Keep Kershaw in 2016? Auction league

[Mithrandir]

14 team..mixed..5x5...$300 budget

Kershaw is $65 if kept in 2016. That equates to about $56 for normal $260 budget.

I know other variables will factor into the decision, but would you think about keeping him?

I have Arrieta for $6, so I can have both for $71.

Thanks.

[Judge Jude]

I have Kershaw for $44 in NL-only, and looking at a $70 trifecta with Greinke $25 and Rubby $1. I yin and yang-ed the hell out of this trio in the 2nd half.

I do like the linking, but it depends what else you have, what the inflation rate is, and so forth....

[DMT]

What would he fetch in the auction?

[madducks]

What would he fetch in the auction?

Same league as me. I would project $65-75. Pedro Martinez and Randy Johnson in their prime went for $70 in past auctions of this 25 year league. We have a couple of long-time managers who love to use the stars and scrubs strategy.

[Sour Masher]

Same league as me. I would project $65-75. Pedro Martinez and Randy Johnson in their prime went for $70 in past auctions of this 25 year league. We have a couple of long-time managers who love to use the stars and scrubs strategy.

Then I'd keep him, assuming you have the room to do so. Obviously, if you have more $6 superstars on your roster, keep them over the at value Kershaw.

But if you have the room, I'd keep him. I too am in a weird 14 team keeper league that has a bigger cap than normal ($400), and I find that inflation in such a league is not as simple as equating it to a $260 league. The very top players tend to eat up more of that extra money. It is hard for folks who have just done $260 leagues to see a crazy price like this and say to keep him, but madducks verified what I would have thought would be the case. You have Arrieta at a huge value, so spend that extra money of the best talent you can get--Kershaw, Trout, Goldy etc are the sorts of guys to spend the extra cash on in a league this size, and with caps that big.

[madducks]

Then I'd keep him, assuming you have the room to do so. Obviously, if you have more $6 superstars on your roster, keep them over the at value Kershaw.

But if you have the room, I'd keep him. I too am in a weird 14 team keeper league that has a bigger cap than normal ($400), and I find that inflation in such a league is not as simple as equating it to a $260 league. The very top players tend to eat up more of that extra money. It is hard for folks who have just done $260 leagues to see a crazy price like this and say to keep him, but madducks verified what I would have thought would be the case. You have Arrieta at a huge value, so spend that extra money of the best talent you can get--Kershaw, Trout, Goldy etc are the sorts of guys to spend the extra cash on in a league this size, and with caps that big.

You are spot on about the difference in inflation for the top players vs the rest of the player pool. Trout ($75), Goldschmidt ($73), and Miggy ($72) were the three most expensive players in this league last year. There were only ten other players (including Kershaw) priced over $40. So, the crazy inflation was only true for the top 13 players and prices normalized after that. All other players (excluding cheap keepers) were priced closer to what you would find with a standard $260 budget.

The $300 team payroll is a good way to allow each manager to get a little crazy on one player at the auction without wrecking their budget. We have one manager who likes to get 4 or 5 of the more expensive players and then pick from the scraps at the end. Several managers won't go over $40 for any player. And they have all finished in the money at one time or another so there is no one exact formula for success.

[DMT]

The $300 team payroll is a good way to allow each manager to get a little crazy on one player at the auction without wrecking their budget. We have one manager who likes to get 4 or 5 of the more expensive players and then pick from the scraps at the end. Several managers won't go over $40 for any player. And they have all finished in the money at one time or another so there is no one exact formula for success.

Of course not, it's all luck!

[Moonlight J]

Your goal is to protect as much profit as you can. There's no profit there

[Gregg]

14 team..mixed..5x5...$300 budget

Kershaw is $65 if kept in 2016. That equates to about $56 for normal $260 budget.

I know other variables will factor into the decision, but would you think about keeping him?

I have Arrieta for $6, so I can have both for $71.

Thanks.

Since you have Arrieta that can be your Ace, I would want to spend the big money on a bat.

If you have some cheap bats, I can also see keeping Kershaw. I just hate spending a large part of my budget on a single pitcher, even if his name is Kershaw.

[Mithrandir]

Thanks guys.

I am not afraid to spend money on keepers if I think they will produce. I have had great success in this league the last 10 years, so my strategy has been working pretty good. And I am obviously the luckiest guy in the league. Spending $130-140 on keepers doesn't faze me in this league.

I will be keeping Altuve ($29) and probably Carpenter ($16). And then take flyers on $1 players: Mi. Taylor, Deshields, Happ (if resigns with Pirates), Tolleson, Osuna, Vizcaino (if closing). Maybe even Chris Carter for $7 and take the average hit.