16 Team 6x6 4th Pick: Goldy, Bryce, or Arenado?

[kldub4life]

16 Team 6x6 4th Pick: Goldy, Bryce, or Arenado?

Extra category is OPS.

Goldy: I think he may be there at 4. Even if the humidor has a negative impact, I like his across the board contributions. I'm just not feeling his upside as much as Harpers.

Bryce: upside is huge but so is the injury risk. In a league this deep the replacement value being so low, his injury risk compared to the other 2 is a major risk in my mind.

Arenado: his lack of speed makes him less sexy, but his durability makes him the safest pick.

What say you guys?

[Mithrandir]

I chose Arenado. His consistency is so nice to have.

[Ken]

Out of curiousity, we're assuming that Trout/Altuve/Turner were 1-3 right?

[kldub4life]

Out of curiousity, we're assuming that Trout/Altuve/Turner were 1-3 right?

Trout and Altuve 1-2 definitely. With the OPS, and lack of a track record, I don't think Turner is in the conversation. I think Kershaw may me on some people's minds but with him only contributing in 4/6 cats he isn't in my sights.

[revo]

Is the 5th category BA or OBP? I assume BA, if the extra category is OPS but want to make sure before voting.

[kldub4life]

Is the 5th category BA or OBP? I assume BA, if the extra category is OPS but want to make sure before voting.

Yes BA

[DMT]

1st round picks are all about minimizing risk IMO, and Arenado is the safest pick.

[revo]

Yes BA

I went with Goldschmidt, who provides 6-category goodness. Maybe the humidor has an effect, maybe it doesn't. I'd put Arenado next, then Harper, who I don't think you should consider due to his proneness to injury.

[chancellor]

Out of curiousity, we're assuming that Trout/Altuve/Turner were 1-3 right?

No way. We all know Turner is a reach, even at #4.

Seriously, I chose Arenado. With the uncertainty of the humidor, I think he's the right choice. Though you can still hardly go wrong with Goldy.

If Ken's right, and Turner was #3, I'd even take Blackmon over Harper. And Goldy.

[Gregg]

As a $50 Goldy owner I hope he is the best of the bunch.

I find it hard to not pick Harper in a contract year. What if he stays healthy?

I am going with Harper's upside. This is the year he stays healthy.

[onejayhawk]

1st round picks are all about minimizing risk IMO, and Arenado is the safest pick.

On that basis, Goldschmidt.

J

[kldub4life]

I find it hard to not pick Harper in a contract year. What if he stays healthy?

I am going with Harper's upside. This is the year he stays healthy.

This is what my heart says!

My mind is leaning Arenado for safety purposes.

[Ken]

Wonder if Stanton should be considered as well. He probably has a higher upside than the others mentioned considering this 6x6 format, although he comes with his share of risk.

[chancellor]

As a $50 Goldy owner I hope he is the best of the bunch.

I find it hard to not pick Harper in a contract year. What if he stays healthy?.

Then he outearns Arenado by a few bucks. However, on the 75% chance he doesn’t stay healthy, Arenado outearns Harper by about $10. Remember that three of the last four years Harper hasn’t even earned $28.

[Ken]

Arenado's consistent top 10 return is why I voted for him as well.