RHD's Latest Top 150 Roto Prospects ("End-Of-Season" Edition)

[rhd]

Regular season is over, so time to post another list. Lots of changes, more additions than I can remember ever there being for a new list. The list reflects modifications due to BA's League Top 20 lists and reports.

Same spiel as usual: I generally follow BA's prospect eligibility requirements, which are <=130 MLB AB or <=50 MLB IP. Unlike BA tho, amateurs, unsigned draftees and foreign players are eligible. Also, while BA has a different IP limit for relievers (30 IP?), relievers are eligible as long as they dont have >50 IP. As usual, this is for roto, not 'real' baseball, so pitchers are downgraded some, catchers downgraded somewhat (unless they're elite prospects and their bat will play at any position), and actual closers are upgraded a lot, SB guys who project to get playing time get upgraded some, and guys who either currently are or project to soon be regulars can get upgraded quite a bit. Position listed is their current primary one to the best of my knowledge (correct me if I'm wrong), not the one they're likely to end up at.

Here's a link to the Google doc w the list:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1fQyTbt13tm8dRDOeHw21iuWgzHafZxarXGFpWAAiPO4/edit#gid=1044652996

Here's a link to the editable Google doc w the list:

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Nj7opiVExTkcKPBvgP_msdUyE6Obn-e5V_2vKgQQgjQ/edit#gid=1044652996

1 Yoan (Johan) Moncada 2B Bos 0 1
2 Andrew Benintendi OF Bos 12 14
3 Yulieski Gurriel 3B Hou 9 12
4 Alex Reyes SP StL 4 8
5 Lucas Giolito SP Was -2 3
6 Dansby Swanson SS Atl 7 13
7 Victor Robles OF Was 17 24
8 Shohei Otani SP/OF Japan 3 11
9 Tyler Glasnow SP Pit -2 7
10 Brendan Rodgers SS Col 6 16
11 Clint Frazier OF NYY 17 28
12 Josh Bell 1B Pit 32 44
13 Austin Meadows OF Pit 21 34
14 Ozhaino Albies SS Atl 11 25
15 Jorge Mateo 2B NYY 2 17
16 Manuel Margot OF SD 3 19
17 J.P. (John Paul) Crawford SS Phi -11 6
18 Rafael Devers 3B Bos 12 30
19 Gleyber Torres SS NYY 14 33
20 Eloy Jimenez OF CHC 85 105
21 Willy Adames SS TB 14 35
22 Amed Rosario SS NYM 56 78
23 Kyle Tucker OF Hou 23 46
24 Lewis Brinson OF Mil -9 15
25 Ian Happ OF CHC 28 53
26 Franklin Barreto 3B Oak 0 26
27 Tyler O'Neill OF Sea 61 88
28 Cody Bellinger 1B LAD 23 51
29 Anderson Espinoza SP SD -6 23
30 Jose De Leon SP LAD -8 22
31 Corey Ray OF Mil 16 47
32 Kyle Lewis OF Sea 23 55
33 Hunter Renfroe OF SD 34 67
34 Brent Honeywell SP TB 15 49
35 Bradley Zimmer OF Cle -8 27
36 Sean Newcomb SP Atl 3 39
37 A.J. Reed 1B Hou -19 18
38 Bobby Bradley 1B Cle 14 52
39 Nick Senzel 3B Cin 33 72
40 Anthony Alford OF Tor 5 45
41 Mickey Moniak OF Phi 30 71
42 Blake Rutherford OF NYY 103 145
43 Vladimir Guerrero 3B Tor 99 142
44 Leodys Taveras OF Tex NA NR
45 Michael Kopech SP Bos NA NR
46 Kolby Allard SP Atl 51 97
47 Mitch Keller SP Pit NA NR
48 Alfredo Despaigne OF Cuba 0 48
49 Francis Martes SP Hou 34 83
50 Luke Weaver SP StL NA NR
51 David Paulino SP Hou 43 94
52 Josh Hader SP Mil 49 101
53 Luis Ortiz SP Mil 23 76
54 Kevin Maitan SS Atl 94 148
55 Yadier Alvarez SP LAD NA NR
56 A.J. Puk SP Oak 17 73
57 Jason Groome SP Bos 17 74
58 Raimel Tapia OF Col 21 79
59 Aaron Judge OF NYY 9 68
60 Roman Quinn OF Phi 22 82
61 Teoscar Hernandez OF Hou NA NR
62 Andrew Toles OF LAD NA NR
63 Albert Almora OF CHC 17 80
64 Michael Gettys OF SD NA NR
65 Jharel Cotton SP Oak NA NR
66 Reynaldo Lopez SP Was 29 95
67 Erick Fedde SP Was 60 127
68 Amir Garrett SP Cin -8 60
69 Robert Stephenson SP Cin -32 37
70 Cody Reed SP Cin -20 50
71 Yusniel Diaz OF LAD 63 134
72 Luis Urias 2B SD NA NR
73 Isan Diaz 2B Mil NA NR
74 Lourdes Gurriel SS FA-Cuba -4 70
75 Derek Fisher OF Hou -6 69
76 Alex Verdugo OF LAD -22 54
77 Matt Chapman 3B Oak 25 102
78 Jake Bauers OF TB 12 90
79 Aristides Aquino OF Cin NA NR
80 Grant Holmes SP Oak -19 61
81 Harrison Bader OF StL 25 106
82 Yohander Mendez SP Tex NA NR
83 Jesse Winker OF Cin -40 43
84 Nick Gordon SS Min -19 65
85 Mike Soroka SP Atl 36 121
86 Sean Reid-Foley SP Tor 50 136
87 Stephen Gonsalves SP Min NA NR
88 Phil Bickford SP Mil 36 124
89 Alen Hanson 2B Pit -8 81
90 Brandon Nimmo OF NYM 42 132
91 Kevin Newman SS Pit NA NR
92 Triston McKenzie SP Cle NA NR
93 Alec Hansen SP CHW NA NR
94 Franklyn Kilome SP Phi NA NR
95 Sandy Alcantara SP StL NA NR
96 Marcos Diplan SP Mil NA NR
97 Zack Collins C CHW 47 144
98 Ke'Bryan Hayes 3B Pit -7 91
99 Justus Sheffield SP NYY 38 137
100 Renato Nunez 3B Oak -13 87
101 Christin Stewart OF Det -39 62
102 Ryan McMahon 3B Col -38 64
103 Christian Arroyo SS SF -14 89
104 Brett Phillips OF Mil -62 42
105 Luiz Gohara SP Sea NA NR
106 Touki Toussaint SP Atl 20 126
107 Carson Fulmer SP CHW -11 96
108 Jack Flaherty SP StL 17 125
109 Beau Burrows SP Det 14 123
110 Brady Aiken SP Cle 5 115
111 Ronald Acuna OF Atl -19 92
112 Randy Arozarena SS StL NA NR
113 Francisco Mejia C Cle NA NR
114 Travis Demeritte 2B Atl NA NR
115 Zach Granite OF Min NA NR
116 Austin Riley 3B Atl 24 140
117 Trevor Clifton SP CHC NA NR
118 Anthony Banda SP Ari NA NR
119 Dylan Cozens OF Phi NA NR
120 Nick Williams OF Phi -79 41
121 Chris Shaw 1B SF NA NR
122 Dominic Smith 1B NYM -18 104
123 Willie Calhoun 2B LAD NA NR
124 Trent Clark OF Mil -68 56
125 Tyler Beede SP SF NA NR
126 Dylan Cease SP CHC NA NR
127 Juan Soto OF Was NA NR
128 Richard Urena SS Tor NA NR
129 Domingo Acevedo SP NYY -31 98
130 Francellis Montas SP Oak 9 139
131 Tyler Jay SP Min -45 86
132 Max Fried SP Atl NA NR
133 Casey Gillaspie 1B TB NA NR
134 Franklin Perez SP/RP Hou NA NR
135 Adalberto Mejia SP Min NA NR
136 Adrian Morejon SP SD NA NR
137 Jose Miguel Fernandez 2B FA-Cuba -27 110
138 Jeff Hoffman SP Col 12 150
139 James Kaprielian SP NYY NA NR
140 Alex Kirilloff OF Min NA NR
141 Bo Bichette SS Tor NA NR
142 Delvin Perez SS StL NA NR
143 Braxton Garrett SP Mia NA NR
144 Ian Anderson SP Atl NA NR
145 Cal Quantrill SP SD NA NR
146 Matt Manning SP Det NA NR
147 Jorge Ona OF SD 2 149
148 Jeren Kendall OF College NA NR
149 Hayato Sakamoto SS Japan NA NR
150 Riley Pint SP Col -75 75

Players removed because of exceeding of eligibility requirements (27):
J Urias (#2), T Turner (#4), O Arcia (#5), A Bregman (#9), J Gallo (#10), B Snell (#20), J Berrios (#21), D Dahl (#29), J Peraza (#31), M Kepler (#32), M Fulmer (#36), J Taillon (#38), T Anderson (#40), H Kim (#57), D Lee (#58), S Manaea (#59), R Mondesi (#63), A Blair (#66), J Thompson (#77), J Musgrove (#84), B Shipley (#107), D Bundy (#114), W Contreras (#116), G Sanchez (#117), T Joseph (#118), T Naquin (#130), J Parker (#131)

Eligibles that dropped off (22):
D Tate (#85), C Randolph (#93), H Ramirez (#99), G Heredia (#100), M Olson (#103), J Lopez (#108), M Appel (#109), J Guerra (#111), D Cameron (#112), F Wall (#113), D Jackson (#119), E Jenkins (#120), J Fernandez (#122), K Zimmer (#128), H Harvey (#129), Gav Cecchini (#133), A Ibanez (#135), S Adams (#138), J Reyes (#141), L Fox (#143), B Reed (#146), D Hudson (#147)

New additions (49):
Leodys Taveras, Michael Kopech, Mitch Keller, Luke Weaver, Yadier Alvarez, Teoscar Hernandez, Andrew Toles, Michael Gettys, Jharel Cotton, Luis Urias, Isan Diaz, Aristides Aquino, Yohander Mendez, Stephen Gonsalves, Kevin Newman, Triston McKenzie, Alec Hansen, Franklyn Kilome, Sandy Alcantara, Marcos Diplan, Luiz Gohara, Randy Arozarena, Francisco Mejia, Travis Demeritte, Zach Granite, Trevor Clifton, Anthony Banda, Dylan Cozens, Chris Shaw, Willie Calhoun, Tyler Beede, Dylan Cease, Juan Soto, Richard Urena, Max Fried, Casey Gillaspie, Franklin Perez, Adalberto Mejia, Adrian Morejon, James Kaprielian, Alex Kirilloff, Bo Bichette, Delvin Perez, Braxton Garrett, Ian Anderson, Cal Quantrill, Matt Manning, Jeren Kendall, Hayato Sakamoto

As always, comments are not only welcome but encouraged. Enjoy!

[Gregg]

Thank you for the hard work. This is very helpful in off season trades.

[Judge Jude]

I own:
14 Ozhaino Albies SS Atl 11 25
30 Jose De Leon SP LAD -8 22
41 Mickey Moniak OF Phi 30 71
150 Riley Pint SP Col -75 75

I used to own (shipped out last year to win a pennant):
5 Lucas Giolito SP Was -2 3
12 Josh Bell 1B Pit 32 44
58 Raimel Tapia OF Col 21 79
102 Ryan McMahon 3B Col -38 64
122 Dominic Smith 1B NYM -18 104

best available in my April 2017 draft (I have one of 7 unweighted lottery picks):
24 Lewis Brinson OF Mil -9 15
29 Anderson Espinoza SP SD -6 23
47 Mitch Keller SP Pit NA NR
50 Luke Weaver SP StL NA NR
53 Luis Ortiz SP Mil 23 76
54 Kevin Maitan SS Atl 94 148
55 Yadier Alvarez SP LAD NA NR
62 Andrew Toles OF LAD NA NR
64 Michael Gettys OF SD NA NR
66 Reynaldo Lopez SP Was 29 95

that's WAY better than usual, for whatever reason

[mjl]

Szapucki doesn't even make the list? Am I just being overly impressed by 50 innings worth of low-level dominance? Admittedly he's the sort of Cingrani/Lively pitcher that I overrate...

[Hodor]

How about Rymer Liriano should he be fit to go?

[rhd]

Szapucki doesn't even make the list? Am I just being overly impressed by 50 innings worth of low-level dominance? Admittedly he's the sort of Cingrani/Lively pitcher that I overrate...

Thanx for the response, mjl.

Szapucki did have a very impressive year and he was on at one point. But BA ranked him "only" at #8 in the Appy league, which means he probably wont even smell their top 100. I'm reluctant to put a pitcher that hasnt pitched above rookie ball on my list that is not ranked higher than that. His scouting rpt says he has a mid-90s fastball and indicates that his secondary pitches are promising but that he has a reliever's delivery and that he hurt his back late in the season and has had back issues before.

[rhd]

How about Rymer Liriano should he be fit to go?

Thanx for the response, Hodor.

He's been hurt all year, and I havent heard much about Liriano lately. He's not on an AFL roster either. He would seem to be a candidate to get at least some playing time in Milwaukee next year but I dont know what they plan to do. He wasnt ranked very high even before he got hurt. He's in the 240-250 range on my list now.

[rhd]

Thank you for the hard work. This is very helpful in off season trades.

You're welcome!

[rhd]

Where's Vogelbach!?!?!?! (Just kiddin' )


Nice to see Isan Diaz make the list. He had a brutal start to the year but really came on strong in the last couple months. I've had my eye on him for some time now. Not surprised to see Trent Clark plummet - he had a brutal year in just about every respect. What happened to the batting eye?

As for Joey Gallo, crap. I didn't notice that he'd eclipsed the 130 AB threshold. He won't qualify in my league as a minor league keeper anymore. But what are your thoughts on the guy? Where would you put him if he still qualified? There was some back and forth in the 2k17 Gallo thread about giving up on him as a prospect. Are you in that camp, too?

Thanx for the response, ELD.

Isan Diaz was going to make the list anyway but BA's relatively bullish stance on him made me move him up even more. The K's are a bit of a concern but he has very good upside.

Gallo was around #12, I think when he dropped off. The K's probably always will be rather high but he actually improved his plate discipline a bit this year and still displayed good power. I guess Texas is just taking it slow w him. There's still a good bit of uncertainty w him but he's still a very attractive prospect to me. And he seems like your kind of guy (but proceed w caution).

BTW, despite the fact you were kidding, Vogelbach is still not far off the list. But I still dont particularly like the profile and the fact that BA left him off both their mid-season Mariners (Cubs?) top 10 and their League top 20's reinforces my opinion of him.

[revo]

Great work, RHD!

I drafted Yadier Alvarez in the RJEL rookie draft after I read he was the top-rated International free agent in 2014. He blew hitters away in his stint at Rookie ball and A ball. Could we see Alvarez fast-tracked to the Dodgers next year?

Also, I picked up Gurriel for $18 in the same league. He ended with 130 ABs on the nose (boooooooo!), so he can only be kept as a major leaguer. Is he keepable at $18?

[virgonomic]

Thanks for posting. I traded dynasty keepers Giolito and Moncada en route to winning a championship. I did get Arcia back in the Moncada trade, and used him over Desmond down the stretch. Our 19th-22nd rounds are dynasty keepers. I will draft someone from this list as a trade chip (Arcia, Trumbo and Strasburg are my other dynasty keepers).

[rhd]

Great work, RHD!

I drafted Yadier Alvarez in the RJEL rookie draft after I read he was the top-rated International free agent in 2014. He blew hitters away in his stint at Rookie ball and A ball. Could we see Alvarez fast-tracked to the Dodgers next year?

Also, I picked up Gurriel for $18 in the same league. He ended with 130 ABs on the nose (boooooooo!), so he can only be kept as a major leaguer. Is he keepable at $18?

Thanx for the response, revo.

Since he hasnt pitched above Lo-A yet, I wouldnt expect Alvarez to get to MLB next year before Sept, altho it's always possible.

Gurriel is still a rookie according to MLB rules (<=130 ABs) and also AFAIK by roto standards in most leagues; that's why he's still on the list. Maybe your league is different. He is iffy as a keeper at $18. If I had him, I might go either way. In a deep league or one w high inflation, I probably would keep him. In a shallow league, I wouldnt. Whatever the case, the decider is whether you think you could get him back for the same price or less if you threw him back. In a typical league, I think he'd probably go for more than $18.

[rhd]

Thanks for posting. I traded dynasty keepers Giolito and Moncada en route to winning a championship. I did get Arcia back in the Moncada trade, and used him over Desmond down the stretch. Our 19th-22nd rounds are dynasty keepers. I will draft someone from this list as a trade chip (Arcia, Trumbo and Strasburg are my other dynasty keepers).

Thanx for the response, virgonomic. Glad you think the list is useful. And congrats on the title! Trade chips can be one of the best uses of prospects.

[wannabegriffey]

Great work, RHD!



I picked up Gurriel for $18 in the same league. He ended with 130 ABs on the nose (boooooooo!), so he can only be kept as a major leaguer. Is he keepable at $18?

I faab'ed Gurriel for $21 in a 5x5 a.l. only and thinking I am going to protect him next spring (but a lot of information can come in the next 6 months, right?!). I guess we shall see. Hey Revo, I think at 131 at bats, a mlb'er loses his rookie status...

[revo]

Agree on the MLB rookie status of >130 ABs, but RJEL uses 130 ABs on the nose.