Sp opinions please -- short or long term?

[Jefe]

I have 4 SP keepers that I can either keep for just this year at $10 or the next 3 at $10-$15-$20. Have to declare now, though, and there's a penalty for dropping a long-term guy.

Which if any of these guys would you long-term?

Gio Gonzales
Jordan Zimmerman
Anibal Sanchez
Jeremy Hellickson

Thanks.

[Ryno84MVP]

Need some league details to answer...type of league, categories, number of teams, budget, etc.

[joncarlos]

What Ryno said, but in terms of my general willingness to long-term them I'd rank them:

Zimm
Hellboy
~~~~
huge gap
~~~~
Anibal
Gio

[Gregg]

Is it al or none on the raises? Can you just go one year to $15?

[Jefe]

16-team mixed. All or nothing, 1 year or 3. Points league where WHIP and ERA matter most, wins not so much.

[joncarlos]

16-team mixed. All or nothing, 1 year or 3. Points league where WHIP and ERA matter most, wins not so much.

That's tough. Given those parameters, I would say Hellboy is the only candidate I'd consider. But how much BETTER is he really going to get over the next 3 years? How close are you to contending this year? I know you're not committing any extra cash by extending him but you are adding to his trade value (in theory). I think I'd do it but I have a minor Hellboy mancrush.

[Jefe]

I expect to contend this year. Certainly keeping all 4 at $10.

The top stud SPs in this league go for $40+. 2nd tier, $30.

[Porcello]

I love Zimmermann, I'd give him 3 years.

I don't like Hellickson...but lots of others do. If I were to give him 3 years it'd be with the intent to trade him IF he starts off hot. I don't feel comfortable about that, so personally I'd just give him the year.

I'm on the fence with both Gio and Anibal. I think they're both under valued this year, but there are risks associated with both. if pressed I would extend both, but I'm less confident than I am Zimmermnan

[Gregg]

Ok one more point for reference. You state that you extend 3 years at $5 per year. Does that mean 10 this year 10 next year then 15 then 20? That would be a 3 year extension. But if you mean 10 this year then 15 then 20 that would be keeping them for three but only a two year extension.

Also what is the penalty?

If it is my first example where you get them for 2 years at the current price, I would be tempted to extend all of them. If only a total of three years I would probably only extend Hellickson.

[chancellor]

16 team mixed? I don't extend any of them. I like Zimmerman and Hellickson, but there's enough depth at SP that I wouldn't want to be tied to $35 over two years for either of them, unless the penalty to drop the contract is pretty minor.

[Jefe]

Ok one more point for reference. You state that you extend 3 years at $5 per year. Does that mean 10 this year 10 next year then 15 then 20? That would be a 3 year extension. But if you mean 10 this year then 15 then 20 that would be keeping them for three but only a two year extension.

Also what is the penalty?

If it is my first example where you get them for 2 years at the current price, I would be tempted to extend all of them. If only a total of three years I would probably only extend Hellickson.

10 this year either way.

$10 in 2012, $15 in 2013, $20 in 2014 the long term way.

If you cut a long term guy you lose half his salary from your budget in the next auction.

[Jefe]

I should also note that we start 5 SPs. 16-team mixed, like I said. Our budget is $260 and we can keep up to $100 worth of players each year.

[price]

I have 4 SP keepers that I can either keep for just this year at $10 or the next 3 at $10-$15-$20. Have to declare now, though, and there's a penalty for dropping a long-term guy.

Which if any of these guys would you long-term?

Gio Gonzales
Jordan Zimmerman
Anibal Sanchez
Jeremy Hellickson

Thanks.

None. I'd go in with all for at only $10 and then you're not tied to them. I don't trust starting pitchers and usually will only extend a young, cheap hitter.

[Gregg]

I should also note that we start 5 SPs. 16-team mixed, like I said. Our budget is $260 and we can keep up to $100 worth of players each year.

Then none.