Positioning for Postseason

[onejayhawk]

This is a deep 16 team league using Holds and OBA.

The Base: Keepers or cheap options.

Paul Goldschmidt Ari - 1B (K)
Christian Yelich Mil - OF (K)
Ronald Acuña Jr. Atl - OF (6)
Robbie Ray Ari - SP (6)
Matt Chapman Oak - 3B (8)
Chase Anderson Mil - SP (9)
Víctor Robles Was - OF (17)
Jack Flaherty StL - SP (18)
Shohei Ohtani (Pitcher) LAA - SP (21)
Luis Robert CWS - OF (24)
Carson Kelly StL - C (26)

The Talen Pool: Choose up to 7. The ones with numbers are fixed round cost. The others will order by preseason rank.

Scott Kingery Phi - 2B,3B,SS,OF (12)
Brendan Rodgers Col - SS (13)
Teoscar Hernández Tor - OF (17)
David Fletcher LAA - 2B,3B,SS (w)
Amed Rosario NYM - SS (w)
Ryan O'Hearn KC - 1B (w)
Adalberto Mondesi KC - 2B,SS (w)
Jo Adell LAA - OF (w)
Taylor Trammell Cin - OF (w)
Austin Riley Atl - 3B (w)
Shane Bieber Cle - SP (w)
Collin McHugh Hou - SP,RP (w)
Scott Alexander LAD - RP (w)
Pedro Strop ChC - RP (w)
Lucas Giolito CWS - SP (w)
Mychal Givens Bal - RP (w)
Greg Holland Was - RP (w)

Expensive options: Is either worth a pick in 90-120 range?

Yu Darvish ChC - SP (5)
Matt Olson Oak - 1B,OF (5)

Comments on prospects for 2019?

J

[revo]

Scott Kingery Phi - 2B,3B,SS,OF (12)
Brendan Rodgers Col - SS (13)
Teoscar Hernández Tor - OF (17)
David Fletcher LAA - 2B,3B,SS (w)
Amed Rosario NYM - SS (w)
Ryan O'Hearn KC - 1B (w)
Adalberto Mondesi KC - 2B,SS (w)
Jo Adell LAA - OF (w)
Taylor Trammell Cin - OF (w)
Austin Riley Atl - 3B (w)
Shane Bieber Cle - SP (w)
Collin McHugh Hou - SP,RP (w)
Scott Alexander LAD - RP (w)
Pedro Strop ChC - RP (w)
Lucas Giolito CWS - SP (w)
Mychal Givens Bal - RP (w)
Greg Holland Was - RP (w)

[chancellor]

I'm with revo on everyone except either Adell or Riley. I'd take Shane Bieber over one of them; his last seven games have him striking out over 1 per inning, he has a solid 1.17 WHIP and OK 3.73 ERA over that same time. He's more of a "help you now" guy.

[onejayhawk]

So, the field going into the draft.

C - Carson Kelly StL
1B - Paul Goldschmidt Ari
2B - Raul Adalberto Mondesi KC
3B - Matt Chapman
SS - Amed Rosario NYM
CI - Matt Olson Oak ????
MI -
OF - Ronald Acuna Atl
OF - Christian Yelich Mil
OF - Teoscar Hernandez Tor
Util - Víctor Robles Was - OF

SP - Robbie Ray Ari
SP - Jack Flaherty StL
SP - Chase Anderson Mil
SP - Shane Bieber Cle
RP - Greg Holland Was
RP -
RP -
P -
P -

BN - Brendan Rodgers Col - SS
BN - Luis Robert CWS - OF
BN - Jo Adell LAA - OF or Austin Riley Atl - 3B
BN - Shohei Ohtani - SP

With no picks in the top 75 and only two in the top 150, is this team going to be competitive?

Would Riley or Adell bump Chase Anderson?
Would you keep Matt Olson at around #100?
Would you keep Yu Darvish at the same cost?

J

[revo]

Ohtani is not going to pitch next year, so you'll have to use him as your UTIL.

As far as Olson & Darvish, is this "90-120" of the remaining keepers?

[heyelander]

Ohtani is not going to pitch next year, so you'll have to use him as your UTIL.

Not really pertinent here, but going into an auction, you could slot Ohtani into a SP position to leave your UT open right? He qualifies there regardless of whether he plays there next year or not.

[onejayhawk]

Ohtani is not going to pitch next year, so you'll have to use him as your UTIL.

As far as Olson & Darvish, is this "90-120" of the remaining keepers?

As of now, I don't own Ohtani's bat. That said, he is still a very cheap option. I can park him for a year.

The 90-120 is approximate redraft value.

J

[revo]

As of now, I don't own Ohtani's bat. That said, he is still a very cheap option. I can park him for a year.

The 90-120 is approximate redraft value.

J

I understand that’s their redraft value, but if so many players are being kept, do you think they would go much higher if you flipped them back?

[onejayhawk]

I understand that’s their redraft value, but if so many players are being kept, do you think they would go much higher if you flipped them back?

Not their redraft value, the option's value. If I chose not to exercise my option, I can draft a player who lists in the 90-120 range for redraft rankings. So, Matt Olson vs Adam Jones (#100), or Domingo Santana (#101), or Ozzie Albies (#102). Is he worth more than Yu or vice versa. In the same preseason ranking Olson was #111. I guess the question is whether he is worth more next season than this one.

J

PS that's a good question. I'll post it in the Oakland thread.

[revo]

I think you have to have a good feel of who’s being kept and how that would affect their 5th rd valuation. If 16 teams are keeping half the players that would have been drafted in Rds 1-5, then Olson & Darvish are likely worth 5th rd keeper value.