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This is probably as good a time to post a 2k12 for Darvish as any, since he struggled in his last start and may have derailed the hype machine just a little bit.
Kevin Goldstein ran a piece a couple months ago asking MLB insiders to compare Darvish to other righty pitchers (http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/hotst...-right-handers - you have to be an insider to read it) and he ranked somewhere between Garza and Greinke for them.
That's a pretty wide gap, so note that he was actually tied with Greinke. I think that's a pretty fair expectation but given their relative leagues and ballparks I would take Greinke in that comparison.
Darvish went for $18 in LABR (James Shields went $19, Ubaldo $16, Matt Moore $20, Hellickson $14, Romero $19, Beckett $16 to give you some comparable prices) which also seems about right, though I expect the experts were better prepared to keep their enthusiasm in check than most Average Joes would be, and Darvish will probably go into the 20s in redraft leagues (even before inflation).
Still, I'm interested to see the projections for Darvish. My initial projection (which I can't find right now) was something like 190 IP, 210 Ks, 1.25 WHIP and 3.40 ERA. I haven't changed my mind that much; I expect the WHIP will be a little high, but the ERA will not be as bad as you'd think. I expect a ton of Ks.
Kevin Goldstein ran a piece a couple months ago asking MLB insiders to compare Darvish to other righty pitchers (http://insider.espn.go.com/mlb/hotst...-right-handers - you have to be an insider to read it) and he ranked somewhere between Garza and Greinke for them.
That's a pretty wide gap, so note that he was actually tied with Greinke. I think that's a pretty fair expectation but given their relative leagues and ballparks I would take Greinke in that comparison.
Darvish went for $18 in LABR (James Shields went $19, Ubaldo $16, Matt Moore $20, Hellickson $14, Romero $19, Beckett $16 to give you some comparable prices) which also seems about right, though I expect the experts were better prepared to keep their enthusiasm in check than most Average Joes would be, and Darvish will probably go into the 20s in redraft leagues (even before inflation).
Still, I'm interested to see the projections for Darvish. My initial projection (which I can't find right now) was something like 190 IP, 210 Ks, 1.25 WHIP and 3.40 ERA. I haven't changed my mind that much; I expect the WHIP will be a little high, but the ERA will not be as bad as you'd think. I expect a ton of Ks.
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