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Bregman had a pretty solid debut in 2016, hitting 264/313/478 with 8 HRs in 49 games. That was accompanied by a 6.9% walk rate and 24% K rate, as well as 2 steals. Bregman also showed some nice XBH power with 13 doubles and 3 triples. He's penciled in as the starting 3B for Houston. Not a lot of competition for that spot.
Yulieski Gurriel is penciled in as the starter at 1B, though he probably has the chops to play 3B as well. There's more competition at 1B - primarily AJ Reed, though Evan Gattis or Brian McCann could slide over there. Yuli's debut was less impressive, going 262/292/385 with 3 HR in 137 PAs.
I'm sure you remember Reed from last year. He hit 332/405/571 at AA in 2015, then hit 291/368/556 at AAA in 2016. Everyone thought he was the next big thing. And he might still be. But he hit 164/270/262 in 141 PAs in the majors last year, with a 34% K rate. He did have a nice 12.8% walk rate, though.
I really like Bregman this year. He has a very nice Steamer projection (.267, 20 HR, 9 steals) and I think he's a good hitter. I think the AVG will be better than expected. I'm not sure he really steals 9 bags, though.
Yuli has a very optimistic .270, 15 HR, 5 SB projection from steamer. I'm not sure I'm that sold on him. I'd rather have Reed a couple hundred picks later, if that's an option. I'm not sure either of them gets 450+ ABs, but I think Houston leaves Bregman alone at 3B and deals with the 1B mess by cutting into everyone's PT.
Yulieski Gurriel is penciled in as the starter at 1B, though he probably has the chops to play 3B as well. There's more competition at 1B - primarily AJ Reed, though Evan Gattis or Brian McCann could slide over there. Yuli's debut was less impressive, going 262/292/385 with 3 HR in 137 PAs.
I'm sure you remember Reed from last year. He hit 332/405/571 at AA in 2015, then hit 291/368/556 at AAA in 2016. Everyone thought he was the next big thing. And he might still be. But he hit 164/270/262 in 141 PAs in the majors last year, with a 34% K rate. He did have a nice 12.8% walk rate, though.
I really like Bregman this year. He has a very nice Steamer projection (.267, 20 HR, 9 steals) and I think he's a good hitter. I think the AVG will be better than expected. I'm not sure he really steals 9 bags, though.
Yuli has a very optimistic .270, 15 HR, 5 SB projection from steamer. I'm not sure I'm that sold on him. I'd rather have Reed a couple hundred picks later, if that's an option. I'm not sure either of them gets 450+ ABs, but I think Houston leaves Bregman alone at 3B and deals with the 1B mess by cutting into everyone's PT.
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