Originally posted by Ken
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In 8 years, his highest SLG is .390 as a 22 year old in AA.
Over 489 career minor league games, he has 53 SB, 26 CS, with his only positive value baserunning coming in A ball as an 18 year old, going 12/15. 65% or so ain't gonna cut it for a base stealer, and he hasn't improved in the bigs, so the red light is coming, or at least it should be.
The HR power is starting to come a bit more for him, as he only hit 7 HR in those 489 minor league games, and now 8 HR in bigs over ~850 PA. So what's the upside with the new dead ball in 500 PA? 8 HR? It's going to create a HR deficit in any format.
I just don't think a hitter nearly guaranteed to hit under 10 HR is worth putting into a mixed league lineup solely for his SB upside, especially when that SB upside is very suspect on its own. Especially given all the other context of lineup, ballpark, PT uncertainty, dragging down the counting stats.
He's 26, so he could be in for a career year. I just don't get the hype.
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