2K13: Adam Lind

[Ryno84MVP]

From 2009 to 2011, Lind averaged 28 HR and 91 RBI, then 2012 happened...he batted just .186 with a .314 slugging percentage in his first 34 games before being sent to AAA (and was even taken off the 40-man roster at one point), but he then appeared to regain his form and hit .296 with 8 HR and 34 RBI over his final 59 games. John Gibbons said the current plan is to start Adam Lind at first base against both right and left-handers. I have him for $14 in a 12-team AL-only and I'm inclined to keep him after a strong second half and a good lineup around him.

Bill James predicts .272 BA, 22 HR, 84 RBI

[joncarlos]

July: 66ab, .288-3-12 ... 26% K rate, 6% walk rate, .356 BABIP
August: 20ab, .300-1-2 ... 19% K rate, 5% walk rate, .333 BABIP
September: 103ab, .301-2-16 ... 11% K rate, 7% walk rate, .319 BABIP

There's no way that I buy him as an 11% K rate guy. And I'm not really buying him as a .300+ BABIP guy either (.269 in 07, .317 in 08, .323 in '09, .277 in '10, .265 in '11, .282 last year). B-Ref has his full-season splits as .234/.326/.390 against power pitchers and .328/.370/.552 against "average" pitchers. I can't help thinking that he did most of his damage against September call-ups.

$14 is an awful lot to gamble on a couple of good months. But the argument in his favor is that he's done it before, so maybe he didn't just get lucky, he just rediscovered his swing.

I guess I'd buy .265-20-75... cautiously.

[BigJonEmpire]

http://www.advancedfantasybaseball.com/2012/12/what-blue-jays-have-not-done.html

[mgwiz22]

http://www.advancedfantasybaseball.c...-not-done.html

The article mentions back problems have affected his swing. I would be worried about this.