RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects ("Opening Day" Version)

[rhd]

Opening day is here! Time for an update of my roto prospects list.

Same spiel as usual: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), and actual closers are upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

Link to the non-editable Google spreadsheet w the list:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/18JoBv8CV59gqbudhcp0yklPuaBcJE2jR6H5O0aaVdxA/edit?usp=sharing

Link to the editable Google spreadsheet w the list:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Wb6MixxyhGnC6p1rcNrONPSAJnNOjqIGnbqaN8nPxkE/edit?usp=sharing

Rank Name Pos Org +/- Prev
1 Shohei Ohtani SP/OF LAA 0 1
2 Ronald Acuna OF Atl 0 2
3 Victor Robles OF Was 0 3
4 Vladimir Guerrero 3B Tor 0 4
5 Eloy Jimenez OF CHW 0 5
6 Gleyber Torres SS NYY 0 6
7 Fernando Tatis SS SD 0 7
8 Bo Bichette SS Tor 3 11
9 Kyle Tucker OF Hou -1 8
10 Lewis Brinson OF Mia 4 14
11 Scott Kingery 2B Phi 1 12
12 Nick Senzel 2B Cin 1 13
13 Austin Hays OF Bal -3 10
14 Brendan Rodgers SS Col -5 9
15 Michael Kopech SP CHW 0 15
16 Alex Reyes SP StL 1 17
17 Walker Buehler SP LAD 11 28
18 Luiz Gohara SP Atl 17 35
19 Royce Lewis SS Min 1 20
20 MacKenzie Gore SP SD 10 30
21 Taylor Trammell OF Cin -2 19
22 Willy Adames SS TB -4 18
23 J.P. (John Paul) Crawford SS Phi -1 22
24 Franklin Barreto 2B Oak -3 21
25 Mitch Keller SP Pit 2 27
26 Forrest Whitley SP Hou 0 26
27 Hunter Greene SP Cin 2 29
28 Luis Robert OF CHW -3 25
29 Anthony Alford OF Tor -5 24
30 Ryan McMahon 1B Col 9 39
31 Alex Verdugo OF LAD -8 23
32 Michel Baez SP SD 2 34
33 Jo (Jordon) Adell OF LAA 10 43
34 Estevan Florial OF NYY -2 32
35 Leodys Taveras OF Tex -2 33
36 Jesus Sanchez OF TB 1 37
37 Juan Soto OF Was -1 36
38 Willie Calhoun OF Tex 2 40
39 Jorge Mateo SS Oak 2 41
40 Mike Soroka SP Atl 7 47
41 Triston McKenzie SP Cle -3 38
42 Francisco Mejia C Cle 2 44
43 Sixto Sanchez SP Phi 6 49
44 Heliot Ramos OF SF -2 42
45 Monte Harrison OF Mia 6 51
46 Jahmai Jones OF LAA 6 52
47 Keston Hiura 2B Mil 7 54
48 Brandon Marsh OF LAA 25 73
49 Jesse Winker OF Cin 10 59
50 Dustin Fowler OF Oak 67 117
51 Jake Bauers 1B TB 7 58
52 Kyle Wright SP Atl -4 48
53 Jack Flaherty SP StL 19 72
54 Franklin Perez SP Det -8 46
55 Ian Anderson SP Atl -5 50
56 Cal Quantrill SP SD -11 45
57 Austin Riley 3B Atl -4 53
58 Michael Chavis 3B Bos -3 55
59 Alec Hansen SP CHW -3 56
60 Austin Meadows OF Pit -3 57
61 Miguel Andujar 3B NYY -1 60
62 Luis Urias 2B SD 14 76
63 Yordan Alvarez OF Hou 16 79
64 Cristian Pache OF Atl 2 66
65 Kyle Lewis OF Sea -4 61
66 Carter Kieboom SS Was 22 88
67 Nick Gordon SS Min -2 65
68 Brendan McKay 1B TB 0 68
69 Wander Javier SS Min 5 74
70 Adrian Morejon SP SD 13 83
71 Jesus Luzardo SP Oak 33 104
72 Kolby Allard SP Atl -9 63
73 Corbin Burnes SP Mil 30 103
74 Justus Sheffield SP NYY 1 75
75 Jason Groome SP Bos 9 84
76 Alex Faedo SP Det 13 89
77 Tyler O'Neill OF StL 0 77
78 Bobby Bradley 1B Cle 0 78
79 Garrett Hampson SS Col 17 96
80 Julio Pablo Martinez OF Tex NA NR
81 Dazmon Cameron OF Det 35 116
82 Kevin Maitan SS LAA -20 62
83 Harrison Bader OF StL -12 71
84 Jon Duplantier SP Ari 2 86
85 Brandon Woodruff SP Mil -4 81
86 Max Fried SP Atl 51 137
87 Tyler Mahle SP Cin -7 80
88 Stephen Gonsalves SP Min -1 87
89 Yusniel Diaz OF LAD -25 64
90 Brett Phillips OF Mil 2 92
91 Blake Rutherford OF CHW -22 69
92 Mickey Moniak OF Phi -22 70
93 Anderson Espinoza SP SD -8 85
94 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Pit -27 67
95 Cole Tucker SS Pit -1 94
96 Matt Manning SP Det 1 97
97 J.B. Bukauskas SP Hou 18 115
98 Sandy Alcantara SP Mia 28 126
99 Ryan Mountcastle 3B Bal -1 98
100 Jose Siri OF Cin -7 93
101 Corey Ray OF Mil -11 90
102 Trent Grisham (Clark) OF Mil -11 91
103 Chance Adams SP NYY -21 82
104 Albert Abreu SP NYY 24 128
105 Dylan Cease SP CHW -3 102
106 Brent Honeywell SP TB -90 16
107 A.J. Puk SP Oak -76 31
108 Andres Gimenez SS NYM 4 112
109 Brian Anderson 3B Mia NA NR
110 Jeren Kendall OF LAD 0 110
111 Colton Welker 3B Col 2 113
112 Alex Kirilloff OF Min 6 118
113 Chris Shaw OF SF -8 105
114 Christin Stewart OF Det -8 106
115 Garrett Whitley OF TB -20 95
116 Beau Burrows SP Det -2 114
117 Yohander Mendez SP Tex 3 120
118 Dane Dunning SP CHW 12 130
119 Pavin Smith 1B Ari 2 121
120 Christian Arroyo 3B TB 2 122
121 Chance Sisco C Bal 11 132
122 Touki Toussaint SP Atl 2 124
123 Carson Kelly C StL 10 133
124 Adonis Medina SP Phi 15 139
125 Jorge Guzman SP Mia 16 141
126 Wander Franco SS TB NA NR
127 Nate Pearson SP Tor 20 147
128 Brusdar Graterol SP Min NA NR
129 Starling Heredia OF LAD NA NR
130 Yadier Alvarez RP LAD -3 127
131 Keibert Ruiz C LAD NA NR
132 JoJo Romero SP Phi NA NR
133 Fernando Romero SP Min 16 149
134 Mitch White SP LAD 8 142
135 Joey Wentz SP Atl -35 100
136 Bryse Wilson SP Atl 8 144
137 Logan Allen SP SD -2 135
138 Luis Ortiz SP Mil -15 123
139 Brent Rooker OF Min NA NR
140 Roman Quinn OF Phi -29 111
141 Randy Arozarena SS StL -22 119
142 Shane Baz SP Pit -2 140
143 Luis Escobar SP Pit -7 136
144 Jhailyn Ortiz OF Phi NA NR
145 Jose Adolis Garcia OF StL -11 134
146 Esteury Ruiz 2B SD NA NR
147 Nolan Jones 3B Cle NA NR
148 Hunter Harvey SP Bal NA NR
149 James Kaprielian SP Oak NA NR
150 Victor Mesa, Jr. OF FA-Cuba 0 150

Lost Eligibility (0):

Eligibles Dropped off (13):
Brady Singer (#99), Josh Hader (#101), Zack Granite (#107), Magneuris Sierra (#108), Mauricio Dubon (#109), Zack Collins (#125), Nick Neidert (#129), Rogelio Armenteros (#131), Jose De Leon (#138), Erick Fedde (#143), D.L. Hall (#145), Shed Long (#146), Domingo Acevedo (#148)

New Additions (13):
Julio Pablo Martinez (#80), Brian Anderson (#109), Wander Franco (#126), Brusdar Graterol (#128), Starling Heredia (#129), Keibert Ruiz (#131), JoJo Romero (#132), Brent Rooker (#139), Jhailyn Ortiz (#144), Esteury Ruiz (#146), Nolan Jones (#147), Hunter Harvey (#148), James Kaprielian (#149)

As always, comments are not only welcome but encouraged.

[onejayhawk]

Opening day is here! Time for an update of my roto prospects list.

Eligibles Dropped off (13):
Brady Singer (#99), Josh Hader (#101), Zack Granite (#107), Magneuris Sierra (#108), Mauricio Dubon (#109), Zack Collins (#125), Nick Neidert (#129), Rogelio Armenteros (#131), Jose De Leon (#138), Erick Fedde (#143), D.L. Hall (#145), Shed Long (#146), Domingo Acevedo (#148)

How the mighty have fallen.

I'm curious about Hader, since he is in the major leagues.

J

[cavebird]

I think it (Hader) because he is now a bullpen guy. However, that probably depends on league format---in my league with 6 SP's and 5 RP's, as an RP, he might be more valuable.

As for a question from me, I guess spring training does not count for much given that the top two remained as is. (I say this as a Braves fan but an owner of both.)

[rhd]

How the mighty have fallen.

I'm curious about Hader, since he is in the major leagues.

J

Thanx for the response, J.

Hader hasnt even been mentioned, AFAIK, for moving into the rotation and he's not the closer and is behind a pretty elite closer. So I dont see where he's among the top 150 roto prospects even if he is a quality setup guy.

[rhd]

I think it (Hader) because he is now a bullpen guy. However, that probably depends on league format---in my league with 6 SP's and 5 RP's, as an RP, he might be more valuable.

As for a question from me, I guess spring training does not count for much given that the top two remained as is. (I say this as a Braves fan but an owner of both.)

Thanx for the response, cavebird.

Yes, ST stats count for very little, especially concerning 2 elite prospects.

[Sharky]

How much of the rise in Kingery’s profile is attributable to role (ie playing time / near-term impact) vs. expectation of strong(er) performance?

Also, where would you slot Julio Urias if he were eligible?

Thanks, rhd!

[rhd]

How much of the rise in Kingery’s profile is attributable to role (ie playing time / near-term impact) vs. expectation of strong(er) performance?

Also, where would you slot Julio Urias if he were eligible?

Thanks, rhd!

Thanx as always for the response, Sharky.

Kingery was just below Hays before the word that he would start the season w the big club so most of the rise was due to favorable scouting reports and high rankings recently.

I guess Urias would be about where Honeywell (and now Puk) is.

[Teenwolf]

Gotta love the added value in Kingery likely acquiring 2B/3B/OF this year. If he can get 20+ at all 3 spots this year, he's gold for next year, having both MI and CI is extra sweet.

[onejayhawk]

He may get SS is some formats.

J

[deaccat]

Does anyone have thoughts on Blaze Jordan? I know super young. I am thinking of taking a flier on him in the last round of my M draft. We have a deep pool.

The top 50 guys on RHD's list are all gone. There are also many taken from beyond 50 as well. I am thinking the possible reward could be worth the risk as what is available to me with this last pick doesn't look too promising.

He actuallly is only 1 year younger than Maitan when I drafted him. I know it isn't looking great for Maitan but high high ceiling guys are what I am looking for and have had success with.

[Roy Hobbs]

Does anyone have thoughts on Blaze Jordan? I know super young. I am thinking of taking a flier on him in the last round of my M draft. We have a deep pool.

The top 50 guys on RHD's list are all gone. There are also many taken from beyond 50 as well. I am thinking the possible reward could be worth the risk as what is available to me with this last pick doesn't look too promising.

He actuallly is only 1 year younger than Maitan when I drafted him. I know it isn't looking great for Maitan but high high ceiling guys are what I am looking for and have had success with.

I picked him up in my dynasty league and we only have 34 roster limits and start 22. It will take some willpower on my part to hang on to him however. I did the same thing with Ohtani when most hadn't heard of him and didn't hang on to him long.

[deaccat]

I picked him up in my dynasty league and we only have 34 roster limits and start 22. It will take some willpower on my part to hang on to him however. I did the same thing with Ohtani when most hadn't heard of him and didn't hang on to him long.

Thanks for your reply. I did the same with Ohtani, and still have him. I have no problem at all waiting for players to make it to the bigs. Our M rosters don't count against main roster and we can have as many as we want (until they lose rookie status). We have a 3 round draft every year.

I think i am going to take him. Hitting on a player with great upside is extremely helpful and it seems worth the risk.

[Hornsby]

Thanks for your reply. I did the same with Ohtani, and still have him. I have no problem at all waiting for players to make it to the bigs. Our M rosters don't count against main roster and we can have as many as we want (until they lose rookie status). We have a 3 round draft every year.

I think i am going to take him. Hitting on a player with great upside is extremely helpful and it seems worth the risk.

Doesn't seem like much, if any risk at all if you can have as many non MLB players as you want. I wouldn't call him a minor leaguer, that's still a few years away...

[deaccat]

Doesn't seem like much, if any risk at all if you can have as many non MLB players as you want. I wouldn't call him a minor leaguer, that's still a few years away...

Yes, no risk. Just my non MLB (we desinate all as M) isn't as strong in recent years. I keep winning so I have to draft last in each round : )

But I hit on guys like Tanaka, Abreu, BHam, Springer, Altuve, and now have Ohtani.

I have no top guys in pipeline after this year so hoping to have a guy or 2 in next few years. Going into the year with a top M guy is such a great bonus. In their 1st year they don't count against cap or roster spot so it is like a fre extra player. When they are actually contributing at a top level it helps so much. Had this happen many times in past years with guys mentioned above. Have had other help from guys like Yuli & Maeda too. Just super big bonus when you get a $20 or more performer added to your roster at no cost.

Having said that I took Blaze so hoping 5 years or so from now I am happy with the choice

[Hornsby]

Yes, no risk. Just my non MLB (we desinate all as M) isn't as strong in recent years. I keep winning so I have to draft last in each round : )

But I hit on guys like Tanaka, Abreu, BHam, Springer, Altuve, and now have Ohtani.

I have no top guys in pipeline after this year so hoping to have a guy or 2 in next few years. Going into the year with a top M guy is such a great bonus. In their 1st year they don't count against cap or roster spot so it is like a fre extra player. When they are actually contributing at a top level it helps so much. Had this happen many times in past years with guys mentioned above. Have had other help from guys like Yuli & Maeda too. Just super big bonus when you get a $20 or more performer added to your roster at no cost.

Having said that I took Blaze so hoping 5 years or so from now I am happy with the choice

If he's Harper II, you should get a payoff within 5 seasons...how long can you keep the player after he gets to the majors?

There's a couple of guys who are already in the pipeline who MIGHT be growing into Vladdy jr and Tatis status...Jhailyn Ortiz of Philadelphia and Eteury Ruiz od SD are two of my man crushes right now. rhd has them in the 140's area.