Cubs + Tigers + Mariners yesterday

[Moonlight J]

46 runs between the 3 teams....on just 4 homers.

Humidor having a HUGE impact this year

https://twitter.com/jasoncollette/status/1518228884906520576

[harmon]

46 runs between the 3 teams....on just 4 homers.

Humidor having a HUGE impact this year

https://twitter.com/jasoncollette/status/1518228884906520576

Ok, I'll bite. Why is it the humidor and not the shitty cold weather?

[Moonlight J]

Ok, I'll bite. Why is it the humidor and not the shitty cold weather?

it was pretty shitty cold weather last April as well

[Sharky]

I wonder if it is having an impact that is not uniform. In other words, are teams like the Padres (or their ballpark) affected more than say the Orioles (Camden Yards)? There has to be some angle to exploit here.

[harmon]

Should revisit this in another month or so, a little early to make conclusions.

[Ken]

Should revisit this in another month or so, a little early to make conclusions.

Statistically it's actually not. You may be thinking from the concept of individual players which it's certainly too early. But the amount of data across all plays and all games is plenty to assess things like the distance the ball is travelling. The models account for weather so we dont really need to wait for that. Basically we have enough information to make the conclusions discussed above and others. It's not too early.

[harmon]

Statistically it's actually not. You may be thinking from the concept of individual players which it's certainly too early. But the amount of data across all plays and all games is plenty to assess things like the distance the ball is travelling. The models account for weather so we dont really need to wait for that. Basically we have enough information to make the conclusions discussed above and others. It's not too early.

Alright, well anyway it would be interesting to look at this again a month from now and see if there are changes.

Also, I thought the humidors were intended to even out effects across all teams. That would mean that certain parks (eg. SF) would see an offensive benefit from the humidor while in others it would be suppressed. Concluding that the humidor has had a "huge" impact on scoring reduction implies that there is a massive impact in previously hitting friendly non humidor parks.

[Moonlight J]

Alright, well anyway it would be interesting to look at this again a month from now and see if there are changes.

Also, I thought the humidors were intended to even out effects across all teams. That would mean that certain parks (eg. SF) would see an offensive benefit from the humidor while in others it would be suppressed. Concluding that the humidor has had a "huge" impact on scoring reduction implies that there is a massive impact in previously hitting friendly non humidor parks.

would this help?

* = parks that had humidors last year

Venue	Entire 2021	2022	% Diff	4/1/21-4/23/21	4/1/22-4/23/22	% Diff
American Family	386	381	-1.3%	388	381	-1.8%
Angel	388	386	-0.5%	387	388	0.3%
Busch*	381	378	-0.8%	382	378	-1.0%
Chase*	397	388	-2.3%	396	388	-2.0%
Citi*	388	382	-1.5%	375	382	1.9%
Citizens Bank	384	372	-3.1%	382	372	-2.6%
Comerica	380	370	-2.6%	374	370	-1.1%
Coors*	408	402	-1.5%	402	402	0.0%
Dodger	383	371	-3.1%	376	371	-1.3%
Fenway*	386	371	-3.9%	383	371	-3.1%
Globe Life*	394	387	-1.8%	383	387	1.0%
Great American	386	385	-0.3%	379	385	1.6%
Guaranteed Rate	385	373	-3.1%	380	373	-1.8%
Kauffman	392	378	-3.6%	393	378	-3.8%
LoanDepot*	381	379	-0.5%	374	379	1.3%
Minute Maid*	384	382	-0.5%	389	384	-1.3%
Nationals	384	380	-1.0%	381	390	2.4%
Oakland	381	354	-7.1%	378	354	-6.3%
Oracle	384	375	-2.3%	382	375	-1.8%
Oriole Park	388	372	-4.1%	390	372	-4.6%
Petco	381	380	-0.3%	385	380	-1.3%
PNC	388	385	-0.8%	383	388	1.3%
Progressive	385	361	-6.2%	393	361	-8.1%
Rogers*	390	388	-0.5%	N/A	390	N/A
T-Mobile*	382	366	-4.2%	378	366	-3.2%
Target	389	385	-1.0%	386	389	0.8%
Tropicana	390	389	-0.3%	392	390	-0.5%
Truist	392	380	-3.1%	386	380	-1.6%
Wrigley	385	384	-0.3%	379	384	1.3%
Yankee	378	364	-3.7%	368	364	-1.1%
AVERAGE	387	378	-2.2%	384	379	-1.2%

Parks with humidors in 2021 and 2022 have seen a 0.5% decrease (2 feet) in the average distance of Barrels in the first 3 weeks of April compared to same dates last year

Parks with humidors introduced in 2022 have seen a 1.5% decrease (5.8 feet) in the average distance of Barrels in the first 3 weeks of April compared to same dates last year when humidor wasn't present

[Moonlight J]

Additionally, the home run rate for April is a strong leading indicator for how the season plays out. The April HR/Contact ((HR/(AB-K)) has been within 4.4-8.1% of the final season rate.

I've said this for a week+ now, but I'd take the heavy under on the league hitting 5250 homers this year.

[Bene Futuis]

Expanded rosters and way more relievers pitching probably play a big role, too.

[Teenwolf]

I believe the baseballs are to blame. Seems like the humidor is having a greater effect than last year because the balls are different. I bet they start using different balls that produce more offense very soon, unless they simply can't produce enough balls. Same as last year.

[Moonlight J]

I believe the baseballs are to blame. Seems like the humidor is having a greater effect than last year because the balls are different. I bet they start using different balls that produce more offense very soon, unless they simply can't produce enough balls. Same as last year.

https://twitter.com/Ken_Rosenthal/status/1518926902693703680