My Prediction of BA's 2017 Top 100 Prospects

[rhd]

I do this every year because I think it's fun. Usually, I get around 90-91 right and all but 1-3 of the others are on my "possibles" list. BA unveils the 1st 50 of its Top 100 tonite on the MLB channel at 9 PM and will post the full list later after the show is over. An interesting item this year is that I project that noone from the California League will make the top 100. If so, this may be the first time noone from a full-season league made the list.

My projections (in alpha order):

Name Pos Org
Ronald Acuna OF Atl
Willy Adames SS TB
Brady Aiken SP Cle
Ozhaino Albies SS Atl
Jorge Alfaro C Phi
Anthony Alford OF Tor
Kolby Allard SP Atl
Albert Almora OF CHC
Yadier Alvarez SP LAD
Ian Anderson SP Atl
Anthony Banda SP Ari
Franklin Barreto SS Oak
Jake Bauers OF TB
Tyler Beede SP SF
Josh Bell 1B Pit
Cody Bellinger 1B LAD
Andrew Benintendi OF Bos
Bobby Bradley 1B Cle
Lewis Brinson OF Mil
Willie Calhoun 2B LAD
Dylan Cease SP CHC
Matt Chapman 3B Oak
Zack Collins C CHW
Jharel Cotton SP Oak
J.P. (John Paul) Crawford SS Phi
Jose De Leon SP TB
Rafael Devers 3B Bos
Isan Diaz 2B Mil
Anderson Espinoza SP SD
Erick Fedde SP Was
Clint Frazier OF NYY
Amir Garrett SP Cin
Lucas Giolito SP CHW
Tyler Glasnow SP Pit
Luiz Gohara SP Atl
Stephen Gonsalves SP Min
Nick Gordon SS Min
Jason Groome SP Bos
Vladimir Guerrero 3B Tor
Josh Hader SP Mil
Ian Happ OF CHC
Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Pit
Jeff Hoffman SP Col
Brent Honeywell SP TB
Eloy Jimenez OF CHC
Jahmai Jones OF LAA
Aaron Judge OF NYY
James Kaprielian SP NYY
Mitch Keller SP Pit
Carson Kelly C StL
Michael Kopech SP CHW
Kyle Lewis OF Sea
Reynaldo Lopez SP CHW
Kevin Maitan SS Atl
Matt Manning SP Det
Manuel Margot OF SD
German Marquez SP Col
Francis Martes SP Hou
Jorge Mateo SS NYY
Triston McKenzie SP Cle
Austin Meadows OF Pit
Francisco Mejia C Cle
Yoan Moncada 2B CHW
Mickey Moniak OF Phi
Sean Newcomb SP Atl
Kevin Newman SS Pit
Tyler O'Neill OF Sea
Luis Ortiz SP Mil
David Paulino SP Hou
Delvin Perez SS StL
Franklin Perez SP Hou
Riley Pint SP Col
A.J. Puk SP Oak
Cal Quantrill SP SD
Corey Ray OF Mil
A.J. Reed 1B Hou
Cody Reed SP Cin
Sean Reid-Foley SP Tor
Hunter Renfroe OF SD
Alex Reyes SP StL
Victor Robles OF Was
Brendan Rodgers SS Col
Amed Rosario SS NYM
Blake Rutherford OF NYY
Sixto Sanchez SP Phi
Nick Senzel 3B Cin
Justus Sheffield SP NYY
Chance Sisco C Bal
Dominic Smith 1B NYM
Mike Soroka SP Atl
Dansby Swanson SS Atl
Raimel Tapia OF Col
Leodys Taveras OF Tex
Gleyber Torres SS NYY
Kyle Tucker OF Hou
Alex Verdugo OF LAD
Luke Weaver SP StL
Forrest Whitley SP Hou
Nick Williams OF Phi
Bradley Zimmer OF Cle

Possibles:
Teoscar Hernandez
Yulieski Gurriel
Alex Kirilloff
Casey Gillaspie
Andrew Toles
Braxton Garrett
Adrian Morejon
Ryan Castellani
Robert Stephenson
Taylor Trammel
Rhys Hoskins
Franklin Kilome
Zach Burdi
Connor Greene
Chance Adams

[benjamincarm]

As a Braves fan, I like your list!

[rhd]

As a Braves fan, I like your list!

Yeah, you have to be excited about the Braves near future. I project them to have the most on the list with 9, which would be one of the highest totals ever. And they have several more very good prospects that I dont think will make it, like Fried, Patrick Weigel, Austin Riley and Demeritte, as well as some others. If Maitan makes it, I think he'll be the 2nd-youngest player (he just turned 17 y/o) ever on the list behind Miguel Sano.

[rhd]

Well, I did about as well as I usually do. Got 93 of them correct and 3 of the ones I missed were among my possibles. Guys I missed:
- C Gillaspie
- B Garrett
- A Morejon
- J Dunn
- R Tellez
- L Gurriel
- B Woodruff

Shocking that Lourdes Gurriel was ranked and his brother wasnt. Woodruff also was surprising; havent heard much top prospect buzz re: him altho Keith Law had him at #100 on his list. A bit surprising that Brady Aiken didnt make it at all.

2 MLB teams were shut out: KC and the Angels. Braves had the most w 8, the Yanks had 7 and the Brewers had 6. 56 NL and 44 AL. 56 hitters and 44 pitchers. No relievers made the list.

Indeed, noone from the Cal League made the list. That may be unprecedented for a full-season league.

[harmon]

Well, I did about as well as I usually do. Got 93 of them correct and 3 of the ones I missed were among my possibles. Guys I missed:
- C Gillaspie
- B Garrett
- A Morejon
- J Dunn
- R Tellez
- L Gurriel
- B Woodruff

Shocking that Lourdes Gurriel was ranked and his brother wasnt. Woodruff also was surprising; havent heard much top prospect buzz re: him altho Keith Law had him at #100 on his list. A bit surprising that Brady Aiken didnt make it at all.

2 MLB teams were shut out: KC and the Angels. Braves had the most w 8, the Yanks had 7 and the Brewers had 6. 56 NL and 44 AL. 56 hitters and 44 pitchers. No relievers made the list.

Indeed, noone from the Cal League made the list. That may be unprecedented for a full-season league.

Thanks so much for your efforts, always appreciated. Do you know how the NL/AL split compares to prior years? I'm guessing that's a function of more rebuilding teams.

[rhd]

Thanks so much for your efforts, always appreciated. Do you know how the NL/AL split compares to prior years? I'm guessing that's a function of more rebuilding teams.

It's a little bit more skewed than usual but not too much. A 53-47 split seems more typical.

[Ken]

Shocking that Lourdes Gurriel was ranked and his brother wasnt.

Is Yulieski eligible?

[kawaise]

Is Yulieski eligible?

In 2016 he had 130 AB.

Per MLB.com: "Determining rookie status: A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats."

It appears that he is.

[Sour Masher]

In 2016 he had 130 AB.

Per MLB.com: "Determining rookie status: A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats."

It appears that he is.

Hard to calculate the relative value of a player who is likely to only have 2-3 more prime playing years, vs guys with a decade plus of potential contributions ahead of them.

[rhd]

In 2016 he had 130 AB.

Per MLB.com: "Determining rookie status: A player shall be considered a rookie unless, during a previous season or seasons, he has (a) exceeded 130 at-bats."

It appears that he is.

Yeah, he's #16 on my list.