Who are some players you think will outperform their draft position? When are they currently going and when would YOU take them?
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Announcement
Collapse
No announcement yet.
Who is gonna be this years best value pick?
Collapse
X
-
I like this thread idea. It seems every year a couple of players vastly outperforms their ADP, and folks around here are good at picking them. Who will be this year's JD Martinez (from a few years ago) or AJ Pollock or Brandon Crawford? I usually have a few sleepers, but most players I have my eye on already seem to be getting a lot of buzz.
I can think of some guys who could be pleasant surprises, but most of them are big names who had bad years last year. Carlos Gomez, Anthony Rendon, and Ian Desmond carry risk, but could all return good value over their current prices. Those aren't real sleepers though. Brad Miller could have a good year, but that is another case that won't surprise a lot of people.
I haven't heard a lot of buzz about Byung Ho Park, although his projections are good enough that there probably isn't much upside there if your league believes in them.
What is the best source to gauge current valuations--ADP or auction prices?
-
I think the three headed snake of CLE pitchers are going to outperform their ADP, specifically Salazar. Hes going 97 right now and id draft him right around 80(right behind cueto). Puig(103) is rising but should do really well after shedding 25lbs this offseason. At the back end of drafts, I like ketel marte SS SEA at 205 for cheap steals, Conforto OF NYM at 250ish as an overall good hitter(no SBs really), Taijuan Walker SP SEA at 225 as a breakout pitcher. I would reach at least 15 picks on all to ensure i get them
Comment
-
Originally posted by chancellor View PostAgree about Conforto, though a warning - every mock draft I've been in, someone grabs him in the early to mid-teen rounds.
I like Ben Paulsen to over perform his ADP. 100 games in Coors and Chase? Yes, please.
Now that the niceties are out of the way, LOL. Not a big Paulsen fan. Too many opportunities for him to lose PT both at 1st and in the OF once the Rockies start to promote the kids. Plus, I'm just not a huge fan of players who can't make the bigs until they're 26..."Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake."
- Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)
"Your shitty future continues to offend me."
-Warren Ellis
Comment
-
Originally posted by Hornsby View PostNot a big Paulsen fan. Too many opportunities for him to lose PT both at 1st and in the OF once the Rockies start to promote the kids. Plus, I'm just not a huge fan of players who can't make the bigs until they're 26...
Comment
-
Originally posted by Hornsby View PostHey Chance! Nice to have you back...
Now that the niceties are out of the way, LOL. Not a big Paulsen fan. Too many opportunities for him to lose PT both at 1st and in the OF once the Rockies start to promote the kids. Plus, I'm just not a huge fan of players who can't make the bigs until they're 26...I'm just here for the baseball.
Comment
-
Originally posted by chancellor View PostThanks! As for Paulsen, I hear what you're saying. But given CarGo's lack of health and Parra's questionable ability to hit lefties, I don't see Paulsen losing many ABs unless he develops a big case of suckitis.If DMT didn't exist we would have to invent it. There has to be a weirdest thing. Once we have the concept weird, there has to be a weirdest thing. And DMT is simply it.
- Terence McKenna
Bullshit is everywhere. - George Carlin (& Jon Stewart)
How old would you be if you didn't know how old you are? - Satchel Paige
Comment
-
Originally posted by The Dane View PostAgreed, but keep in mind that Paulsen is out of options, so unless they cut him (which is entirely a possibility, especially if he's terrible) he's certainly got the majority of the 1B ABs until June. If he's playing well, he'll keep the job, obviously. If he's middle-of-the-pack, they'll bring a guy to siphon off some ABs, but keep him around. If he sucks, they'll just take a chance with someone else. I can easily see him playing just well enough to hold off the Ryan McMahons of the world, at least for the season. 2016's Justin Bour? Except he's playing in Coors. He is a gamble, no doubt, but a good one to take, in my opinion."Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake."
- Napoleon Bonaparte (1769-1821)
"Your shitty future continues to offend me."
-Warren Ellis
Comment
-
Originally posted by eldiablo505...in 34 at bats. Maybe Mark Reynolds steals ABs versus lefties but that's the bad side of a platoon. I don't think anyone thinks Paulsen is the next coming of, well, anything but he could provide some sneaky value. He's worth a flier, imo. At his going rate there's not much to lose.
Same is true for Reynolds. He'll probably go for >$3 in NL only leagues and that has a good chance to have some profit built into it. But Reynolds, as opposed to Paulsen, has zero upside. He's a well-known commodity. Paulsen has a little upside left, between the two, I take Paulsen.
Comment
-
also note that Reynolds still has 1B/3B qualification and Paulsen has 1B/OF, which are both useful.In the best of times, our days are numbered, anyway. And it would be a crime against Nature for any generation to take the world crisis so solemnly that it put off enjoying those things for which we were presumably designed in the first place, and which the gravest statesmen and the hoarsest politicians hope to make available to all men in the end: I mean the opportunity to do good work, to fall in love, to enjoy friends, to sit under trees, to read, to hit a ball and bounce the baby.
Comment
-
Originally posted by chancellor View PostAgree about Conforto, though a warning - every mock draft I've been in, someone grabs him in the early to mid-teen rounds.
I like Ben Paulsen to over perform his ADP. 100 games in Coors and Chase? Yes, please.
While in Coors, let's throw Trevor Story's name on the pile.
JLast edited by onejayhawk; 03-16-2016, 04:26 PM.Ad Astra per Aspera
Oh. In that case, never mind. - Wonderboy
GITH fails logic 101. - bryanbutler
Bah...OJH caught me. - Pogues
I don't know if you guys are being willfully ignorant, but... - Judge Jude
Comment
Comment