2K13 Ivan Nova

[dave_dewit]

He improved his K/9 & BB/9, but got destroyed in the HR department (home runs, not human resources).

Since I just read that awesome Fangraphs article about pitching metric correlations from year-to-year, it seems safe to assume that his HR/FB regresses to the league average while his Ks & BBs from last year stay.

What do you guys think the Super-Nova's going to look like in 2013?

[Erik]

it seems safe to assume that his HR/FB regresses to the league average

Except that he will pitch half his games in the HR capital of baseball.

[revo]

Interesting article, and welcome to the pen!

He did improve his K/9 greatly last year as you mentioned (5.3 to 8.1), but I dunno man, this guy is a killer of all things pitching. And he gets a lot of innings to do his dirty work. He's the type of pitcher who undoes all the good work your early round pitchers do.

The AL East got substantially tougher, so I don't see how his HR/9 is going to come down by a great margin. Frankly, I'd just avoid the guy.

[dave_dewit]

Phew, I was this close to talking myself into Nova.