2k21 Blake Treinen

[Sour Masher]

He was unable to recapture his brief former glory last year in LA, but still rebounded to respectable levels for them. I recently took him on at a salary of $13 in order to get a prospect lottery pick. My plan is to dump Treinen eventually to another team for a lesser prospect than the one I pick in the draft. There are lots of teams out there with open keeper spots and less lofty 2021 aspirations than me, so I am confident I can get it done. However, I am wondering when the best time to do it is. Should I try to do it ASAP or wait for him to sign? If you had to put a percentage on it, what our the odds he signs some place where he has a shot at being the primary closer? I'm thinking slim, but I don't know how slim. Is it closer to 50% or 5%?

[Teenwolf]

He was unable to recapture his brief former glory last year in LA, but still rebounded to respectable levels for them. I recently took him on at a salary of $13 in order to get a prospect lottery pick. My plan is to dump Treinen eventually to another team for a lesser prospect than the one I pick in the draft. There are lots of teams out there with open keeper spots and less lofty 2021 aspirations than me, so I am confident I can get it done. However, I am wondering when the best time to do it is. Should I try to do it ASAP or wait for him to sign? If you had to put a percentage on it, what our the odds he signs some place where he has a shot at being the primary closer? I'm thinking slim, but I don't know how slim. Is it closer to 50% or 5%?

I'm guessing closer to 5% odds of an outright closing gig than 50%. Most of the few teams with money to spend already have established closers.

I guess I would still wait until he signs and at least you have a small chance of getting lucky with a bigger return if he manages to land a closing job.

[chancellor]

I'm slightly more optimistic than Teenwolf - say 10-15% - but agree with him its an outside shot. Among the teams with money, his two best chances seem to lie with coming back to the Dodgers or Boston. And while I think Kenley isn't long for the closer role, Treinen would still have significant competition from Graterol and Knebel for the closer gig there if he'd re-sign with LA.

[Sour Masher]

I moved him to greener pastures, so I don't have to worry about it. I agree he could stay in LA and now way a team that good relies on a guy like Treinen to close over the long haul.

[joncarlos]

Interesting year last year... only 7.7 K/9, but a solid enough 2.8 BB/9 and a 64% GB rate. Gave him a 3.15 FIP and a 3.47 xFIP. Got 17.5mil over 2 years and Kenley is shaky. I'd rate him pretty highly among the setup guys, but the fact that he won't give you a ton of Ks hurts a bit. You need a few vulture wins.