Dealing for Lester

[Riff Raff]

Last night I put Reyes, Rollins and Beltre OTB looking for SP and a closer. Thus far no luck getting a closer.

I was offered Lester for Beltre.

1) Should I be worried about Lester's last 2 outings?
2) Should I take this deal?
3) Should I try to swap in Rollins or Reyes?

H2H league, 16 teams. Yearly, no keepers. Categories: R-HR-RBI-SB-OBP and QS-Svs-ERA-WHIP-OBP

I have a lot of hitting and my pitching is doing well but the names aren't sexy.

C - Y.Molina
1B - Miggy (3b)
2B - A.Hill
3B - Beltre
SS - Reyes
MI - Rollins
CI - C.Pena
OF - Braun
OF - BJ Upton
OF - Rasmus
UT - Ike Davis
UT - Pierre
Bench - Huff, Heisey, C.Johnson, Pennington
IR - B.Roberts
Minors - Snider

SP - Peavy, Dempster (DL), Colon, Lilly, Norris, Estrada, Beaven, Porcello
RP - Santos (DL), Valverde, Jansen, Stammen

We start 5 SP and 3 RP

Would love some advice from the Pen!

[Mr. Nor'easters]

Lester is a notorious slow starter ... ERA over 4 in April and May, then under 3 June, July, August

[Riff Raff]

Lester is a notorious slow starter ... ERA over 4 in April and May, then under 3 June, July, August

Taking a look back over the last 4 years Lester had 1 good April (2011). He had 2 good months of May ('08 and '10).

With your note here what are you advising?

[Mr. Nor'easters]

I am advising that early season stats can be misleading ... do we think Pujols will hit zero home runs this year? Barring injury or old age, players stats regress to norm

[Riff Raff]

Uh, great.

Anyone have any advice on the actual deal?

I am advising that early season stats can be misleading ... do we think Pujols will hit zero home runs this year? Barring injury or old age, players stats regress to norm

[Mr. Nor'easters]

I would trade Beltre for Lester ... you have a solid infield without him

[Riff Raff]

I would trade Beltre for Lester ... you have a solid infield without him

I agree my INF, my hitting, can afford to lose a bat.

I just wonder if I am selling a bit low on Beltre. I do like Lester, but most every pre-season ranking or ADP I can find has Beltre above Lester 10-20 slots.

[chancellor]

You are selling a bit low in terms of overall value, but relative to your team, I'd do the deal. Peavy's a known injury risk; Colon and Lilly are still very good but ancient and likely more prone to injury. Estrada and Beavan have been good so far, but are far from a sure thing for the long haul.

[cool hand]

i think you might want to wait a few days and see what other offers, if any, roll in. you might get another SP that's an uptick from lester. or, see who has a surplus of arms and lack of sticks, and make an offer directly. use the lester deal as a baseline, and a fallback option.

[Riff Raff]

Thanks folks - willing to take all opinions!

in H2H is Reyes > Beltre? (he would take either for Lester)