129 Avisail Garcia OF Det NA NR
130 Jonathan Schoop 2B Bal -4 126
131 Matthew Adams 1B StL -16 115
132 Bryce Brentz OF Bos 0 132
133 Jose (Vicente) Campos SP NYY -19 114
134 Richie Shaffer 3B TB 5 139
135 Kyle Parker OF Col -6 129
136 Miles Head 3B Oak -76 60
137 Joey Gallo 3B Tex -2 135
138 Dan Vogelbach 1B CHC NA NR
139 Matt Skole 3B Was -46 93
140 C.J. Cron 1B LAA -24 116
141 Henry Owens SP Bos -23 118
142 Andrew Chafin SP Ari -23 119
143 Brad Miller SS Sea NA NR
144 Gavin Cecchini SS NYM -2 142
145 Adeiny Hechavarria SS Mia NA NR
146 Ronald Guzman OF Tex -76 70
147 Wilmer Flores 3B NYM NA NR
148 Deven Marrero SS Bos -8 140
149 Daniel Corcino SP Cin -42 107
150 Didi (Mariekson) Gregorius SS Ari NA NR

Players that dropped off because of ineligibility:
J. Segura (#40)

Eligibles that dropped off (20):
C Spangenburg (#82), E. Rosario (#94), D Holmberg (#100), T Thornburg (#101), J Vitters (#102), B Nimmo (#105), R Erlin (#110), C Blackburn (#111), J Ross (#113), W Font (#117), R Odor (#125), C Villanueva (#127), C Cuthbert (#128), R Wheeler (#130), T Wheeler (#131), B Jacobs (#133), M Banuelos (#145), T Jenkins (#146), S Gray (#147), B Peacock (#148).

New additions (21):
H. Ryu, Y Puig, R Quinn, B Rondon, S Heathcott, A Mondesi, D Paulino, A Meadows, C Frazier, S Manaea, L Giolito (back on), M Kepler, C Moran, K Gibson (back on), C Sanchez, A Garcia, D Vogelbach, B Miller, A Hechavarria, W Flores (back on), D Gregorius (back on, I think).

As always, comments are not only welcome but encouraged. Enjoy!

[DJBeasties]

So THIS is where the RJEL guys get their MiLB lists from. Brilliant. Thanks rhd.

[onejayhawk]

Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

Seriously, This is good to see.

I was wondering about Jean Segura, who I see is not eligible. Where would he rank?

J

[rhd]

Thank you. Thank you. Thank you.

Seriously, This is good to see.

I was wondering about Jean Segura, who I see is not eligible. Where would he rank?
J

Thanx for the response, onejayhawk.

Segura was #40 on the last list, and he'd be around the same now. I guess ranked next to Eaton at around #44 or so. I see him as a solid regular w a good # of SBs.

[rhd]

So THIS is where the RJEL guys get their MiLB lists from. Brilliant. Thanks rhd.

You're welcome, DJBeasties.

[schlesinj]

Thanks as always. With recent trades of some of these prospects or even trades of Chris Young (Az) did you make major upgrades/downgrades of these guys.

[Gregg]

[QUOTE=rhd;123750]Here's the latest list. I wanted to post it before BA posted their overall Top 100, which will be posted soon, maybe even later today. I will do writeups for all these, but I'm still working on them and I'll post them later.



Later when?

[rhd]

Thanks as always. With recent trades of some of these prospects or even trades of Chris Young (Az) did you make major upgrades/downgrades of these guys.

Thanx for the response, schlesinj.

I dont usually adjust my rankings too much after trades or other roster changes. That's because the rankings reflect the fact that I project the players to get substantial playing time at some point. Roster changes may delay or hasten their appearance in the everyday lineup but if they were projected to get playing time before the change usually they still project to get it afterwards also, altho perhaps at a later point in the season.

That said, trades can block a player from playing time. E.g., if Texas were to sign Bourn (which makes sense to me), L Martin's playing time would likely evaporate, and he'd be knocked down quite a bit on my list. The trade of Chris Young made Eaton's path to regular time more certain, but the word was that he would be the regular CFer even before the trade, so my ranking of him didnt change much if at all. Of course w a management like the D'Backs', who knows what they'll do! But I hear they like Eaton.

I thought that Nakajima's playing time might take a hit after the Lowrie trade, but it looks like Lowrie will play 3B, relegating Donaldson to the bench, where I think he belongs. So I didnt move Nakajima at all (I'll stay tuned for further news). I did bump up S. Miller about 15 spots after the Carpenter news, since he figures to be in the rotation now sooner rather than later.

[rhd]

[QUOTE=Gregg;123842]

Here's the latest list. I wanted to post it before BA posted their overall Top 100, which will be posted soon, maybe even later today. I will do writeups for all these, but I'm still working on them and I'll post them later.

Later when?

I plan to post writeups for the 1st 40 sometime in the next day or so. Hopefully, another 40 every 2-3 days after that. So, I hope to have them all done in the next 2 weeks or so. Links to them will be in this thread.

[Rufus T Firefly]

I see you have two international guys in Despaigne and Tanaka ranked. What are the chances for each of them coming over and how much would their ranking improve if they were to do so?

Thanks for all the hard work!

[heyelander]

wow, aggressive on Roman Quinn.

[rhd]

I see you have two international guys in Despaigne and Tanaka ranked. What are the chances for each of them coming over and how much would their ranking improve if they were to do so?

Thanks for all the hard work!

Thanx for the response, Rufus.

I expect Tanaka to come over soon, maybe as early as next year. My current ranking of him reflects that, so if he were to actually come over that by itself wouldnt change his ranking.

I have no idea when or whether Despaigne is coming over, and I dont see how anyone else does either. I havent heard that he wants stay in Cuba, like Gourriel. He's the same age as Cespedes and he's seen how well he's done since coming to MLB and the money he got to sign. So, in absence of evidence to the contrary, I assume he's interested. The upcoming WBC could be another chance to defect, altho I've never heard of any Cuban defecting after the WBC.

[rhd]

wow, aggressive on Roman Quinn.

Yep. He has a chance to make BA's Top 100. At any rate, he seems to project to be a MLB regular, and he's one of the fastest guys in the minors, so crazy SB potential. That's why I have him this high.

As a Phillies fan, what do you think of him?

[james33]

]
Eligibles that dropped off: B Nimmo (#105), R Wheeler (#130), T Wheeler (#131)

Great stuff as always, rhd - curious why the above threesome dropped off your list?

[heyelander]

Yep. He has a chance to make BA's Top 100. At any rate, he seems to project to be a MLB regular, and he's one of the fastest guys in the minors, so crazy SB potential. That's why I have him this high.

As a Phillies fan, what do you think of him?

I like him a lot. Last year was his first year of switch hitting and hit did fairly well. His defense is raw at SS as he played CF in highschool, but scouts say he should have the skills to stick. The phillies threw a lot at him last year and he thrived, so I'm excited.