Hype and Value: the overvalued and the legit.

[onejayhawk]

I saw this article and thought that it would make agreat preseason discussion topic.

http://www.fantasygameday.net/2012-fantasy-baseball/95-2012-fantasy-baseball-draft-prep/406-postseason-hype-and-2012-value-the-overvalued-and-legit

The article deals with postseason heroes. I disagree with their first one, but only because I expect over reaction.

David Freese- Freese slugged to a .397 average with five home runs and 18 RBIs in eighteen postseason games. He only hit .297 in the regular season due to injuries. However believe the hype. Mark McGwire mentioned that he would be a batting champ one day and that is almost an accurate assessment. While Brett Lawrie will be going in the early rounds, David Freese is a late rounder who could hit .300 with 25 HRS and 90 RBIS

The other legits are Holland and Moore. Yes and OMG yes.

The fakes are:
Doug Fister
Allen Craig
CJ Wilson
Matt Harrison
Chris Carpenter
Nyjer Morgan

Feel free to add playes as needed.

J

[Hammer]

I was impressed with Paul Goldschmidt.

[revo]

Not sure on Allen Craig -- the article says Berkman resigned, which he hasn't yet. If he does, I agree, but for now, Craig is a huge sleeper.

[DMT]

Not sure on Allen Craig -- the article says Berkman resigned, which he hasn't yet. If he does, I agree, but for now, Craig is a huge sleeper.

You sure? I thought he re-signed near the end of the season.

[Moonlight J]

Not sure on Allen Craig -- the article says Berkman resigned, which he hasn't yet. If he does, I agree, but for now, Craig is a huge sleeper.

Assume Pujols is gone. Berkman to 1st, Craig to RF

[revo]

You sure? I thought he re-signed near the end of the season.

You're right, he did re-sign with them in late September.

[Gregg]

Assume Pujols is gone. Berkman to 1st, Craig to RF

It is looking more and more like Pujols will not be gone.

[pjs24]

I saw this article and thought that it would make agreat preseason discussion topic.

http://www.fantasygameday.net/2012-fantasy-baseball/95-2012-fantasy-baseball-draft-prep/406-postseason-hype-and-2012-value-the-overvalued-and-legit

The article deals with postseason heroes. I disagree with their first one, but only because I expect over reaction.

David Freese- Freese slugged to a .397 average with five home runs and 18 RBIs in eighteen postseason games. He only hit .297 in the regular season due to injuries. However believe the hype. Mark McGwire mentioned that he would be a batting champ one day and that is almost an accurate assessment. While Brett Lawrie will be going in the early rounds, David Freese is a late rounder who could hit .300 with 25 HRS and 90 RBIS

The other legits are Holland and Moore. Yes and OMG yes.

The fakes are:
Doug Fister
Allen Craig
CJ Wilson
Matt Harrison
Chris Carpenter
Nyjer Morgan

Feel free to add playes as needed.

J

I'm with you that I do NOT see Freese going late. His playoff run will definitely overhype him. I like him a good bit, but I'm worried his price will escalate too high from this October.

[Bodhizefa]

It is looking more and more like Pujols will not be gone.

I continue to doubt this theory. If the Cardinals don't budge from their final offer from last Spring Training, I have a tough time believing SOMEONE won't find it in their budget to outbid them. The Nationals and Cubs, both big-budget teams as far as I'm concerned, seem like easy candidates to go higher than the alleged St. Louis proposal. And I wouldn't put it past the Blue Jays, Rangers, Angels, or Giants to pass on him so quickly either (despite whatever their front offices are publicly stating).

[Bob Kohm]

I expect to see the top bid come from the Nats, actually-- the Lerners are still itching to spend money and build a team that can reasonably look to the playoffs in 2013. Whether or not Pujols accepts-- don't forget that the Nats outbid the Yankees for Teixeira and were rejected, albeit with a much less hopeful teama nd corps of young talent-- is another question.

[Bodhizefa]

I expect to see the top bid come from the Nats, actually-- the Lerners are still itching to spend money and build a team that can reasonably look to the playoffs in 2013. Whether or not Pujols accepts-- don't forget that the Nats outbid the Yankees for Teixeira and were rejected, albeit with a much less hopeful teama nd corps of young talent-- is another question.

It's funny how so few people seem to recognize the Nationals as a potential top echelon team in terms of budget. DC is no mid-market town, and the Lerners are frakking rich as hell. I see the Nats as fairly likely to land either Fielder or Pujols, at least moreso than just about any other team in baseball. Thinking about a team with Pujols, Strasburg, Bryce Harper, Ryan Zimmerman, and Anthony Rendon as its talent core is a little mind-boggling, too.

[Bob Kohm]

I'd add Jordan Zimmerman to that, too. The Nats need some SP talent to between Strasburg/Zimmerman and Lannan who should be a fourth starter. Brad Peacock generated some excitement and will be given every chance to be the #5 guy this spring and there's been a ton of talk about them making a serious run at Roy Oswalt (not a fan of that move...) or a trade for Wandy Rodriguez to beef up the rotation. They dearly need some OBP guys-- they start three whose OBP is under .300 (Desmond/Ankiel/Nix) and have a fourth (Bernadina) at .301 who frequently bats lead-off for them; clearly that's not the way to run a railroad. All that being said and with Harper likely to show up in September potentially with Rendon... money just might cure these ills over the coming twelve months. Once (...if) the Nats click, they have the potential to be a top echelon team for a long time.

[Moonlight J]

Legit - BJ Upton. Average sucks, but steals and home runs still push his fantasy value over his real value