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Originally posted by joncarlos View PostTodd Zola's "math based" approach to pitching tiers. Pretty awesome.
http://insider.espn.go.com/fantasy/b...-drafting-them
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Fangraphs has a new metric called CLIFFORD that predicts hitter declines based on contact within the zone.
The single largest driver of collapse was change in Z-Contact% — the percent of pitches in the strike zone that a batter swings and makes contact with. Hitters who saw their Z-Contact% decline by at least 1.4% had 1.68 times the odds of collapsing than those that did not experience such a decline.
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From the local SD paper, a bunch of scouts observations:
The worst time to evaluate ballplayers is spring training. But teams pay a lot of money to scout both Cactus and Grapefruit games, plus the workouts.
What did major league scouts see the last several weeks? What do they expect from the Padres and others? Are there simmering trends or topics of interest?
I was curious to know. So I queried these gentlemen, a good number of them, and below, you can see what they said. I also gave the whole batch of chats a name: the Pink Pony Scouts Chat. The Pink Pony is a Scottsdale steakhouse and bar that, back when the spring training scene was less built up, was a popular hangout for baseball scouts and scribes.
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Doug Thorburn from BP, talking about Rays pitchers' mechanics (good) and Brewers pitchers' mechanics (bad):
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Rob Bradford talks to Joe Maddon and John Farrell about how Farrell might manage the Red Sox.
New England’s most entertaining and informative coverage of the Red Sox, Patriots, Celtics & Bruins. Stream, read and download WEEI 93.7 FM from any device on Audacy
For years, or certainly since the success of Maddon's Rays, Red Sox followers have been clamoring for the likes of the inventive manager. The run-and-gun, outside-the-box approach that has helped Tampa Bay stare down the barrel of payrolls three time its size and land with the third-most wins in baseball since 2008 fascinates fans.
The reality is that the philosophy of the current Red Sox' manager approximates Maddon's style more than maybe any other skipper in the American League (at least in some of the ways that have elicited the most interest around baseball).
"One thing they both nail is applying pressure," said Red Sox outfielder Jonny Gomes, who played under Maddon for four seasons. "You think of an offensive style, but you don’t really talk about applying pressure, and they both really stress that. Pressure, that’s what they both talk about."
Perhaps the two most noticeable differences when it comes to defining Farrell's style will be evident in two of Maddon's calling cards -- baserunning and defensive positioning.
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i just finished "Trading Bases", Joe Peta's book on his creation of a baseball betting investment fund in 2011, its more "Liars Poker" than "Moneyball", but thats not bad, plus I finally feel like I understand baseball betting now"You know what's wrong with America? If I lovingly tongue a woman's nipple in a movie, it gets an "NC-17" rating, if I chop it off with a machete, it's an "R". That's what's wrong with America, man...."--Dennis Hopper
"One should judge a man mainly from his depravities. Virtues can be faked. Depravities are real." -- Klaus Kinski
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